Basketball · Asian Games Women · Asia
Japan W vs Hong Kong W
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Japan W vs Hong Kong W in Asian Games Women (Basketball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Asia • Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Hong Kong W
17 Sept • 13:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Japan W
89%to win
by ~15 pts vs Hong Kong W
Projected Total
154.4pts
84.8 – 69.7
no market line
Halftime Proj
83.2pts
44.9 – 38.3
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan… | 17.9 | 27 | 18.2 | 21.7 |
| Hong … | 18.2 | 20.1 | 15.1 | 16.3 |
| Total | 36.1 | 47.1 | 33.3 | 38 |
from last 5+5 games
Japan W
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 73.7 — Allowed: 81.7 — Pace: 155.4
Hong Kong W
Last 10: 1–9 (10%)
PPG: 57.5 — Allowed: 90.5 — Pace: 148
Japan W Form
Japan W
L7d
L8d
L10d
W11d
L16d
L18d
W32d
W33d
L138d
L141d
Q:20-1217-2221-1126-18
Q:15-2321-1612-1811-22
Q:28-116-1824-1016-19
Q:21-2527-2723-2131-24
Q:28-1616-2317-2213-13OT 15-11
Hong Kong W Form
Hong Kong W
W1080d
L1082d
L1084d
L2945d
L2949d
L2951d
L2953d
L4031d
L4032d
L4033d
Q:22-910-2514-1310-23
Q:20-1914-2312-2317-34
Q:32-1239-1629-818-10
Q:12-3110-295-374-26
Q:18-1623-1519-2826-17
Head-to-head summary
2 meetings — Japan W 2 / Hong Kong W 0. Average total: 164.5.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 84.8,
"team_2": 69.7,
"total": 154.4
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 89,
"team_2": 11
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 73.7,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 73.2,
"w_avg_pa": 81.7,
"pace": 155.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 1,
"losses": 9,
"win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_pf": 57.5,
"avg_pa": 90.5,
"w_avg_pf": 57.7,
"w_avg_pa": 91.3,
"pace": 148,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 2,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 164.5
},
"confidence": 84,
"winner": {
"team": "Japan W",
"probability": 89,
"margin_pts": 15,
"opponent": "Hong Kong W",
"opponent_probability": 11
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 154.4,
"team_1_proj": 84.8,
"team_2_proj": 69.7,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.9,
"team_2": 38.3,
"total": 83.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
17.9,
27,
18.2,
21.7
],
"away": [
18.2,
20.1,
15.1,
16.3
],
"per_quarter_total": [
36.1,
47.1,
33.3,
38
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.9,
"away": 38.3,
"total": 83.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.211,
"q2": 0.318,
"q3": 0.215,
"q4": 0.256,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.261,
"q2": 0.289,
"q3": 0.216,
"q4": 0.234,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Japan W to win",
"team": "Japan W",
"win_prob": 89,
"confidence": 84,
"reason": "Projected margin ~15 pts; form 30% vs 10% (last 10/10)"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Asian Games Women",
"country": "Asia",
"match": "Japan W vs Hong Kong W",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "13:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Japan W",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Hungary W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "84-63",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 147,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
17,
21,
26
],
"away": [
12,
22,
11,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "Spain W",
"score": "59-79",
"home_points": 59,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 138,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
21,
12,
11
],
"away": [
23,
16,
18,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Germany W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "74-58",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 58,
"total_points": 132,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
6,
24,
16
],
"away": [
11,
18,
10,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "Mali W",
"score": "102-97",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
27,
23,
31
],
"away": [
25,
27,
21,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Belgium W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "89-85",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
16,
17,
13,
15
],
"away": [
16,
23,
22,
13,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Belgium W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "78-77",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.08.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "South Korea W",
"score": "78-77",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "13.08.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "South Korea W",
"score": "77-59",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 59,
"total_points": 136,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.04.26",
"home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "86-60",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 60,
"total_points": 146,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.04.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aces W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "94-78",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Hong Kong W",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "01.10.23",
"home": "Kazakhstan W",
"away": "Hong Kong W",
"score": "56-70",
"home_points": 56,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 126,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
10,
14,
10
],
"away": [
9,
25,
13,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.09.23",
"home": "Hong Kong W",
"away": "Philippines W",
"score": "63-99",
"home_points": 63,
"away_points": 99,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
14,
12,
17
],
"away": [
19,
23,
23,
34
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.09.23",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "Hong Kong W",
"score": "118-46",
"home_points": 118,
"away_points": 46,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
39,
29,
18
],
"away": [
12,
16,
8,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.08.18",
"home": "Hong Kong W",
"away": "China W",
"score": "31-123",
"home_points": 31,
"away_points": 123,
"total_points": 154,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
12,
10,
5,
4
],
"away": [
31,
29,
37,
26
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.08.18",
"home": "Thailand W",
"away": "Hong Kong W",
"score": "86-76",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
23,
19,
26
],
"away": [
16,
15,
28,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.08.18",
"home": "Mongolia W",
"away": "Hong Kong W",
"score": "83-79",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.08.18",
"home": "Hong Kong W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "44-121",
"home_points": 44,
"away_points": 121,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.15",
"home": "North Korea W",
"away": "Hong Kong W",
"score": "66-43",
"home_points": 66,
"away_points": 43,
"total_points": 109,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.09.15",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Hong Kong W",
"score": "75-62",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 62,
"total_points": 137,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "31.08.15",
"home": "Hong Kong W",
"away": "Malaysia W",
"score": "61-78",
"home_points": 61,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 139,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "27.09.23",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "Hong Kong W",
"score": "118-46",
"home_points": 118,
"away_points": 46,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
39,
29,
18
],
"away": [
12,
16,
8,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.08.18",
"home": "Hong Kong W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "44-121",
"home_points": 44,
"away_points": 121,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
15,
6,
10
],
"away": [
29,
33,
34,
25
]
}
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 84.8,
"team_2": 69.7,
"total": 154.4
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 89,
"team_2": 11
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 73.7,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 73.2,
"w_avg_pa": 81.7,
"pace": 155.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 1,
"losses": 9,
"win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_pf": 57.5,
"avg_pa": 90.5,
"w_avg_pf": 57.7,
"w_avg_pa": 91.3,
"pace": 148,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 2,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 164.5
},
"confidence": 84,
"winner": {
"team": "Japan W",
"probability": 89,
"margin_pts": 15,
"opponent": "Hong Kong W",
"opponent_probability": 11
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 154.4,
"team_1_proj": 84.8,
"team_2_proj": 69.7,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.9,
"team_2": 38.3,
"total": 83.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
17.9,
27,
18.2,
21.7
],
"away": [
18.2,
20.1,
15.1,
16.3
],
"per_quarter_total": [
36.1,
47.1,
33.3,
38
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.9,
"away": 38.3,
"total": 83.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.211,
"q2": 0.318,
"q3": 0.215,
"q4": 0.256,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.261,
"q2": 0.289,
"q3": 0.216,
"q4": 0.234,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Japan W to win",
"team": "Japan W",
"win_prob": 89,
"confidence": 84,
"reason": "Projected margin ~15 pts; form 30% vs 10% (last 10/10)"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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