Basketball · LNB - Clausura - Losers · Chile

Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepcion

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepcion in LNB - Clausura - Losers (Basketball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

ChileLNB - Clausura - Losers
Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepcion
16 Sept02:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
U. De Concepcion
62%to win
by ~3.6 pts vs Leones Quilpue
Projected Total
167.7pts
8285.7
no market line
Halftime Proj
91.5pts
46.145.4
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Leone…2323.118.117.9
U. De…24.820.620.719.5
Total47.843.738.837.4
from last 5+5 games
Leones Quilpue
Last 10: 91 (90%)
PPG: 83.3 — Allowed: 72.7 — Pace: 156
U. De Concepcion
Last 10: 91 (90%)
PPG: 97.8 — Allowed: 77.2 — Pace: 175
Leones Quilpue Form
Leones Quilpue
W27d
W28d
L32d
W37d
W39d
W41d
W43d
W49d
W60d
W64d
9W · 1L
18 Aug
Catolica vs Leones Quilpue
76-79W
Q:18-1416-2222-2220-21
17 Aug
Leones Quilpue vs Espanol de Ta…
96-69W
Q:31-923-1923-1819-23
13 Aug
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
97-76L
Q:25-2121-2621-1630-13
08 Aug
Leones Quilpue vs Catolica
87-74W
Q:30-1822-2317-1718-16
06 Aug
Colo Colo vs Leones Quilpue
60-61W
Q:15-1714-1814-1117-15
04 Aug
Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepc…
86-74W
02 Aug
Puente Alto vs Leones Quilpue
75-88W
27 Jul
Espanol de Ta… vs Leones Quilpue
63-100W
16 Jul
Leones Quilpue vs Colo Colo
87-77W
12 Jul
Leones Quilpue vs Puente Alto
73-62W
U. De Concepcion Form
U. De Concepcion
W30d
W32d
W35d
W36d
L41d
W45d
W51d
W56d
W58d
W66d
9W · 1L
15 Aug
Espanol de Ta… vs U. De Concepc…
80-103W
Q:29-3323-2110-2818-21
13 Aug
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
97-76W
Q:25-2121-2621-1630-13
10 Aug
Catolica vs U. De Concepc…
54-79W
Q:12-2715-2016-1411-18
09 Aug
Colo Colo vs U. De Concepc…
72-93W
Q:18-2618-2220-2316-22
04 Aug
Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepc…
86-74L
Q:26-1817-2221-2222-12
31 Jul
U. De Concepc… vs Puente Alto
97-89W
25 Jul
U. De Concepc… vs Espanol de Ta…
136-77W
20 Jul
U. De Concepc… vs Catolica
104-83W
18 Jul
U. De Concepc… vs Colo Colo
109-76W
10 Jul
Puente Alto vs U. De Concepc…
79-86W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
13 Aug
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
97-76
Q:25-2121-2621-1630-13
04 Aug
Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepc…
86-74
Q:26-1817-2221-2222-12
10 Jun
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
78-79
Q:23-2120-1916-2419-15
08 Jun
Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepc…
74-81
Q:19-2621-2022-2012-15
07 Jun
Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepc…
83-78
Q:26-1622-2020-2115-21
01 Jun
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
89-78
31 May
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
88-92
30 Apr
Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepc…
88-97
10 Apr
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
95-73
13 Sept
U. De Concepc… vs Leones Quilpue
79-68
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Leones Quilpue 4 / U. De Concepcion 6. Average total: 165.3.
Model output
{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 82,
    "team_2": 85.7,
    "total": 167.7
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 38,
    "team_2": 62
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 9,
      "losses": 1,
      "win_rate": 0.9,
      "avg_pf": 83.3,
      "avg_pa": 72.7,
      "w_avg_pf": 83.2,
      "w_avg_pa": 73.4,
      "pace": 156,
      "blowout_rate": 0.3
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 9,
      "losses": 1,
      "win_rate": 0.9,
      "avg_pf": 97.8,
      "avg_pa": 77.2,
      "w_avg_pf": 97.1,
      "w_avg_pa": 76.7,
      "pace": 175,
      "blowout_rate": 0.7
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 4,
    "t2_wins": 6,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.4,
    "avg_total": 165.3
  },
  "confidence": 84,
  "winner": {
    "team": "U. De Concepcion",
    "probability": 62,
    "margin_pts": 3.6,
    "opponent": "Leones Quilpue",
    "opponent_probability": 38
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 167.7,
    "team_1_proj": 82,
    "team_2_proj": 85.7,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 46.1,
    "team_2": 45.4,
    "total": 91.5,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "quarter_scores": null,
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      23,
      23.1,
      18.1,
      17.9
    ],
    "away": [
      24.8,
      20.6,
      20.7,
      19.5
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      47.8,
      43.7,
      38.8,
      37.4
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 46.1,
      "away": 45.4,
      "total": 91.5
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.28,
      "q2": 0.282,
      "q3": 0.221,
      "q4": 0.218,
      "samples": 5
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.289,
      "q2": 0.241,
      "q3": 0.242,
      "q4": 0.228,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "U. De Concepcion to win",
      "team": "U. De Concepcion",
      "win_prob": 62,
      "confidence": 84,
      "reason": "Projected margin ~4 pts; form 90% vs 90% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Leones Quilpue +ML",
      "team": "Leones Quilpue",
      "win_prob": 38,
      "confidence": 84,
      "reason": "Leones Quilpue has live shot (38%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "LNB - Clausura - Losers",
  "country": "Chile",
  "match": "Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepcion",
  "date": "2026-09-16",
  "time": "02:30",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Leones Quilpue",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "18.08.26",
        "home": "Catolica",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "76-79",
        "home_points": 76,
        "away_points": 79,
        "total_points": 155,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            16,
            22,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            14,
            22,
            22,
            21
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "17.08.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "Espanol de Talca",
        "score": "96-69",
        "home_points": 96,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 165,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            31,
            23,
            23,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            9,
            19,
            18,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.08.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "97-76",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            21,
            21,
            30
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            26,
            16,
            13
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "Catolica",
        "score": "87-74",
        "home_points": 87,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 161,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            30,
            22,
            17,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            23,
            17,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.08.26",
        "home": "Colo Colo",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "60-61",
        "home_points": 60,
        "away_points": 61,
        "total_points": 121,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            14,
            14,
            17
          ],
          "away": [
            17,
            18,
            11,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "04.08.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "86-74",
        "home_points": 86,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 160,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "02.08.26",
        "home": "Puente Alto",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "75-88",
        "home_points": 75,
        "away_points": 88,
        "total_points": 163,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "27.07.26",
        "home": "Espanol de Talca",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "63-100",
        "home_points": 63,
        "away_points": 100,
        "total_points": 163,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "16.07.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "Colo Colo",
        "score": "87-77",
        "home_points": 87,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 164,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "12.07.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "Puente Alto",
        "score": "73-62",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 62,
        "total_points": 135,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "U. De Concepcion",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Espanol de Talca",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "80-103",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 103,
        "total_points": 183,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            29,
            23,
            10,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            33,
            21,
            28,
            21
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.08.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "97-76",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            21,
            21,
            30
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            26,
            16,
            13
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.08.26",
        "home": "Catolica",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "54-79",
        "home_points": 54,
        "away_points": 79,
        "total_points": 133,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            12,
            15,
            16,
            11
          ],
          "away": [
            27,
            20,
            14,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Colo Colo",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "72-93",
        "home_points": 72,
        "away_points": 93,
        "total_points": 165,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            18,
            20,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            26,
            22,
            23,
            22
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "04.08.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "86-74",
        "home_points": 86,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 160,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            17,
            21,
            22
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            22,
            22,
            12
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "31.07.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Puente Alto",
        "score": "97-89",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 89,
        "total_points": 186,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.07.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Espanol de Talca",
        "score": "136-77",
        "home_points": 136,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 213,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "20.07.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Catolica",
        "score": "104-83",
        "home_points": 104,
        "away_points": 83,
        "total_points": 187,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "18.07.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Colo Colo",
        "score": "109-76",
        "home_points": 109,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 185,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "10.07.26",
        "home": "Puente Alto",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "79-86",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 86,
        "total_points": 165,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.08.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "97-76",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            21,
            21,
            30
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            26,
            16,
            13
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "04.08.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "86-74",
        "home_points": 86,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 160,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            17,
            21,
            22
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            22,
            22,
            12
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.06.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "78-79",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 79,
        "total_points": 157,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            23,
            20,
            16,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            19,
            24,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "08.06.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "74-81",
        "home_points": 74,
        "away_points": 81,
        "total_points": 155,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            19,
            21,
            22,
            12
          ],
          "away": [
            26,
            20,
            20,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "07.06.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "83-78",
        "home_points": 83,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 161,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            22,
            20,
            15
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            20,
            21,
            21
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "01.06.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "89-78",
        "home_points": 89,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 167,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "31.05.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "88-92",
        "home_points": 88,
        "away_points": 92,
        "total_points": 180,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "30.04.26",
        "home": "Leones Quilpue",
        "away": "U. De Concepcion",
        "score": "88-97",
        "home_points": 88,
        "away_points": 97,
        "total_points": 185,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "10.04.26",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "95-73",
        "home_points": 95,
        "away_points": 73,
        "total_points": 168,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.25",
        "home": "U. De Concepcion",
        "away": "Leones Quilpue",
        "score": "79-68",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 68,
        "total_points": 147,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 82,
      "team_2": 85.7,
      "total": 167.7
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 38,
      "team_2": 62
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 9,
        "losses": 1,
        "win_rate": 0.9,
        "avg_pf": 83.3,
        "avg_pa": 72.7,
        "w_avg_pf": 83.2,
        "w_avg_pa": 73.4,
        "pace": 156,
        "blowout_rate": 0.3
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 9,
        "losses": 1,
        "win_rate": 0.9,
        "avg_pf": 97.8,
        "avg_pa": 77.2,
        "w_avg_pf": 97.1,
        "w_avg_pa": 76.7,
        "pace": 175,
        "blowout_rate": 0.7
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 4,
      "t2_wins": 6,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_total": 165.3
    },
    "confidence": 84,
    "winner": {
      "team": "U. De Concepcion",
      "probability": 62,
      "margin_pts": 3.6,
      "opponent": "Leones Quilpue",
      "opponent_probability": 38
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 167.7,
      "team_1_proj": 82,
      "team_2_proj": 85.7,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 46.1,
      "team_2": 45.4,
      "total": 91.5,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "quarter_scores": null,
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        23,
        23.1,
        18.1,
        17.9
      ],
      "away": [
        24.8,
        20.6,
        20.7,
        19.5
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        47.8,
        43.7,
        38.8,
        37.4
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 46.1,
        "away": 45.4,
        "total": 91.5
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.28,
        "q2": 0.282,
        "q3": 0.221,
        "q4": 0.218,
        "samples": 5
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.289,
        "q2": 0.241,
        "q3": 0.242,
        "q4": 0.228,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "U. De Concepcion to win",
        "team": "U. De Concepcion",
        "win_prob": 62,
        "confidence": 84,
        "reason": "Projected margin ~4 pts; form 90% vs 90% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Leones Quilpue +ML",
        "team": "Leones Quilpue",
        "win_prob": 38,
        "confidence": 84,
        "reason": "Leones Quilpue has live shot (38%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  }
}

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