Basketball · NBL · Australia
Sydney vs Cairns Taipans
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Sydney vs Cairns Taipans in NBL (Basketball) on Sunday, 20 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
Sydney vs Cairns Taipans
20 Sept • 10:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Sydney
88%to win
by ~14.4 pts vs Cairns Taipans
Projected Total
192pts
103.2 – 88.8
no market line
Halftime Proj
104pts
56.3 – 47.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 27.3 | 29 | 21.3 | 25.6 |
| Cairn… | 21.2 | 26.5 | 17.6 | 23.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 55.5 | 38.9 | 49.1 |
from last 5+5 games
Sydney
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
PPG: 101.5 — Allowed: 87.3 — Pace: 188.8
Cairns Taipans
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 91.3 — Allowed: 98.3 — Pace: 189.6
Sydney Form
Sydney
W6d
W14d
W166d
L170d
W173d
L175d
W181d
W188d
W191d
W210d
Q:21-2128-3124-2525-21
Q:24-3020-2110-2020-24
Q:29-3127-2413-2126-19OT 18-6
Q:22-2424-2926-2120-17
Q:24-3128-2221-1733-23
Cairns Taipans Form
Cairns Taipans
W6d
L13d
W16d
L211d
L218d
W222d
L224d
L229d
W231d
L237d
Q:28-3121-3623-2926-33
Q:31-2332-2627-1222-25
Q:15-2530-2117-1623-20
Q:24-2437-2027-2227-18
Q:19-1927-2114-1625-33
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:34-1720-2822-2616-35
Q:28-2329-1834-1928-17
Q:18-2227-1813-2116-16
Q:17-1922-1925-2427-25
Q:26-2016-2113-1820-22
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Sydney 8 / Cairns Taipans 2. Average total: 174.6.
Sydney
1.29
Implied 73.1%
Edge +14.9%
Cairns Taipans
3.5
Implied 26.9%
Edge -14.9%
Bookmaker vig: 6.09%
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 103.2,
"team_2": 88.8,
"total": 192
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 88,
"team_2": 12
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 101.5,
"avg_pa": 87.3,
"w_avg_pf": 101,
"w_avg_pa": 87.9,
"pace": 188.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 91.3,
"avg_pa": 98.3,
"w_avg_pf": 92.1,
"w_avg_pa": 98,
"pace": 189.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 174.6
},
"confidence": 100,
"winner": {
"team": "Sydney",
"probability": 88,
"margin_pts": 14.4,
"opponent": "Cairns Taipans",
"opponent_probability": 12
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 192,
"team_1_proj": 103.2,
"team_2_proj": 88.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 56.3,
"team_2": 47.7,
"total": 104,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
27.3,
29,
21.3,
25.6
],
"away": [
21.2,
26.5,
17.6,
23.5
],
"per_quarter_total": [
48.5,
55.5,
38.9,
49.1
],
"halftime": {
"home": 56.3,
"away": 47.7,
"total": 104
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.265,
"q2": 0.281,
"q3": 0.206,
"q4": 0.248,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.239,
"q2": 0.298,
"q3": 0.198,
"q4": 0.265,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Sydney to win",
"team": "Sydney",
"win_prob": 88,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Projected margin ~14 pts; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 192)",
"projected": 192,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Combined pace 189.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "Sydney vs Cairns Taipans",
"date": "2026-09-20",
"time": "10:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Sydney",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "98-98",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
28,
24,
25
],
"away": [
21,
31,
25,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "74-95",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
20,
10,
20
],
"away": [
30,
21,
20,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.04.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "113-101",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 214,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
27,
13,
26,
18
],
"away": [
31,
24,
21,
19,
6
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.04.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "92-91",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
24,
26,
20
],
"away": [
24,
29,
21,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "106-93",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
28,
21,
33
],
"away": [
31,
22,
17,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "91-89",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "112-68",
"home_points": 112,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "75-89",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "11.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "105-104",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 209,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.02.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "77-117",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 117,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Cairns Taipans",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "98-129",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 129,
"total_points": 227,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
21,
23,
26
],
"away": [
31,
36,
29,
33
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "112-86",
"home_points": 112,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 198,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
32,
27,
22
],
"away": [
23,
26,
12,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "85-82",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
30,
17,
23
],
"away": [
25,
21,
16,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "115-84",
"home_points": 115,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
37,
27,
27
],
"away": [
24,
20,
22,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.02.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "85-89",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
27,
14,
25
],
"away": [
19,
21,
16,
33
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "72-81",
"home_points": 72,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "06.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "98-84",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.02.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "92-106",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 198,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.01.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "96-93",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.01.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "118-91",
"home_points": 118,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 209,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "01.02.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "92-106",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 198,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
34,
20,
22,
16
],
"away": [
17,
28,
26,
35
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.12.25",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "119-77",
"home_points": 119,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
29,
34,
28
],
"away": [
23,
18,
19,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.09.25",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "74-77",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
27,
13,
16
],
"away": [
22,
18,
21,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.01.25",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "91-87",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
22,
25,
27
],
"away": [
19,
19,
24,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.11.24",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "75-81",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
16,
13,
20
],
"away": [
20,
21,
18,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.10.24",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "99-73",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.24",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "77-99",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 99,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.12.23",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "101-82",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.12.23",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "83-86",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.10.23",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "87-80",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.29,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 73.1,
"edge_vs_model": 14.9
},
"away": {
"value": 3.5,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 26.9,
"edge_vs_model": -14.9
},
"vig_pct": 6.09
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 103.2,
"team_2": 88.8,
"total": 192
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 88,
"team_2": 12
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 101.5,
"avg_pa": 87.3,
"w_avg_pf": 101,
"w_avg_pa": 87.9,
"pace": 188.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 91.3,
"avg_pa": 98.3,
"w_avg_pf": 92.1,
"w_avg_pa": 98,
"pace": 189.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 174.6
},
"confidence": 100,
"winner": {
"team": "Sydney",
"probability": 88,
"margin_pts": 14.4,
"opponent": "Cairns Taipans",
"opponent_probability": 12
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 192,
"team_1_proj": 103.2,
"team_2_proj": 88.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 56.3,
"team_2": 47.7,
"total": 104,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
27.3,
29,
21.3,
25.6
],
"away": [
21.2,
26.5,
17.6,
23.5
],
"per_quarter_total": [
48.5,
55.5,
38.9,
49.1
],
"halftime": {
"home": 56.3,
"away": 47.7,
"total": 104
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.265,
"q2": 0.281,
"q3": 0.206,
"q4": 0.248,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.239,
"q2": 0.298,
"q3": 0.198,
"q4": 0.265,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Sydney to win",
"team": "Sydney",
"win_prob": 88,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Projected margin ~14 pts; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 192)",
"projected": 192,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Combined pace 189.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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