Basketball · NBL · Australia
Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne
Monday, 21 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne in NBL (Basketball) on Monday, 21 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne
21 Sept • 12:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
South East Melbourne
60%to win
by ~3 pts vs Tasmania Jack…
Projected Total
197.3pts
97.1 – 100.1
no market line
Halftime Proj
101.2pts
49.6 – 51.6
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasma… | 24.7 | 24.9 | 24.3 | 23.3 |
| South… | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.5 | 22.9 |
| Total | 50.5 | 50.7 | 49.8 | 46.2 |
from last 5+5 games
Tasmania JackJumpers
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
PPG: 90.9 — Allowed: 96 — Pace: 186.9
South East Melbourne
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 103.1 — Allowed: 100.2 — Pace: 203.3
Tasmania JackJumpers Form
Tasmania JackJump…
L7d
L13d
L198d
L213d
L217d
W225d
W230d
L232d
L238d
L240d
Q:21-2128-3124-2525-21
Q:19-2230-2616-2321-25
Q:15-1725-1416-2426-13
Q:18-2616-2817-2719-22
Q:32-3435-2235-2318-25
South East Melbourne Form
South East Melbou…
L11d
W14d
L186d
W189d
L193d
W199d
L212d
W217d
L223d
W226d
Q:32-2527-2726-2415-27
Q:37-2130-3317-2629-25
Q:28-1731-2824-1925-32
Q:19-3025-2739-2018-15
Q:25-2725-2127-2727-22
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:32-3435-2235-2318-25
Q:23-1526-1817-2321-28
Q:36-2712-2518-1815-19
Q:29-3232-2820-1821-25
Q:19-2327-2229-1741-18
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Tasmania JackJumpers 3 / South East Melbourne 7. Average total: 181.2.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 97.1,
"team_2": 100.1,
"total": 197.3
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 40,
"team_2": 60
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 2,
"losses": 8,
"win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_pf": 90.9,
"avg_pa": 96,
"w_avg_pf": 90.3,
"w_avg_pa": 95.8,
"pace": 186.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 103.1,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 102.9,
"w_avg_pa": 100.6,
"pace": 203.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 181.2
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "South East Melbourne",
"probability": 60,
"margin_pts": 3,
"opponent": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 197.3,
"team_1_proj": 97.1,
"team_2_proj": 100.1,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 49.6,
"team_2": 51.6,
"total": 101.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.7,
24.9,
24.3,
23.3
],
"away": [
25.8,
25.8,
25.5,
22.9
],
"per_quarter_total": [
50.5,
50.7,
49.8,
46.2
],
"halftime": {
"home": 49.6,
"away": 51.6,
"total": 101.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.254,
"q2": 0.256,
"q3": 0.25,
"q4": 0.24,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.258,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "South East Melbourne to win",
"team": "South East Melbourne",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected margin ~3 pts; form 50% vs 20% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Tasmania JackJumpers +ML",
"team": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Tasmania JackJumpers has live shot (40%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne",
"date": "2026-09-21",
"time": "12:30",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "98-98",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
28,
24,
25
],
"away": [
21,
31,
25,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "86-96",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
30,
16,
21
],
"away": [
22,
26,
23,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.03.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "82-68",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
25,
16,
26
],
"away": [
17,
14,
24,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "70-103",
"home_points": 70,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
16,
17,
19
],
"away": [
26,
28,
27,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "120-104",
"home_points": 120,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 224,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
35,
35,
18
],
"away": [
34,
22,
23,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "114-70",
"home_points": 114,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "91-89",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.01.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "96-93",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.01.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "91-101",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.01.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "105-94",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "South East Melbourne",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "100-103",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 203,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
27,
26,
15
],
"away": [
25,
27,
24,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "113-105",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
37,
30,
17,
29
],
"away": [
21,
33,
26,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "108-96",
"home_points": 108,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 204,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
31,
24,
25
],
"away": [
17,
28,
19,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "101-92",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
25,
39,
18
],
"away": [
30,
27,
20,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "104-97",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
25,
27,
27
],
"away": [
27,
21,
27,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "111-94",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "95-91",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "120-104",
"home_points": 120,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 224,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "88-114",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 202,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "83-114",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "120-104",
"home_points": 120,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 224,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
35,
35,
18
],
"away": [
34,
22,
23,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.12.25",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "87-84",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
26,
17,
21
],
"away": [
15,
18,
23,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.12.25",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "81-89",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
36,
12,
18,
15
],
"away": [
27,
25,
18,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.11.25",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "102-103",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
32,
20,
21
],
"away": [
32,
28,
18,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.01.25",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "116-80",
"home_points": 116,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
27,
29,
41
],
"away": [
23,
22,
17,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.01.25",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "91-105",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.11.24",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "77-79",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "10.02.24",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "67-94",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "25.12.23",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "77-85",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.10.23",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "86-85",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 97.1,
"team_2": 100.1,
"total": 197.3
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 40,
"team_2": 60
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 2,
"losses": 8,
"win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_pf": 90.9,
"avg_pa": 96,
"w_avg_pf": 90.3,
"w_avg_pa": 95.8,
"pace": 186.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 103.1,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 102.9,
"w_avg_pa": 100.6,
"pace": 203.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 181.2
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "South East Melbourne",
"probability": 60,
"margin_pts": 3,
"opponent": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 197.3,
"team_1_proj": 97.1,
"team_2_proj": 100.1,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 49.6,
"team_2": 51.6,
"total": 101.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.7,
24.9,
24.3,
23.3
],
"away": [
25.8,
25.8,
25.5,
22.9
],
"per_quarter_total": [
50.5,
50.7,
49.8,
46.2
],
"halftime": {
"home": 49.6,
"away": 51.6,
"total": 101.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.254,
"q2": 0.256,
"q3": 0.25,
"q4": 0.24,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.258,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "South East Melbourne to win",
"team": "South East Melbourne",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected margin ~3 pts; form 50% vs 20% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Tasmania JackJumpers +ML",
"team": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Tasmania JackJumpers has live shot (40%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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