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Basketball · WNBL Women · Australia

Adelaide Lightning W vs Perth Lynx W

Saturday, 24 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Adelaide Lightning W82-90Perth Lynx W

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Perth Lynx W favourites at 69%, projecting 83-78 (about 161 points in total). That rests on a 6-4 record over the last 10 games against 2-8 and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Perth Lynx W won 90-82, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Adelaide Lightning W have lost 5 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 10 Jan 2026, when Perth Lynx W won 80-65.
Australia • WNBL Women
Adelaide Lightning W vs Perth Lynx W
24 Oct • 11:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Adelaide Lightning W82-90Perth Lynx W
Predicted Winner
Perth Lynx W
69%to win
by ~5.6 pts vs Adelaide Ligh…
Projected Total
160.7pts
77.6 – 83.1
no market line
Halftime Proj
87.5pts
44.3 – 43.2
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Adela…22.721.617.715.6
Perth…22.520.720.119.8
Total45.242.337.835.4
from last 5+5 games
Adelaide Lightning W
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
PPG: 69.4 — Allowed: 77.4 — Pace: 146.8
Perth Lynx W
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 87 — Allowed: 83.2 — Pace: 170.2
Adelaide Lightning W Form
Adelaide Lightnin…
L22d
L51d
L52d
L274d
L282d
W289d
L293d
L296d
W300d
L303d
2W · 8L
18 Oct2026
Sydney W vs Adelaide Ligh…
95-68L↗
Q:17-1631-2522-1525-12
19 Sept2026
Adelaide Ligh… vs Bendigo W
70-76L↗
Q:26-1717-1910-1517-25
18 Sept2026
Adelaide Ligh… vs Tasmania Jewe…
70-72L↗
Q:21-921-1916-2312-21
08 Feb2026
Adelaide Ligh… vs Southside W
64-77L↗
Q:19-2516-2315-1214-17
31 Jan2026
Southside W vs Adelaide Ligh…
82-77L↗
Q:17-2025-1813-2427-15
24 Jan2026
Geelong Venom… vs Adelaide Ligh…
78-85W↗
20 Jan2026
Adelaide Ligh… vs Canberra Capi…
61-67L↗
17 Jan2026
Southside W vs Adelaide Ligh…
82-58L↗
13 Jan2026
Adelaide Ligh… vs Sydney W
76-65W↗
10 Jan2026
Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Ligh…
80-65L↗
Perth Lynx W Form
Perth Lynx W
W23d
L52d
L53d
L253d
L256d
W265d
W268d
W275d
W281d
W286d
6W · 4L
17 Oct2026
Perth Lynx W vs Townsville W
86-83W↗
Q:28-2317-2819-1222-20
18 Sept2026
Southside W vs Perth Lynx W
65-53L↗
Q:23-1119-2210-1113-9
17 Sept2026
Townsville W vs Perth Lynx W
101-73L↗
Q:31-1928-1023-2719-17
01 Mar2026
Perth Lynx W vs Townsville W
105-108L↗
Q:26-2019-3026-2421-18OT 13-16
26 Feb2026
Townsville W vs Perth Lynx W
88-79L↗
Q:20-2222-2324-1022-24
17 Feb2026
Bendigo W vs Perth Lynx W
75-81W↗
14 Feb2026
Perth Lynx W vs Bendigo W
86-76W↗
07 Feb2026
Perth Lynx W vs Sydney W
108-93W↗
01 Feb2026
Bendigo W vs Perth Lynx W
64-88W↗
27 Jan2026
Southside W vs Perth Lynx W
79-111W↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
10 Jan2026
Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Ligh…
80-65↗
Q:20-1218-1821-1521-20
02 Jan2026
Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Ligh…
93-75↗
Q:27-1924-2122-1220-23
21 Dec2025
Adelaide Ligh… vs Perth Lynx W
82-109↗
Q:29-3117-3020-2516-23
19 Oct2025
Adelaide Ligh… vs Perth Lynx W
72-75↗
Q:9-2624-1818-1321-18
01 Feb2025
Adelaide Ligh… vs Perth Lynx W
87-69↗
Q:28-1518-2416-1925-11
05 Jan2025
Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Ligh…
94-76↗
09 Nov2024
Adelaide Ligh… vs Perth Lynx W
78-92↗
07 Jan2024
Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Ligh…
84-68↗
10 Dec2023
Adelaide Ligh… vs Perth Lynx W
95-98↗
11 Nov2023
Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Ligh…
92-85↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Adelaide Lightning W 1 / Perth Lynx W 9. Average total: 166.9.

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