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Basketball · WNBA · USA

Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W

Saturday, 08 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Connecticut Sun W75-72Phoenix Mercury W

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Connecticut Sun W favourites at 56%, projecting 87-86 (about 173 points in total). That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Connecticut Sun W won 75-72, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Connecticut Sun W have lost 5 matches in a row.
Usa • WNBA
Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W
08 Aug • 02:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Connecticut Sun W75-72Phoenix Mercury W
Predicted Winner
Connecticut Sun W
56%to win
by ~1.6 pts vs Phoenix Mercu…
Projected Total
172.7pts
87.1 – 85.5
no market line
Halftime Proj
90.2pts
49.4 – 40.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Conne…24.924.516.621.1
Phoen…19.221.619.525.2
Total44.146.136.146.3
from last 5+5 games
Connecticut Sun W
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 80.6 — Allowed: 88.8 — Pace: 169.4
Phoenix Mercury W
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 82.7 — Allowed: 87 — Pace: 169.7
Connecticut Sun W Form
Connecticut Sun W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
3W · 7L
—
Dallas Wings W vs Connecticut S…
83-63L↗
Q:22-1626-2124-811-18
—
Chicago Sky W vs Connecticut S…
94-88L↗
Q:24-2616-2321-1733-22
—
Washington My… vs Connecticut S…
92-84L↗
Q:26-3328-2125-1013-20
—
Indiana Fever… vs Connecticut S…
123-88L↗
Q:36-2634-2027-2326-19
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
72-63L↗
Q:18-1225-2111-1618-14
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
83-96W↗
—
Connecticut S… vs Portland Fire…
90-87W↗
—
Connecticut S… vs Golden State …
64-79L↗
—
Connecticut S… vs Minnesota Lyn…
80-86L↗
—
Minnesota Lyn… vs Connecticut S…
89-90W↗
Phoenix Mercury W Form
Phoenix Mercury W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
4W · 6L
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs New York Libe…
92-94L↗
Q:15-2628-2022-2027-28
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Golden State …
91-89W↗
Q:21-1813-2826-2031-23
—
Los Angeles S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
82-86W↗
Q:18-1923-2419-1722-26
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
72-63W↗
Q:18-1225-2111-1618-14
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
83-96L↗
Q:21-2616-2822-1924-23
—
Minnesota Lyn… vs Phoenix Mercu…
104-100L↗
—
Las Vegas Ace… vs Phoenix Mercu…
106-58L↗
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Indiana Fever…
89-92L↗
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Chicago Sky W
66-77L↗
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Seattle Storm…
90-67W↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
72-63↗
Q:18-1225-2111-1618-14
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
83-96↗
Q:21-2616-2822-1924-23
—
Connecticut S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
87-84↗
Q:26-1821-3217-1323-21
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
82-66↗
Q:26-618-2220-2018-18
—
Connecticut S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
75-83↗
Q:9-2227-2617-1622-19
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
69-88↗
—
Connecticut S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
96-69↗
—
Phoenix Mercu… vs Connecticut S…
72-83↗
—
Connecticut S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
70-47↗
—
Connecticut S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
84-74↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Connecticut Sun W 7 / Phoenix Mercury W 3. Average total: 154.3.

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