Basketball · LKL · Lithuania
Jonava vs Nevezis
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Jonava vs Nevezis in LKL (Basketball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Lithuania • LKL
Jonava vs Nevezis
22 Sept • 18:50
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Jonava
72%to win
by ~6.7 pts vs Nevezis
Projected Total
181.2pts
93.9 – 87.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
82.5pts
41.8 – 40.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonava | 22.5 | 19.3 | 25.9 | 26.2 |
| Nevez… | 19.2 | 21.5 | 26.9 | 19.7 |
| Total | 41.7 | 40.8 | 52.8 | 45.9 |
from last 5+5 games
Jonava
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 85.5 — Allowed: 91.1 — Pace: 176.6
Nevezis
Last 10: 1–9 (10%)
PPG: 83.5 — Allowed: 97.5 — Pace: 181
Jonava Form
Jonava
L119d
L121d
L124d
L129d
W132d
W139d
W142d
L149d
W153d
L157d
Q:14-3218-2526-1517-18
Q:22-1731-1824-1725-30
Q:24-2729-1725-1817-27
Q:22-2214-1931-2123-33
Q:22-1319-2424-1421-19
Nevezis Form
Nevezis
L14d
L124d
L128d
L132d
L138d
L145d
L148d
L153d
L156d
W160d
Q:13-2423-1925-2815-13
Q:32-1817-1921-1928-24
Q:22-3213-2733-2820-30
Q:16-2526-1623-2521-20OT 9-12
Q:31-2020-1821-2523-12
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:21-2731-2117-1921-22
Q:23-2017-2213-1724-18OT 11-8
Q:23-1415-2726-2519-19
Q:26-1128-1616-2922-18
Q:15-3228-2921-2024-20
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Jonava 5 / Nevezis 5. Average total: 177.8.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 93.9,
"team_2": 87.2,
"total": 181.2
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 72,
"team_2": 28
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 85.5,
"avg_pa": 91.1,
"w_avg_pf": 85.3,
"w_avg_pa": 91.2,
"pace": 176.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 1,
"losses": 9,
"win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_pf": 83.5,
"avg_pa": 97.5,
"w_avg_pf": 83.3,
"w_avg_pa": 97.6,
"pace": 181,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 177.8
},
"confidence": 81,
"winner": {
"team": "Jonava",
"probability": 72,
"margin_pts": 6.7,
"opponent": "Nevezis",
"opponent_probability": 28
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 181.2,
"team_1_proj": 93.9,
"team_2_proj": 87.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 41.8,
"team_2": 40.7,
"total": 82.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
22.5,
19.3,
25.9,
26.2
],
"away": [
19.2,
21.5,
26.9,
19.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
41.7,
40.8,
52.8,
45.9
],
"halftime": {
"home": 41.8,
"away": 40.7,
"total": 82.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.24,
"q2": 0.205,
"q3": 0.276,
"q4": 0.279,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.22,
"q2": 0.246,
"q3": 0.308,
"q4": 0.226,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Jonava to win",
"team": "Jonava",
"win_prob": 72,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Projected margin ~7 pts; form 40% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 181)",
"projected": 181.2,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Combined pace 178.8 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "LKL",
"country": "Lithuania",
"match": "Jonava vs Nevezis",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "18:50",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Jonava",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "22.05.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "75-90",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
18,
26,
17
],
"away": [
32,
25,
15,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.05.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "102-82",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
31,
24,
25
],
"away": [
17,
18,
17,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.05.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "95-89",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
29,
25,
17
],
"away": [
27,
17,
18,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.05.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Juventus",
"score": "90-95",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
14,
31,
23
],
"away": [
22,
19,
21,
33
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.05.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Siauliai",
"score": "86-70",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
19,
24,
21
],
"away": [
13,
24,
14,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.05.26",
"home": "Gargzdai",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "104-109",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 109,
"total_points": 213,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.04.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Lietkabelis",
"score": "69-67",
"home_points": 69,
"away_points": 67,
"total_points": 136,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.04.26",
"home": "Rytas",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "98-81",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "18.04.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "90-89",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.04.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "84-101",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Nevezis",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "VEF Riga",
"score": "76-84",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
23,
25,
15
],
"away": [
24,
19,
28,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.05.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "98-80",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
17,
21,
28
],
"away": [
18,
19,
19,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.05.26",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Rytas",
"score": "88-117",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 117,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
13,
33,
20
],
"away": [
32,
27,
28,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.05.26",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Juventus",
"score": "95-98",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
26,
23,
21,
9
],
"away": [
25,
16,
25,
20,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.05.26",
"home": "Siauliai",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "95-75",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
20,
21,
23
],
"away": [
20,
18,
25,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.04.26",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Gargzdai",
"score": "85-90",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "23.04.26",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "82-110",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 110,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "18.04.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "90-89",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.04.26",
"home": "Lietkabelis",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "105-72",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "11.04.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "88-93",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "18.04.26",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "90-89",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
31,
17,
21
],
"away": [
27,
21,
19,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "88-85",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
17,
13,
24,
11
],
"away": [
20,
22,
17,
18,
8
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.12.25",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "83-85",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
15,
26,
19
],
"away": [
14,
27,
25,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.11.25",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "92-74",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
28,
16,
22
],
"away": [
11,
16,
29,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.10.25",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "88-101",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
28,
21,
24
],
"away": [
32,
29,
20,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.10.25",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "86-82",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.04.25",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "80-102",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.03.25",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "96-89",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "02.02.25",
"home": "Jonava",
"away": "Nevezis",
"score": "87-110",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 110,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "06.11.24",
"home": "Nevezis",
"away": "Jonava",
"score": "87-84",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 93.9,
"team_2": 87.2,
"total": 181.2
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 72,
"team_2": 28
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 85.5,
"avg_pa": 91.1,
"w_avg_pf": 85.3,
"w_avg_pa": 91.2,
"pace": 176.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 1,
"losses": 9,
"win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_pf": 83.5,
"avg_pa": 97.5,
"w_avg_pf": 83.3,
"w_avg_pa": 97.6,
"pace": 181,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 177.8
},
"confidence": 81,
"winner": {
"team": "Jonava",
"probability": 72,
"margin_pts": 6.7,
"opponent": "Nevezis",
"opponent_probability": 28
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 181.2,
"team_1_proj": 93.9,
"team_2_proj": 87.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 41.8,
"team_2": 40.7,
"total": 82.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
22.5,
19.3,
25.9,
26.2
],
"away": [
19.2,
21.5,
26.9,
19.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
41.7,
40.8,
52.8,
45.9
],
"halftime": {
"home": 41.8,
"away": 40.7,
"total": 82.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.24,
"q2": 0.205,
"q3": 0.276,
"q4": 0.279,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.22,
"q2": 0.246,
"q3": 0.308,
"q4": 0.226,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Jonava to win",
"team": "Jonava",
"win_prob": 72,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Projected margin ~7 pts; form 40% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 181)",
"projected": 181.2,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Combined pace 178.8 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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