Basketball · Asian Games · Asia

Chinese Taipei vs Japan

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Chinese Taipei78-85Japan

Chinese Taipei vs Japan in Asian Games (Basketball) was played on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Final score: Chinese Taipei 78-85 Japan. See the head-to-head record and recent form.

AsiaAsian Games
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
16 Sept13:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Chinese Taipei78-85Japan
Predicted Winner
Japan
80%to win
by ~9.9 pts vs Chinese Taipei
Projected Total
166.8pts
78.588.4
no market line
Halftime Proj
live
76pts
3244
actual HT score
Quarter Scores
live
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Chine…9231729
Japan16282417
Chinese Taipei
Last 10: 46 (40%)
PPG: 78.4 — Allowed: 81.3 — Pace: 159.7
Japan
Last 10: 82 (80%)
PPG: 93.5 — Allowed: 74.7 — Pace: 168.2
Chinese Taipei Form
Chinese Taipei
L0d
W3d
L4d
W6d
L72d
W75d
L199d
W202d
L289d
L292d
4W · 6L
16 Sept
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
78-85L
Q:9-1623-2817-2429-17
13 Sept
Chinese Taipei vs Qatar
91-69W
Q:26-1220-1522-1823-24
12 Sept
Chinese Taipei vs Iran
69-72L
Q:17-1310-1523-2119-23
10 Sept
Jordan vs Chinese Taipei
80-83W
Q:13-1723-2919-1425-23
06 Jul
China vs Chinese Taipei
92-74L
Q:25-1329-1518-2020-26
03 Jul
South Korea vs Chinese Taipei
80-82W
01 Mar
Chinese Taipei vs China
93-100L
26 Feb
Chinese Taipei vs South Korea
77-65W
01 Dec
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
73-80L
28 Nov
Japan vs Chinese Taipei
90-64L
Japan Form
Japan
W0d
L3d
W5d
W6d
W16d
W20d
W31d
W32d
L72d
W75d
8W · 2L
16 Sept
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
78-85W
Q:9-1623-2817-2429-17
13 Sept
Japan vs South Korea
83-100L
Q:17-1925-2124-3117-29
11 Sept
Saudi Arabia vs Japan
80-86W
Q:15-2520-2620-1725-18
10 Sept
Japan vs Indonesia
98-53W
Q:29-926-1220-1423-18
31 Aug
Japan vs Qatar
123-70W
Q:29-1124-2340-1130-25
27 Aug
Saudi Arabia vs Japan
78-106W
16 Aug
Japan vs South Korea
95-66W
15 Aug
Japan vs South Korea
88-68W
06 Jul
South Korea vs Japan
81-79L
03 Jul
China vs Japan
73-92W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
16 Sept
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
78-85
Q:9-1623-2817-2429-17
01 Dec
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
73-80
Q:22-1714-2521-1516-23
28 Nov
Japan vs Chinese Taipei
90-64
Q:23-1022-1220-2025-22
03 Oct
Japan vs Chinese Taipei
66-85
Q:12-2813-1518-2323-19
03 Jul
Japan vs Chinese Taipei
89-49
Q:25-1417-1318-929-13
26 Feb
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
71-76
18 Jun
Japan vs Chinese Taipei
98-61
24 Feb
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
57-96
14 Aug
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
71-65
02 Jul
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
68-108
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Chinese Taipei 2 / Japan 8. Average total: 153.
Chinese Taipei
2.78
Implied 33.5%
Edge -13.5%
Japan
1.4
Implied 66.5%
Edge +13.5%
Bookmaker vig: 7.4%
Model output
{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 78.5,
    "team_2": 88.4,
    "total": 166.8
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 20,
    "team_2": 80
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_pf": 78.4,
      "avg_pa": 81.3,
      "w_avg_pf": 79,
      "w_avg_pa": 80.9,
      "pace": 159.7,
      "blowout_rate": 0.3
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 8,
      "losses": 2,
      "win_rate": 0.8,
      "avg_pf": 93.5,
      "avg_pa": 74.7,
      "w_avg_pf": 93.4,
      "w_avg_pa": 75.3,
      "pace": 168.2,
      "blowout_rate": 0.7
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 2,
    "t2_wins": 8,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.2,
    "avg_total": 153
  },
  "confidence": 97,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Japan",
    "probability": 80,
    "margin_pts": 9.9,
    "opponent": "Chinese Taipei",
    "opponent_probability": 20
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 166.8,
    "team_1_proj": 78.5,
    "team_2_proj": 88.4,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 32,
    "team_2": 44,
    "total": 76,
    "source": "actual"
  },
  "quarter_scores": {
    "home": [
      9,
      23,
      17,
      29
    ],
    "away": [
      16,
      28,
      24,
      17
    ],
    "ht_home": 32,
    "ht_away": 44
  },
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      16.2,
      19,
      19.3,
      24
    ],
    "away": [
      21.5,
      24.6,
      23,
      19.3
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      37.7,
      43.6,
      42.3,
      43.3
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 35.2,
      "away": 46.1,
      "total": 81.3
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.206,
      "q2": 0.242,
      "q3": 0.246,
      "q4": 0.306,
      "samples": 5
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.243,
      "q2": 0.279,
      "q3": 0.26,
      "q4": 0.219,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Japan to win",
      "team": "Japan",
      "win_prob": 80,
      "confidence": 97,
      "reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 80% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": null
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "Asian Games",
  "country": "Asia",
  "match": "Chinese Taipei vs Japan",
  "date": "2026-09-16",
  "time": "13:20",
  "score": {
    "home": 78,
    "away": 85
  },
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Chinese Taipei",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "16.09.26",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "78-85",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 85,
        "total_points": 163,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            9,
            23,
            17,
            29
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            28,
            24,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Qatar",
        "score": "91-69",
        "home_points": 91,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 160,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            20,
            22,
            23
          ],
          "away": [
            12,
            15,
            18,
            24
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Iran",
        "score": "69-72",
        "home_points": 69,
        "away_points": 72,
        "total_points": 141,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            17,
            10,
            23,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            13,
            15,
            21,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Jordan",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "80-83",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 83,
        "total_points": 163,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            13,
            23,
            19,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            17,
            29,
            14,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.07.26",
        "home": "China",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "92-74",
        "home_points": 92,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 166,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            29,
            18,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            13,
            15,
            20,
            26
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "03.07.26",
        "home": "South Korea",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "80-82",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 82,
        "total_points": 162,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "01.03.26",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "China",
        "score": "93-100",
        "home_points": 93,
        "away_points": 100,
        "total_points": 193,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "26.02.26",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "South Korea",
        "score": "77-65",
        "home_points": 77,
        "away_points": 65,
        "total_points": 142,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "01.12.25",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "73-80",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 80,
        "total_points": 153,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "28.11.25",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "90-64",
        "home_points": 90,
        "away_points": 64,
        "total_points": 154,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Japan",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "16.09.26",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "78-85",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 85,
        "total_points": 163,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            9,
            23,
            17,
            29
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            28,
            24,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "South Korea",
        "score": "83-100",
        "home_points": 83,
        "away_points": 100,
        "total_points": 183,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            17,
            25,
            24,
            17
          ],
          "away": [
            19,
            21,
            31,
            29
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "Saudi Arabia",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "80-86",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 86,
        "total_points": 166,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            20,
            20,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            25,
            26,
            17,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "Indonesia",
        "score": "98-53",
        "home_points": 98,
        "away_points": 53,
        "total_points": 151,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            29,
            26,
            20,
            23
          ],
          "away": [
            9,
            12,
            14,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "31.08.26",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "Qatar",
        "score": "123-70",
        "home_points": 123,
        "away_points": 70,
        "total_points": 193,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            29,
            24,
            40,
            30
          ],
          "away": [
            11,
            23,
            11,
            25
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Saudi Arabia",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "78-106",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 106,
        "total_points": 184,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "16.08.26",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "South Korea",
        "score": "95-66",
        "home_points": 95,
        "away_points": 66,
        "total_points": 161,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "South Korea",
        "score": "88-68",
        "home_points": 88,
        "away_points": 68,
        "total_points": 156,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.07.26",
        "home": "South Korea",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "81-79",
        "home_points": 81,
        "away_points": 79,
        "total_points": 160,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "03.07.26",
        "home": "China",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "73-92",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 92,
        "total_points": 165,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "16.09.26",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "78-85",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 85,
        "total_points": 163,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            9,
            23,
            17,
            29
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            28,
            24,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "01.12.25",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "73-80",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 80,
        "total_points": 153,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            22,
            14,
            21,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            17,
            25,
            15,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "28.11.25",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "90-64",
        "home_points": 90,
        "away_points": 64,
        "total_points": 154,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            23,
            22,
            20,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            10,
            12,
            20,
            22
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "03.10.23",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "66-85",
        "home_points": 66,
        "away_points": 85,
        "total_points": 151,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            12,
            13,
            18,
            23
          ],
          "away": [
            28,
            15,
            23,
            19
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "03.07.22",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "89-49",
        "home_points": 89,
        "away_points": 49,
        "total_points": 138,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            17,
            18,
            29
          ],
          "away": [
            14,
            13,
            9,
            13
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "26.02.22",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "71-76",
        "home_points": 71,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 147,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "18.06.21",
        "home": "Japan",
        "away": "Chinese Taipei",
        "score": "98-61",
        "home_points": 98,
        "away_points": 61,
        "total_points": 159,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "24.02.20",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "57-96",
        "home_points": 57,
        "away_points": 96,
        "total_points": 153,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "14.08.18",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "71-65",
        "home_points": 71,
        "away_points": 65,
        "total_points": 136,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "02.07.18",
        "home": "Chinese Taipei",
        "away": "Japan",
        "score": "68-108",
        "home_points": 68,
        "away_points": 108,
        "total_points": 176,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": {
        "value": 2.78,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 33.5,
        "edge_vs_model": -13.5
      },
      "away": {
        "value": 1.4,
        "indicator": null,
        "implied_pct": 66.5,
        "edge_vs_model": 13.5
      },
      "vig_pct": 7.4
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 78.5,
      "team_2": 88.4,
      "total": 166.8
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 20,
      "team_2": 80
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_pf": 78.4,
        "avg_pa": 81.3,
        "w_avg_pf": 79,
        "w_avg_pa": 80.9,
        "pace": 159.7,
        "blowout_rate": 0.3
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 8,
        "losses": 2,
        "win_rate": 0.8,
        "avg_pf": 93.5,
        "avg_pa": 74.7,
        "w_avg_pf": 93.4,
        "w_avg_pa": 75.3,
        "pace": 168.2,
        "blowout_rate": 0.7
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 2,
      "t2_wins": 8,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.2,
      "avg_total": 153
    },
    "confidence": 97,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Japan",
      "probability": 80,
      "margin_pts": 9.9,
      "opponent": "Chinese Taipei",
      "opponent_probability": 20
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 166.8,
      "team_1_proj": 78.5,
      "team_2_proj": 88.4,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 32,
      "team_2": 44,
      "total": 76,
      "source": "actual"
    },
    "quarter_scores": {
      "home": [
        9,
        23,
        17,
        29
      ],
      "away": [
        16,
        28,
        24,
        17
      ],
      "ht_home": 32,
      "ht_away": 44
    },
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        16.2,
        19,
        19.3,
        24
      ],
      "away": [
        21.5,
        24.6,
        23,
        19.3
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        37.7,
        43.6,
        42.3,
        43.3
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 35.2,
        "away": 46.1,
        "total": 81.3
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.206,
        "q2": 0.242,
        "q3": 0.246,
        "q4": 0.306,
        "samples": 5
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.243,
        "q2": 0.279,
        "q3": 0.26,
        "q4": 0.219,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Japan to win",
        "team": "Japan",
        "win_prob": 80,
        "confidence": 97,
        "reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 80% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": null
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  },
  "source_match_id": "Yu2fsUTg",
  "source_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/match/basketball/chinese-taipei-neqeLv49/japan-dIn4Fddq/?mid=Yu2fsUTg",
  "score_home": 78,
  "score_away": 85,
  "period_scores": [],
  "set_scores": [],
  "innings": null,
  "event_status": "FINISHED",
  "status": "FINISHED",
  "status_checked_at": "2026-09-16T12:13:35.681904Z",
  "finished": true,
  "_page_modified_at": "2026-09-16T12:13:35.681904Z"
}

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