Basketball · NBL · Australia
Perth vs New Zealand Breakers
Saturday, 26 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Perth vs New Zealand Breakers in NBL (Basketball) on Saturday, 26 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
Perth vs New Zealand Breakers
26 Sept • 14:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Perth
78%to win
by ~9.1 pts vs New Zealand B…
Projected Total
186.8pts
98 – 88.8
no market line
Halftime Proj
97.1pts
51.8 – 45.3
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth | 27.6 | 24.2 | 24.2 | 21.9 |
| New Z… | 22.3 | 23 | 20.4 | 23.1 |
| Total | 49.9 | 47.2 | 44.6 | 45 |
from last 5+5 games
Perth
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 92.2 — Allowed: 84.5 — Pace: 176.7
New Zealand Breakers
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 96.3 — Allowed: 95.9 — Pace: 192.2
Perth Form
Perth
W9d
W11d
L17d
L189d
L192d
W196d
L199d
W211d
L216d
W218d
Q:19-3125-2813-3125-20
Q:18-2813-223-2811-20
Q:15-2530-2117-1623-20
Q:23-2223-2113-1716-29
Q:22-2426-2025-3132-29
New Zealand Breakers Form
New Zealand Break…
W11d
W13d
L15d
W209d
W212d
L217d
W224d
L226d
L230d
W232d
Q:32-2527-2726-2415-27
Q:19-2230-2616-2321-25
Q:24-3020-2110-2020-24
Q:25-2829-1928-3425-30
Q:24-2437-2027-2227-18
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:23-2822-2029-3217-19
Q:22-1421-2421-2224-15
Q:17-2525-1917-1819-27
Q:24-3020-2528-1914-22
Q:42-2427-2424-3730-27
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Perth 8 / New Zealand Breakers 2. Average total: 186.8.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 98,
"team_2": 88.8,
"total": 186.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 78,
"team_2": 22
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.2,
"avg_pa": 84.5,
"w_avg_pf": 92.8,
"w_avg_pa": 83.5,
"pace": 176.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 96.3,
"avg_pa": 95.9,
"w_avg_pf": 96.6,
"w_avg_pa": 95.7,
"pace": 192.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 186.8
},
"confidence": 86,
"winner": {
"team": "Perth",
"probability": 78,
"margin_pts": 9.1,
"opponent": "New Zealand Breakers",
"opponent_probability": 22
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 186.8,
"team_1_proj": 98,
"team_2_proj": 88.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 51.8,
"team_2": 45.3,
"total": 97.1,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
27.6,
24.2,
24.2,
21.9
],
"away": [
22.3,
23,
20.4,
23.1
],
"per_quarter_total": [
49.9,
47.2,
44.6,
45
],
"halftime": {
"home": 51.8,
"away": 45.3,
"total": 97.1
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.282,
"q2": 0.247,
"q3": 0.247,
"q4": 0.224,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.251,
"q2": 0.259,
"q3": 0.23,
"q4": 0.26,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Perth to win",
"team": "Perth",
"win_prob": 78,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Projected margin ~9 pts; form 50% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 187)",
"projected": 186.8,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Combined pace 184.4 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "Perth vs New Zealand Breakers",
"date": "2026-09-26",
"time": "14:30",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Perth",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Ryukyu",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "82-110",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 110,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
25,
13,
25
],
"away": [
31,
28,
31,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "45-98",
"home_points": 45,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
13,
3,
11
],
"away": [
28,
22,
28,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "85-82",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
30,
17,
23
],
"away": [
25,
21,
16,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "75-89",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
23,
13,
16
],
"away": [
22,
21,
17,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "105-104",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 209,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
26,
25,
32
],
"away": [
24,
20,
31,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "95-77",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "111-94",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "86-74",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.02.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "102-84",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "13.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "94-75",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "New Zealand Breakers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "100-103",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 203,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
27,
26,
15
],
"away": [
25,
27,
24,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "86-96",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
30,
16,
21
],
"away": [
22,
26,
23,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "74-95",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
20,
10,
20
],
"away": [
30,
21,
20,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.02.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "107-111",
"home_points": 107,
"away_points": 111,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
29,
28,
25
],
"away": [
28,
19,
34,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "115-84",
"home_points": 115,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
37,
27,
27
],
"away": [
24,
20,
22,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "92-89",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "106-95",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "83-114",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "91-89",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.01.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "97-95",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.01.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "91-99",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 99,
"total_points": 190,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
22,
29,
17
],
"away": [
28,
20,
32,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.11.25",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "88-75",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
21,
21,
24
],
"away": [
14,
24,
22,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.09.25",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "78-89",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
25,
17,
19
],
"away": [
25,
19,
18,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.01.25",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "86-96",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
20,
28,
14
],
"away": [
30,
25,
19,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.12.24",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "123-112",
"home_points": 123,
"away_points": 112,
"total_points": 235,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
42,
27,
24,
30
],
"away": [
24,
24,
37,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.10.24",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "89-85",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.24",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "108-102",
"home_points": 108,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 210,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.02.24",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "78-89",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.01.24",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "102-108",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 108,
"total_points": 210,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "10.11.23",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "94-76",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 98,
"team_2": 88.8,
"total": 186.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 78,
"team_2": 22
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.2,
"avg_pa": 84.5,
"w_avg_pf": 92.8,
"w_avg_pa": 83.5,
"pace": 176.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 96.3,
"avg_pa": 95.9,
"w_avg_pf": 96.6,
"w_avg_pa": 95.7,
"pace": 192.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 186.8
},
"confidence": 86,
"winner": {
"team": "Perth",
"probability": 78,
"margin_pts": 9.1,
"opponent": "New Zealand Breakers",
"opponent_probability": 22
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 186.8,
"team_1_proj": 98,
"team_2_proj": 88.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 51.8,
"team_2": 45.3,
"total": 97.1,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
27.6,
24.2,
24.2,
21.9
],
"away": [
22.3,
23,
20.4,
23.1
],
"per_quarter_total": [
49.9,
47.2,
44.6,
45
],
"halftime": {
"home": 51.8,
"away": 45.3,
"total": 97.1
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.282,
"q2": 0.247,
"q3": 0.247,
"q4": 0.224,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.251,
"q2": 0.259,
"q3": 0.23,
"q4": 0.26,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Perth to win",
"team": "Perth",
"win_prob": 78,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Projected margin ~9 pts; form 50% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 187)",
"projected": 186.8,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Combined pace 184.4 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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