Basketball · Friendly International · World
Italy vs Estonia
Saturday, 22 August 2026
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.Archived fixture
A final score is not available in this archive.
Italy vs Estonia in Friendly International (Basketball) was scheduled for Saturday, 22 August 2026. A final score is not available in this archive. See the head-to-head record and recent form.
World • Friendly International
Italy vs Estonia
22 Aug • 20:30
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.
Predicted Winner
Italy
84%to win
by ~12 pts vs Estonia
Projected Total
168pts
90 – 78
no market line
Halftime Proj
89.3pts
48.6 – 40.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 24.4 | 24.2 | 20.1 | 21.3 |
| Eston… | 22.2 | 18.5 | 19.4 | 17.9 |
| Total | 46.6 | 42.7 | 39.5 | 39.2 |
from last 5+5 games
Italy
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
PPG: 87.9 — Allowed: 77.3 — Pace: 165.2
Estonia
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 80.5 — Allowed: 82.1 — Pace: 162.6
Italy Form
Italy
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
Q:22-2518-1219-2428-23
Q:25-2721-3116-2621-18
Q:24-2419-3021-1219-20
Q:32-2423-2726-2122-19
Q:21-2122-1721-2120-16
Estonia Form
Estonia
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
Q:28-3121-1926-2919-15OT 14-16
Q:24-2017-1711-1623-20
Q:22-1624-1527-2020-11
Q:23-2423-1616-2026-18
Q:22-2316-1517-1314-28
Head-to-head summary
3 meetings — Italy 3 / Estonia 0. Average total: 169.3.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 90,
"team_2": 78,
"total": 168
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 84,
"team_2": 16
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 87.9,
"avg_pa": 77.3,
"w_avg_pf": 88.7,
"w_avg_pa": 78.3,
"pace": 165.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 80.5,
"avg_pa": 82.1,
"w_avg_pf": 81.7,
"w_avg_pa": 82.3,
"pace": 162.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 3,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 169.3
},
"confidence": 96,
"winner": {
"team": "Italy",
"probability": 84,
"margin_pts": 12,
"opponent": "Estonia",
"opponent_probability": 16
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 168,
"team_1_proj": 90,
"team_2_proj": 78,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 48.6,
"team_2": 40.7,
"total": 89.3,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.4,
24.2,
20.1,
21.3
],
"away": [
22.2,
18.5,
19.4,
17.9
],
"per_quarter_total": [
46.6,
42.7,
39.5,
39.2
],
"halftime": {
"home": 48.6,
"away": 40.7,
"total": 89.3
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.271,
"q2": 0.269,
"q3": 0.223,
"q4": 0.237,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.284,
"q2": 0.237,
"q3": 0.249,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Italy to win",
"team": "Italy",
"win_prob": 84,
"confidence": 96,
"reason": "Projected margin ~12 pts; form 80% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 3"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Friendly International",
"country": "World",
"match": "Italy vs Estonia",
"date": "2026-08-22",
"time": "20:30",
"status": null,
"score": "{'home': 83, 'away': 61}",
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Italy",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Lithuania",
"score": "87-84",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
18,
19,
28
],
"away": [
25,
12,
24,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Iceland",
"away": "Italy",
"score": "83-102",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
21,
16,
21
],
"away": [
27,
31,
26,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Slovenia",
"away": "Italy",
"score": "83-86",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
19,
21,
19
],
"away": [
24,
30,
12,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Croatia",
"score": "103-91",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
23,
26,
22
],
"away": [
24,
27,
21,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Great Britain",
"score": "84-75",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
22,
21,
20
],
"away": [
21,
17,
21,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Great Britain",
"away": "Italy",
"score": "57-93",
"home_points": 57,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Lithuania",
"away": "Italy",
"score": "81-82",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Iceland",
"score": "76-81",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Slovenia",
"score": "77-84",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Cyprus",
"score": "89-54",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 54,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Estonia",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Lithuania",
"away": "Estonia",
"score": "108-94",
"home_points": 108,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 202,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
21,
26,
19,
14
],
"away": [
31,
19,
29,
15,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Czech Republic",
"away": "Estonia",
"score": "75-73",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
17,
11,
23
],
"away": [
20,
17,
16,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Estonia",
"away": "Slovenia",
"score": "93-62",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 62,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
24,
27,
20
],
"away": [
16,
15,
20,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Estonia",
"away": "Latvia",
"score": "88-78",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
23,
16,
26
],
"away": [
24,
16,
20,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Estonia",
"away": "Sweden",
"score": "69-79",
"home_points": 69,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
16,
17,
14
],
"away": [
23,
15,
13,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Sweden",
"away": "Estonia",
"score": "77-88",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Estonia",
"away": "Czech Republic",
"score": "92-97",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Slovenia",
"away": "Estonia",
"score": "93-79",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Estonia",
"away": "Portugal",
"score": "65-68",
"home_points": 65,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 133,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Estonia",
"away": "Turkey",
"score": "64-84",
"home_points": 64,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Estonia",
"score": "83-62",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 62,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
31,
17,
14
],
"away": [
18,
15,
19,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Italy",
"away": "Estonia",
"score": "101-94",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 195,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
23,
22,
28,
7
],
"away": [
20,
34,
28,
12,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Estonia",
"away": "Italy",
"score": "81-87",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
29,
14,
20
],
"away": [
18,
23,
18,
28
]
}
}
]
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 90,
"team_2": 78,
"total": 168
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 84,
"team_2": 16
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 87.9,
"avg_pa": 77.3,
"w_avg_pf": 88.7,
"w_avg_pa": 78.3,
"pace": 165.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 80.5,
"avg_pa": 82.1,
"w_avg_pf": 81.7,
"w_avg_pa": 82.3,
"pace": 162.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 3,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 169.3
},
"confidence": 96,
"winner": {
"team": "Italy",
"probability": 84,
"margin_pts": 12,
"opponent": "Estonia",
"opponent_probability": 16
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 168,
"team_1_proj": 90,
"team_2_proj": 78,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 48.6,
"team_2": 40.7,
"total": 89.3,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.4,
24.2,
20.1,
21.3
],
"away": [
22.2,
18.5,
19.4,
17.9
],
"per_quarter_total": [
46.6,
42.7,
39.5,
39.2
],
"halftime": {
"home": 48.6,
"away": 40.7,
"total": 89.3
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.271,
"q2": 0.269,
"q3": 0.223,
"q4": 0.237,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.284,
"q2": 0.237,
"q3": 0.249,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Italy to win",
"team": "Italy",
"win_prob": 84,
"confidence": 96,
"reason": "Projected margin ~12 pts; form 80% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 3"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
},
"_page_published_at": "2026-08-21T18:03:39.640601+03:00",
"_page_modified_at": "2026-08-21T18:03:39.640601+03:00"
}Prediction alerts
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