Basketball · NBL · Australia
Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers
Sunday, 04 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Adelaide69-88New Zealand Breakers
Prediction and result
Before tip-off, the model made Adelaide favourites at 53%, projecting 97-96 (about 194 points in total). That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. New Zealand Breakers won 88-69, against the model's 53% for Adelaide.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 22 Feb 2026, when New Zealand Breakers won 111-107.
Australia • NBL
Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers
04 Oct • 09:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Adelaide69-88New Zealand Breakers
Predicted Winner
Adelaide
53%to win
by ~1 pts vs New Zealand B…
Projected Total
193.7pts
97.3 – 96.4
no market line
Halftime Proj
102.2pts
51.4 – 50.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adela… | 25.4 | 26 | 25.5 | 20.3 |
| New Z… | 26 | 24.8 | 22.4 | 23 |
| Total | 51.4 | 50.8 | 47.9 | 43.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Adelaide
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 95.1 — Allowed: 98.7 — Pace: 193.8
New Zealand Breakers
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 96.7 — Allowed: 92.5 — Pace: 189.2
Adelaide Form
Adelaide
L50d
W55d
W69d
L222d
W226d
L229d
W231d
L237d
W241d
L244d
Q:30-2018-2822-2928-20
Q:23-2525-2422-2625-22
Q:31-2332-2627-1222-25
Q:29-3127-2413-2126-19OT 18-6
Q:22-2424-2926-2120-17
New Zealand Breakers Form
New Zealand Break…
L48d
L52d
W54d
W66d
W68d
L70d
W264d
W267d
L272d
W279d
Q:22-2625-2529-2221-20
Q:19-2618-1828-1923-22
Q:28-2426-2322-1419-20
Q:32-2527-2726-2415-27
Q:19-2230-2616-2321-25
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:25-2829-1928-3425-30
Q:16-2923-2120-2133-18
Q:22-2322-2527-2222-23OT 17-19
Q:14-2233-2121-2311-17
Q:27-1530-2022-2315-20
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Adelaide 7 / New Zealand Breakers 3. Average total: 186.5.
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Basketball board.