Basketball · Copa España · Spain
Moron vs Melilla
Saturday, 26 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Moron vs Melilla in Copa España (Basketball) on Saturday, 26 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Spain • Copa España
Moron vs Melilla
26 Sept • 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Moron
61%to win
by ~3.1 pts vs Melilla
Projected Total
159.8pts
81.4 – 78.3
no market line
Halftime Proj
82.5pts
40.7 – 41.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moron | 19.5 | 21.2 | 20 | 20.6 |
| Melil… | 19.5 | 22.3 | 20.1 | 16.5 |
| Total | 39 | 43.5 | 40.1 | 37.1 |
from last 5+5 games
Moron
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 76.2 — Allowed: 77 — Pace: 153.2
Melilla
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 79.2 — Allowed: 81.5 — Pace: 160.7
Moron Form
Moron
W6d
L126d
L133d
L140d
W146d
L154d
W161d
W167d
W175d
W181d
Q:13-1216-1817-1826-29
Q:18-1320-1623-1814-21
Q:22-1618-3017-2910-23
Q:14-1620-1313-1716-10
Q:21-1729-2115-1622-18
Melilla Form
Melilla
W7d
L134d
L139d
L146d
L150d
W153d
W160d
W167d
L176d
W181d
Q:24-2712-229-1918-19
Q:19-1617-1829-1937-19
Q:19-2431-2418-2516-20
Q:16-2526-1825-2414-29
Q:26-2112-1724-2024-15
Head-to-head summary
2 meetings — Moron 1 / Melilla 1. Average total: 180.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 81.4,
"team_2": 78.3,
"total": 159.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 61,
"team_2": 39
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 76.2,
"avg_pa": 77,
"w_avg_pf": 75.4,
"w_avg_pa": 77.1,
"pace": 153.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 79.2,
"avg_pa": 81.5,
"w_avg_pf": 79.6,
"w_avg_pa": 82.4,
"pace": 160.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 2,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 1,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 180
},
"confidence": 63,
"winner": {
"team": "Moron",
"probability": 61,
"margin_pts": 3.1,
"opponent": "Melilla",
"opponent_probability": 39
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 159.8,
"team_1_proj": 81.4,
"team_2_proj": 78.3,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 40.7,
"team_2": 41.8,
"total": 82.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.5,
21.2,
20,
20.6
],
"away": [
19.5,
22.3,
20.1,
16.5
],
"per_quarter_total": [
39,
43.5,
40.1,
37.1
],
"halftime": {
"home": 40.7,
"away": 41.8,
"total": 82.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.24,
"q2": 0.261,
"q3": 0.246,
"q4": 0.253,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.249,
"q2": 0.285,
"q3": 0.256,
"q4": 0.21,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Melilla +ML",
"team": "Melilla",
"win_prob": 39,
"confidence": 63,
"reason": "Melilla has live shot (39%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Copa España",
"country": "Spain",
"match": "Moron vs Melilla",
"date": "2026-09-26",
"time": "19:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Moron",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Jaen Paraiso",
"away": "Moron",
"score": "72-77",
"home_points": 72,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
16,
17,
26
],
"away": [
12,
18,
18,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.05.26",
"home": "Sant Antoni",
"away": "Moron",
"score": "75-68",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
20,
23,
14
],
"away": [
13,
16,
18,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.05.26",
"home": "Moron",
"away": "Sant Antoni",
"score": "67-98",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
18,
17,
10
],
"away": [
16,
30,
29,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.05.26",
"home": "Gandia",
"away": "Moron",
"score": "63-56",
"home_points": 63,
"away_points": 56,
"total_points": 119,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
20,
13,
16
],
"away": [
16,
13,
17,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.04.26",
"home": "Moron",
"away": "Gandia",
"score": "87-72",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
29,
15,
22
],
"away": [
17,
21,
16,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.04.26",
"home": "Caja 87",
"away": "Moron",
"score": "84-75",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "11.04.26",
"home": "Moron",
"away": "Ponferrada",
"score": "87-75",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.04.26",
"home": "Leonesa",
"away": "Moron",
"score": "83-93",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.03.26",
"home": "Moron",
"away": "Valle de Egues",
"score": "77-74",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.03.26",
"home": "Toledo",
"away": "Moron",
"score": "74-75",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Melilla",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Algeciras",
"away": "Melilla",
"score": "63-87",
"home_points": 63,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
12,
9,
18
],
"away": [
27,
22,
19,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.05.26",
"home": "Hestia Menorca",
"away": "Melilla",
"score": "102-72",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
17,
29,
37
],
"away": [
16,
18,
19,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.05.26",
"home": "Melilla",
"away": "Ourense",
"score": "84-93",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
31,
18,
16
],
"away": [
24,
24,
25,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.04.26",
"home": "Melilla",
"away": "Tizona Burgos",
"score": "81-96",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
26,
25,
14
],
"away": [
25,
18,
24,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.04.26",
"home": "Estudiantes",
"away": "Melilla",
"score": "86-73",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
12,
24,
24
],
"away": [
21,
17,
20,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.04.26",
"home": "Melilla",
"away": "Zamora",
"score": "94-87",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "Palmer Basket",
"away": "Melilla",
"score": "75-82",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.04.26",
"home": "Melilla",
"away": "Gipuzkoa",
"score": "73-54",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 54,
"total_points": 127,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.03.26",
"home": "Palencia",
"away": "Melilla",
"score": "82-62",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 62,
"total_points": 144,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.03.26",
"home": "Melilla",
"away": "Fuenlabrada",
"score": "84-77",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "18.11.25",
"home": "Moron",
"away": "Melilla",
"score": "92-85",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
25,
29,
17
],
"away": [
22,
15,
24,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.10.24",
"home": "Moron",
"away": "Melilla",
"score": "89-94",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
24,
23,
28
],
"away": [
25,
20,
23,
26
]
}
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 81.4,
"team_2": 78.3,
"total": 159.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 61,
"team_2": 39
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 76.2,
"avg_pa": 77,
"w_avg_pf": 75.4,
"w_avg_pa": 77.1,
"pace": 153.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 79.2,
"avg_pa": 81.5,
"w_avg_pf": 79.6,
"w_avg_pa": 82.4,
"pace": 160.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 2,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 1,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 180
},
"confidence": 63,
"winner": {
"team": "Moron",
"probability": 61,
"margin_pts": 3.1,
"opponent": "Melilla",
"opponent_probability": 39
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 159.8,
"team_1_proj": 81.4,
"team_2_proj": 78.3,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 40.7,
"team_2": 41.8,
"total": 82.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.5,
21.2,
20,
20.6
],
"away": [
19.5,
22.3,
20.1,
16.5
],
"per_quarter_total": [
39,
43.5,
40.1,
37.1
],
"halftime": {
"home": 40.7,
"away": 41.8,
"total": 82.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.24,
"q2": 0.261,
"q3": 0.246,
"q4": 0.253,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.249,
"q2": 0.285,
"q3": 0.256,
"q4": 0.21,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Melilla +ML",
"team": "Melilla",
"win_prob": 39,
"confidence": 63,
"reason": "Melilla has live shot (39%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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