Basketball · Basketligaen · Denmark
Holbaek-Stenhus vs Randers
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Holbaek-Stenhus vs Randers in Basketligaen (Basketball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Denmark • Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus vs Randers
17 Sept • 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Randers
65%to win
by ~4.3 pts vs Holbaek-Stenh…
Projected Total
179.2pts
87.4 – 91.8
no market line
Halftime Proj
87.2pts
42.4 – 44.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holba… | 18.9 | 23.5 | 22.8 | 22.1 |
| Rande… | 23.9 | 20.9 | 22.6 | 24.4 |
| Total | 42.8 | 44.4 | 45.4 | 46.5 |
from last 5+5 games
Holbaek-Stenhus
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 86.6 — Allowed: 86.4 — Pace: 173
Randers
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 92.3 — Allowed: 89.1 — Pace: 181.4
Holbaek-Stenhus Form
Holbaek-Stenhus
L146d
W152d
L157d
L161d
W168d
L172d
L179d
W186d
L189d
W193d
Q:12-2423-2326-1922-23
Q:25-2425-1920-2913-31
Q:20-2332-2118-2715-30
Q:21-2327-1817-2833-17
Q:24-1618-249-1414-26
Randers Form
Randers
W149d
W152d
L159d
W167d
L170d
W174d
W177d
L184d
L188d
L193d
Q:30-1218-917-2232-20
Q:21-2331-2627-1317-16
Q:23-1521-1419-2524-28
Q:43-1228-2429-2622-32
Q:31-2030-1920-1921-25
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:9-2425-2320-1522-24
Q:34-2123-2321-2124-11
Q:25-278-2321-3017-19
Q:27-1432-2128-1916-16
Q:17-3625-2516-2029-34
Head-to-head summary
8 meetings — Holbaek-Stenhus 0 / Randers 8. Average total: 168.1.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 87.4,
"team_2": 91.8,
"total": 179.2
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 35,
"team_2": 65
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 86.6,
"avg_pa": 86.4,
"w_avg_pf": 86.7,
"w_avg_pa": 86.8,
"pace": 173,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.3,
"avg_pa": 89.1,
"w_avg_pf": 92.7,
"w_avg_pa": 87.1,
"pace": 181.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 8,
"t1_wins": 0,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0,
"avg_total": 168.1
},
"confidence": 86,
"winner": {
"team": "Randers",
"probability": 65,
"margin_pts": 4.3,
"opponent": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"opponent_probability": 35
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 179.2,
"team_1_proj": 87.4,
"team_2_proj": 91.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 42.4,
"team_2": 44.8,
"total": 87.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
18.9,
23.5,
22.8,
22.1
],
"away": [
23.9,
20.9,
22.6,
24.4
],
"per_quarter_total": [
42.8,
44.4,
45.4,
46.5
],
"halftime": {
"home": 42.4,
"away": 44.8,
"total": 87.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.216,
"q2": 0.269,
"q3": 0.261,
"q4": 0.253,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.261,
"q2": 0.228,
"q3": 0.246,
"q4": 0.266,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Randers to win",
"team": "Randers",
"win_prob": 65,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Projected margin ~4 pts; form 50% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 8"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Holbaek-Stenhus +ML",
"team": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"win_prob": 35,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Holbaek-Stenhus has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Basketligaen",
"country": "Denmark",
"match": "Holbaek-Stenhus vs Randers",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "20:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "23.04.26",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Vaerlose",
"score": "83-89",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
12,
23,
26,
22
],
"away": [
24,
23,
19,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.04.26",
"home": "Vejen",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "83-103",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
25,
20,
13
],
"away": [
24,
19,
29,
31
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Bears Academy",
"score": "85-101",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
32,
18,
15
],
"away": [
23,
21,
27,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.04.26",
"home": "Amager",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "98-86",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
27,
17,
33
],
"away": [
23,
18,
28,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.04.26",
"home": "BMS Herlev",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "65-80",
"home_points": 65,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
18,
9,
14
],
"away": [
16,
24,
14,
26
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.03.26",
"home": "Vaerlose",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "87-80",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.03.26",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Vejen",
"score": "90-93",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "Bears Academy",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "80-84",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "11.03.26",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Amager",
"score": "75-83",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 158,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.03.26",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "BMS Herlev",
"score": "100-85",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Randers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "20.04.26",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Copenhagen",
"score": "97-63",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
30,
18,
17,
32
],
"away": [
12,
9,
22,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.04.26",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Svendborg",
"score": "96-78",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
31,
27,
17
],
"away": [
23,
26,
13,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.04.26",
"home": "Horsens",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "87-82",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
21,
19,
24
],
"away": [
15,
14,
25,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.04.26",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Team FOG Naestved",
"score": "122-94",
"home_points": 122,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 216,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
43,
28,
29,
22
],
"away": [
12,
24,
26,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.03.26",
"home": "Bakken Bears",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "102-83",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
30,
20,
21
],
"away": [
20,
19,
19,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.03.26",
"home": "Svendborg",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "69-80",
"home_points": 69,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "23.03.26",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Horsens",
"score": "82-77",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.03.26",
"home": "Team FOG Naestved",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "105-104",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 209,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "12.03.26",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Bakken Bears",
"score": "86-109",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 109,
"total_points": 195,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.03.26",
"home": "Copenhagen",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "107-91",
"home_points": 107,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 198,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "23.11.25",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "76-86",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
9,
25,
20,
22
],
"away": [
24,
23,
15,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.10.25",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "102-76",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
34,
23,
21,
24
],
"away": [
21,
23,
21,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.02.25",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "71-99",
"home_points": 71,
"away_points": 99,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
8,
21,
17
],
"away": [
27,
23,
30,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.11.24",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "103-70",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
32,
28,
16
],
"away": [
14,
21,
19,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.12.23",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "87-115",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 115,
"total_points": 202,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
25,
16,
29
],
"away": [
36,
25,
20,
34
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.09.23",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "104-53",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 53,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.01.23",
"home": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"away": "Randers",
"score": "62-82",
"home_points": 62,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 144,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.12.22",
"home": "Randers",
"away": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"score": "96-63",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 87.4,
"team_2": 91.8,
"total": 179.2
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 35,
"team_2": 65
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 86.6,
"avg_pa": 86.4,
"w_avg_pf": 86.7,
"w_avg_pa": 86.8,
"pace": 173,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.3,
"avg_pa": 89.1,
"w_avg_pf": 92.7,
"w_avg_pa": 87.1,
"pace": 181.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 8,
"t1_wins": 0,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0,
"avg_total": 168.1
},
"confidence": 86,
"winner": {
"team": "Randers",
"probability": 65,
"margin_pts": 4.3,
"opponent": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"opponent_probability": 35
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 179.2,
"team_1_proj": 87.4,
"team_2_proj": 91.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 42.4,
"team_2": 44.8,
"total": 87.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
18.9,
23.5,
22.8,
22.1
],
"away": [
23.9,
20.9,
22.6,
24.4
],
"per_quarter_total": [
42.8,
44.4,
45.4,
46.5
],
"halftime": {
"home": 42.4,
"away": 44.8,
"total": 87.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.216,
"q2": 0.269,
"q3": 0.261,
"q4": 0.253,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.261,
"q2": 0.228,
"q3": 0.246,
"q4": 0.266,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Randers to win",
"team": "Randers",
"win_prob": 65,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Projected margin ~4 pts; form 50% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 8"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Holbaek-Stenhus +ML",
"team": "Holbaek-Stenhus",
"win_prob": 35,
"confidence": 86,
"reason": "Holbaek-Stenhus has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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