Basketball · BBL · Germany
Hamburg vs Chemnitz
Friday, 25 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Hamburg vs Chemnitz in BBL (Basketball) on Friday, 25 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Germany • BBL
Hamburg vs Chemnitz
25 Sept • 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chemnitz
56%to win
by ~1.6 pts vs Hamburg
Projected Total
166.7pts
82.5 – 84.1
no market line
Halftime Proj
89.2pts
42.7 – 46.5
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hambu… | 18.3 | 24.4 | 20.6 | 19.2 |
| Chemn… | 24.8 | 21.7 | 17.9 | 19.7 |
| Total | 43.1 | 46.1 | 38.5 | 38.9 |
from last 5+5 games
Hamburg
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 82.5 — Allowed: 88.1 — Pace: 170.6
Chemnitz
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 77.4 — Allowed: 80.7 — Pace: 158.1
Hamburg Form
Hamburg
W7d
L20d
L131d
L134d
L138d
L146d
W149d
L152d
L161d
W166d
Q:17-2731-2123-1319-20
Q:28-2827-1518-1916-21
Q:27-1328-2031-1717-21
Q:14-2221-2621-2017-22
Q:29-1518-2722-1716-12
Chemnitz Form
Chemnitz
W6d
L12d
L131d
W134d
W138d
L144d
W153d
W156d
L159d
L167d
Q:20-1728-2210-2112-17
Q:30-1711-2214-1413-21
Q:22-1430-2128-1824-37
Q:24-1822-1314-1911-21OT 15-11
Q:20-2719-2526-1617-16
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:14-1826-1926-1320-19
Q:22-2820-1632-1728-17
Q:29-1221-2322-2416-34
Q:15-1216-1122-1616-21
Q:22-2217-2220-2320-18
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Hamburg 2 / Chemnitz 8. Average total: 169.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 82.5,
"team_2": 84.1,
"total": 166.7
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 82.5,
"avg_pa": 88.1,
"w_avg_pf": 81.7,
"w_avg_pa": 88.3,
"pace": 170.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 77.4,
"avg_pa": 80.7,
"w_avg_pf": 77.6,
"w_avg_pa": 80.8,
"pace": 158.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 169
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Chemnitz",
"probability": 56,
"margin_pts": 1.6,
"opponent": "Hamburg",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 166.7,
"team_1_proj": 82.5,
"team_2_proj": 84.1,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 42.7,
"team_2": 46.5,
"total": 89.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
18.3,
24.4,
20.6,
19.2
],
"away": [
24.8,
21.7,
17.9,
19.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
43.1,
46.1,
38.5,
38.9
],
"halftime": {
"home": 42.7,
"away": 46.5,
"total": 89.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.222,
"q2": 0.295,
"q3": 0.25,
"q4": 0.232,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.295,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.213,
"q4": 0.234,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Hamburg +ML",
"team": "Hamburg",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Hamburg has live shot (44%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "BBL",
"country": "Germany",
"match": "Hamburg vs Chemnitz",
"date": "2026-09-25",
"time": "21:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Hamburg",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Rostock",
"score": "90-81",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
31,
23,
19
],
"away": [
27,
21,
13,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Alba Berlin",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "89-83",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
27,
18,
16
],
"away": [
28,
15,
19,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Rostock",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "103-71",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
28,
31,
17
],
"away": [
13,
20,
17,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.05.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Wurzburg",
"score": "73-90",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
21,
21,
17
],
"away": [
22,
26,
20,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.05.26",
"home": "Bamberg",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "85-71",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
18,
22,
16
],
"away": [
15,
27,
17,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.04.26",
"home": "Ulm",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "81-72",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.04.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Rostock",
"score": "91-86",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.04.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Vechta",
"score": "83-92",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "10.04.26",
"home": "Syntainics MBC",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "99-94",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.04.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Frankfurt",
"score": "97-75",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Chemnitz",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Giessen",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "70-77",
"home_points": 70,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 147,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
28,
10,
12
],
"away": [
17,
22,
21,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Legia",
"score": "68-74",
"home_points": 68,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 142,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
30,
11,
14,
13
],
"away": [
17,
22,
14,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Basketball Braunschweig",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "104-90",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
30,
28,
24
],
"away": [
14,
21,
18,
37
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.05.26",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Frankfurt",
"score": "86-82",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
22,
14,
11,
15
],
"away": [
18,
13,
19,
21,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.05.26",
"home": "Alba Berlin",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "82-84",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
19,
26,
17
],
"away": [
27,
25,
16,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.04.26",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Bamberg",
"score": "62-89",
"home_points": 62,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "18.04.26",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Jena",
"score": "76-73",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.04.26",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Ulm",
"score": "79-66",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "Bayern",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "91-77",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.04.26",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "75-76",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "31.01.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "86-69",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 69,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
26,
26,
20
],
"away": [
18,
19,
13,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.10.25",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "102-78",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
20,
32,
28
],
"away": [
28,
16,
17,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.05.25",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "88-93",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
21,
22,
16
],
"away": [
12,
23,
24,
34
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.01.25",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "69-60",
"home_points": 69,
"away_points": 60,
"total_points": 129,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
16,
22,
16
],
"away": [
12,
11,
16,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.05.24",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "79-85",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
17,
20,
20
],
"away": [
22,
22,
23,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "24.11.23",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "96-87",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.04.23",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "87-80",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "11.12.22",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "81-104",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.03.22",
"home": "Chemnitz",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "85-89",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.09.21",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Chemnitz",
"score": "82-90",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 82.5,
"team_2": 84.1,
"total": 166.7
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 82.5,
"avg_pa": 88.1,
"w_avg_pf": 81.7,
"w_avg_pa": 88.3,
"pace": 170.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 77.4,
"avg_pa": 80.7,
"w_avg_pf": 77.6,
"w_avg_pa": 80.8,
"pace": 158.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 169
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Chemnitz",
"probability": 56,
"margin_pts": 1.6,
"opponent": "Hamburg",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 166.7,
"team_1_proj": 82.5,
"team_2_proj": 84.1,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 42.7,
"team_2": 46.5,
"total": 89.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
18.3,
24.4,
20.6,
19.2
],
"away": [
24.8,
21.7,
17.9,
19.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
43.1,
46.1,
38.5,
38.9
],
"halftime": {
"home": 42.7,
"away": 46.5,
"total": 89.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.222,
"q2": 0.295,
"q3": 0.25,
"q4": 0.232,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.295,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.213,
"q4": 0.234,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Hamburg +ML",
"team": "Hamburg",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Hamburg has live shot (44%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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