Basketball · WNBL Women · Australia
Adelaide Lightning W vs Townsville W
Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Adelaide Lightning W68-86Townsville W
Prediction and result
Before tip-off, the model made Townsville W favourites at 78%, projecting 84-75 (about 160 points in total). That rests on a 9-1 record over the last 10 games against 2-8 and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Townsville W won 86-68, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Adelaide Lightning W have lost 4 matches in a row.
- Townsville W have won 4 matches in a row.
- They last met on 4 Jan 2026, when Townsville W won 83-69.
Australia • WNBL Women
Adelaide Lightning W vs Townsville W
20 Oct • 11:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Adelaide Lightning W68-86Townsville W
Predicted Winner
Townsville W
78%to win
by ~9 pts vs Adelaide Ligh…
Projected Total
159.6pts
75.2 – 84.3
no market line
Halftime Proj
87.9pts
42 – 45.9
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adela… | 22.7 | 19.3 | 16.6 | 16.6 |
| Towns… | 20.7 | 25.2 | 20.4 | 18 |
| Total | 43.4 | 44.5 | 37 | 34.6 |
from last 5+5 games
Adelaide Lightning W
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
PPG: 69.5 — Allowed: 76.2 — Pace: 145.7
Townsville W
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
PPG: 88 — Allowed: 77.9 — Pace: 165.9
Adelaide Lightning W Form
Adelaide Lightnin…
L40d
L41d
L263d
L271d
W278d
L282d
L285d
W289d
L292d
L298d
Q:26-1717-1910-1517-25
Q:21-921-1916-2312-21
Q:19-2516-2315-1214-17
Q:17-2025-1813-2427-15
Q:16-2432-2221-169-23
Townsville W Form
Townsville W
W42d
W242d
W245d
W249d
L253d
W256d
W263d
W271d
W278d
W282d
Q:31-1928-1023-2719-17
Q:26-2019-3026-2421-18OT 13-16
Q:20-2222-2324-1022-24
Q:21-2532-2117-1514-13
Q:26-2023-2333-2227-24
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:17-2410-2015-2327-16
Q:19-2617-219-2219-21
Q:26-2221-2131-1525-11
Q:13-2918-2013-1419-27
Q:19-2221-2021-87-19
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Adelaide Lightning W 1 / Townsville W 9. Average total: 144.1.
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