Dallas Wings W vs Phoenix Mercury W

{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 91,
    "team_2": 84.2,
    "total": 175.1
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 72,
    "team_2": 28
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 6,
      "losses": 4,
      "win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_pf": 89,
      "avg_pa": 84.2,
      "w_avg_pf": 89.9,
      "w_avg_pa": 82.6,
      "pace": 173.2,
      "blowout_rate": 0.5
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 3,
      "losses": 7,
      "win_rate": 0.3,
      "avg_pf": 84.9,
      "avg_pa": 87.4,
      "w_avg_pf": 85.8,
      "w_avg_pa": 87,
      "pace": 172.3,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 5,
    "t2_wins": 5,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.5,
    "avg_total": 178.3
  },
  "confidence": 81,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Dallas Wings W",
    "probability": 72,
    "margin_pts": 6.8,
    "opponent": "Phoenix Mercury W",
    "opponent_probability": 28
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 175.1,
    "team_1_proj": 91,
    "team_2_proj": 84.2,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 48.4,
    "team_2": 39.1,
    "total": 87.5,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "quarter_scores": null,
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      26.1,
      22.3,
      21.1,
      21.4
    ],
    "away": [
      18.6,
      20.5,
      25.8,
      19.3
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      44.7,
      42.8,
      46.9,
      40.7
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 48.4,
      "away": 39.1,
      "total": 87.5
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.287,
      "q2": 0.245,
      "q3": 0.232,
      "q4": 0.235,
      "samples": 5
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.221,
      "q2": 0.243,
      "q3": 0.306,
      "q4": 0.229,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Dallas Wings W to win",
      "team": "Dallas Wings W",
      "win_prob": 72,
      "confidence": 81,
      "reason": "Projected margin ~7 pts; form 60% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "total points (Over)",
      "pick": "Over (projected 175)",
      "projected": 175.1,
      "confidence": 81,
      "reason": "Combined pace 172.8 > league baseline."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}

{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "WNBA",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "Dallas Wings W vs Phoenix Mercury W",
  "date": "2026-09-19",
  "time": "20:00",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Dallas Wings W",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "18.09.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Los Angeles Sparks W",
        "score": "97-77",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 174,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            19,
            25,
            28
          ],
          "away": [
            25,
            19,
            14,
            19
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "31.08.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Connecticut Sun W",
        "score": "97-71",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 71,
        "total_points": 168,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            32,
            28,
            23,
            14
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            29,
            12,
            12
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "26.08.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Portland Fire W",
        "score": "96-78",
        "home_points": 96,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 174,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            27,
            23,
            21,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            19,
            15,
            26
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "23.08.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Seattle Storm W",
        "score": "92-70",
        "home_points": 92,
        "away_points": 70,
        "total_points": 162,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            34,
            22,
            17,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            17,
            18,
            23,
            12
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "21.08.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Indiana Fever W",
        "score": "91-85",
        "home_points": 91,
        "away_points": 85,
        "total_points": 176,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            24,
            24,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            22,
            20,
            19,
            24
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "18.08.26",
        "home": "Golden State Valkyries W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "78-70",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 70,
        "total_points": 148,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Indiana Fever W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "98-87",
        "home_points": 98,
        "away_points": 87,
        "total_points": 185,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "13.08.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Toronto Tempo W",
        "score": "94-88",
        "home_points": 94,
        "away_points": 88,
        "total_points": 182,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Minnesota Lynx W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "103-90",
        "home_points": 103,
        "away_points": 90,
        "total_points": 193,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Golden State Valkyries W",
        "score": "76-94",
        "home_points": 76,
        "away_points": 94,
        "total_points": 170,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Phoenix Mercury W",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "18.09.26",
        "home": "Portland Fire W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "91-94",
        "home_points": 91,
        "away_points": 94,
        "total_points": 185,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            24,
            19,
            22
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            23,
            25,
            26
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Toronto Tempo W",
        "score": "101-69",
        "home_points": 101,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 170,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            27,
            31,
            30,
            13
          ],
          "away": [
            17,
            18,
            14,
            20
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "28.08.26",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Washington Mystics W",
        "score": "73-80",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 80,
        "total_points": 153,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            19,
            20,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            20,
            13,
            27
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "26.08.26",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Washington Mystics W",
        "score": "84-94",
        "home_points": 84,
        "away_points": 94,
        "total_points": 178,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            18,
            27,
            24
          ],
          "away": [
            24,
            27,
            26,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "23.08.26",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Atlanta Dream W",
        "score": "89-99",
        "home_points": 89,
        "away_points": 99,
        "total_points": 188,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            17,
            33,
            21
          ],
          "away": [
            29,
            21,
            23,
            26
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "17.08.26",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Portland Fire W",
        "score": "85-88",
        "home_points": 85,
        "away_points": 88,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "12.08.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Sparks W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "87-94",
        "home_points": 87,
        "away_points": 94,
        "total_points": 181,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Washington Mystics W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "95-75",
        "home_points": 95,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 170,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Connecticut Sun W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "75-72",
        "home_points": 75,
        "away_points": 72,
        "total_points": 147,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.08.26",
        "home": "Atlanta Dream W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "96-82",
        "home_points": 96,
        "away_points": 82,
        "total_points": 178,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.06.26",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "85-70",
        "home_points": 85,
        "away_points": 70,
        "total_points": 155,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            24,
            21,
            25,
            15
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            16,
            16,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.25",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "97-76",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            32,
            25,
            15
          ],
          "away": [
            28,
            19,
            13,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "08.07.25",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "102-72",
        "home_points": 102,
        "away_points": 72,
        "total_points": 174,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            28,
            24,
            30,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            19,
            20,
            17,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "04.07.25",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "98-89",
        "home_points": 98,
        "away_points": 89,
        "total_points": 187,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            32,
            29,
            21,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            23,
            28,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.06.25",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "93-80",
        "home_points": 93,
        "away_points": 80,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            21,
            21,
            25,
            26
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            16,
            21,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.07.24",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "100-84",
        "home_points": 100,
        "away_points": 84,
        "total_points": 184,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "04.07.24",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "96-104",
        "home_points": 96,
        "away_points": 104,
        "total_points": 200,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "09.06.24",
        "home": "Dallas Wings W",
        "away": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "score": "90-97",
        "home_points": 90,
        "away_points": 97,
        "total_points": 187,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "26.05.24",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "92-107",
        "home_points": 92,
        "away_points": 107,
        "total_points": 199,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "28.08.23",
        "home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
        "away": "Dallas Wings W",
        "score": "74-77",
        "home_points": 74,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 151,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 91,
      "team_2": 84.2,
      "total": 175.1
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 72,
      "team_2": 28
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 6,
        "losses": 4,
        "win_rate": 0.6,
        "avg_pf": 89,
        "avg_pa": 84.2,
        "w_avg_pf": 89.9,
        "w_avg_pa": 82.6,
        "pace": 173.2,
        "blowout_rate": 0.5
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 3,
        "losses": 7,
        "win_rate": 0.3,
        "avg_pf": 84.9,
        "avg_pa": 87.4,
        "w_avg_pf": 85.8,
        "w_avg_pa": 87,
        "pace": 172.3,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 5,
      "t2_wins": 5,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.5,
      "avg_total": 178.3
    },
    "confidence": 81,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Dallas Wings W",
      "probability": 72,
      "margin_pts": 6.8,
      "opponent": "Phoenix Mercury W",
      "opponent_probability": 28
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 175.1,
      "team_1_proj": 91,
      "team_2_proj": 84.2,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 48.4,
      "team_2": 39.1,
      "total": 87.5,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "quarter_scores": null,
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        26.1,
        22.3,
        21.1,
        21.4
      ],
      "away": [
        18.6,
        20.5,
        25.8,
        19.3
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        44.7,
        42.8,
        46.9,
        40.7
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 48.4,
        "away": 39.1,
        "total": 87.5
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.287,
        "q2": 0.245,
        "q3": 0.232,
        "q4": 0.235,
        "samples": 5
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.221,
        "q2": 0.243,
        "q3": 0.306,
        "q4": 0.229,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Dallas Wings W to win",
        "team": "Dallas Wings W",
        "win_prob": 72,
        "confidence": 81,
        "reason": "Projected margin ~7 pts; form 60% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "total points (Over)",
        "pick": "Over (projected 175)",
        "projected": 175.1,
        "confidence": 81,
        "reason": "Combined pace 172.8 > league baseline."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  }
}