Basketball · LNBP · Mexico
Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun in LNBP (Basketball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Mexico • LNBP
Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun
17 Sept • 05:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Dorados
65%to win
by ~4.5 pts vs El Calor de C…
Projected Total
174.9pts
89.8 – 85.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
90.5pts
46.9 – 43.6
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorad… | 24.8 | 22.1 | 20.3 | 22.6 |
| El Ca… | 19.6 | 24 | 16.4 | 25.2 |
| Total | 44.4 | 46.1 | 36.7 | 47.8 |
from last 5+5 games
Dorados
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 84.3 — Allowed: 87.3 — Pace: 171.6
El Calor de Cancun
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 83.8 — Allowed: 89.7 — Pace: 173.5
Dorados Form
Dorados
L1d
W2d
L13d
W14d
W18d
L19d
L23d
W24d
L27d
L28d
Q:16-2931-2219-2019-12
Q:28-2418-1919-1914-24
Q:13-2624-2019-2626-20
Q:35-1014-2218-2328-16
Q:27-2315-3121-2531-23
El Calor de Cancun Form
El Calor de Cancun
L1d
W2d
L13d
L14d
L18d
L19d
L23d
L24d
W27d
W28d
Q:21-3122-2015-2224-13
Q:27-2430-1813-3133-15
Q:26-2222-2621-2620-12
Q:36-1318-2430-1318-25
Q:16-2318-2214-3031-13
Head-to-head summary
4 meetings — Dorados 2 / El Calor de Cancun 2. Average total: 159.5.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 89.8,
"team_2": 85.2,
"total": 174.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 65,
"team_2": 35
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 84.3,
"avg_pa": 87.3,
"w_avg_pf": 84.8,
"w_avg_pa": 86.9,
"pace": 171.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 83.8,
"avg_pa": 89.7,
"w_avg_pf": 83.5,
"w_avg_pa": 89.7,
"pace": 173.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 159.5
},
"confidence": 71,
"winner": {
"team": "Dorados",
"probability": 65,
"margin_pts": 4.5,
"opponent": "El Calor de Cancun",
"opponent_probability": 35
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 174.9,
"team_1_proj": 89.8,
"team_2_proj": 85.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.9,
"team_2": 43.6,
"total": 90.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.8,
22.1,
20.3,
22.6
],
"away": [
19.6,
24,
16.4,
25.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
46.1,
36.7,
47.8
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.9,
"away": 43.6,
"total": 90.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.276,
"q2": 0.246,
"q3": 0.226,
"q4": 0.252,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.23,
"q2": 0.282,
"q3": 0.192,
"q4": 0.296,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Dorados to win",
"team": "Dorados",
"win_prob": 65,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "Projected margin ~5 pts; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "El Calor de Cancun +ML",
"team": "El Calor de Cancun",
"win_prob": 35,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "El Calor de Cancun has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "LNBP",
"country": "Mexico",
"match": "Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "05:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Dorados",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "85-83",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
31,
19,
19
],
"away": [
29,
22,
20,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "79-86",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
18,
19,
14
],
"away": [
24,
19,
19,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Mineros",
"score": "82-92",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
24,
19,
26
],
"away": [
26,
20,
26,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Mineros",
"score": "95-71",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
35,
14,
18,
28
],
"away": [
10,
22,
23,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Santos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "94-102",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
15,
21,
31
],
"away": [
23,
31,
25,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "Santos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "87-63",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "87-106",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "97-81",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "104-77",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "74-71",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "El Calor de Cancun",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Panteras",
"score": "82-86",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
22,
15,
24
],
"away": [
31,
20,
22,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Panteras",
"score": "103-88",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 191,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
30,
13,
33
],
"away": [
24,
18,
31,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "89-86",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
22,
21,
20
],
"away": [
22,
26,
26,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "102-75",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
36,
18,
30,
18
],
"away": [
13,
24,
13,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "79-88",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
18,
14,
31
],
"away": [
23,
22,
30,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "50-89",
"home_points": 50,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 139,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "80-76",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "93-89",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "99-108",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 108,
"total_points": 207,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "83-90",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.09.25",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "83-77",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
23,
11,
20
],
"away": [
17,
29,
13,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.25",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "90-92",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
23,
22,
24
],
"away": [
14,
20,
31,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.09.24",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "90-71",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
25,
19,
26
],
"away": [
14,
16,
14,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.09.24",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "63-72",
"home_points": 63,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 135,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
16,
17,
11
],
"away": [
18,
15,
20,
19
]
}
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 89.8,
"team_2": 85.2,
"total": 174.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 65,
"team_2": 35
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 84.3,
"avg_pa": 87.3,
"w_avg_pf": 84.8,
"w_avg_pa": 86.9,
"pace": 171.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 83.8,
"avg_pa": 89.7,
"w_avg_pf": 83.5,
"w_avg_pa": 89.7,
"pace": 173.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 159.5
},
"confidence": 71,
"winner": {
"team": "Dorados",
"probability": 65,
"margin_pts": 4.5,
"opponent": "El Calor de Cancun",
"opponent_probability": 35
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 174.9,
"team_1_proj": 89.8,
"team_2_proj": 85.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.9,
"team_2": 43.6,
"total": 90.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.8,
22.1,
20.3,
22.6
],
"away": [
19.6,
24,
16.4,
25.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
46.1,
36.7,
47.8
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.9,
"away": 43.6,
"total": 90.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.276,
"q2": 0.246,
"q3": 0.226,
"q4": 0.252,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.23,
"q2": 0.282,
"q3": 0.192,
"q4": 0.296,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Dorados to win",
"team": "Dorados",
"win_prob": 65,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "Projected margin ~5 pts; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "El Calor de Cancun +ML",
"team": "El Calor de Cancun",
"win_prob": 35,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "El Calor de Cancun has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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