Basketball · LNBP · Mexico
Abejas vs Freseros
Monday, 21 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Abejas vs Freseros in LNBP (Basketball) on Monday, 21 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Mexico • LNBP
Abejas vs Freseros
21 Sept • 03:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Abejas
60%to win
by ~2.8 pts vs Freseros
Projected Total
174.8pts
88.8 – 86
no market line
Halftime Proj
85.2pts
44.3 – 40.9
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abejas | 19.3 | 25 | 19.1 | 25.5 |
| Frese… | 19.9 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| Total | 39.2 | 46 | 41.1 | 48.5 |
from last 5+5 games
Abejas
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 83.7 — Allowed: 86 — Pace: 169.7
Freseros
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 88.4 — Allowed: 89.4 — Pace: 177.8
Abejas Form
Abejas
L2d
L3d
W14d
L15d
L19d
W20d
W24d
L25d
L28d
W29d
Q:18-1924-1515-3017-22
Q:12-2922-1718-1731-24
Q:17-2618-2125-1415-15
Q:20-1520-2126-1929-29
Q:13-2221-1818-1821-17
Freseros Form
Freseros
W2d
W3d
L14d
L15d
L19d
W20d
W24d
W25d
L28d
L29d
Q:24-2027-1316-2519-32
Q:18-1719-2619-1815-21
Q:13-2220-1515-1519-25
Q:25-2719-3227-1520-17OT 26-38
Q:26-2228-2111-2222-19
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Head-to-head summary
6 meetings — Abejas 4 / Freseros 2. Average total: 170.5.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 88.8,
"team_2": 86,
"total": 174.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 83.7,
"avg_pa": 86,
"w_avg_pf": 82.8,
"w_avg_pa": 85.5,
"pace": 169.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 88.4,
"avg_pa": 89.4,
"w_avg_pf": 87.8,
"w_avg_pa": 88.5,
"pace": 177.8,
"blowout_rate": 0
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 6,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
"avg_total": 170.5
},
"confidence": 73,
"winner": {
"team": "Abejas",
"probability": 60,
"margin_pts": 2.8,
"opponent": "Freseros",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 174.8,
"team_1_proj": 88.8,
"team_2_proj": 86,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.3,
"team_2": 40.9,
"total": 85.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.3,
25,
19.1,
25.5
],
"away": [
19.9,
21,
22,
23
],
"per_quarter_total": [
39.2,
46,
41.1,
48.5
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.3,
"away": 40.9,
"total": 85.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.217,
"q2": 0.281,
"q3": 0.215,
"q4": 0.287,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.232,
"q2": 0.244,
"q3": 0.256,
"q4": 0.268,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Abejas to win",
"team": "Abejas",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 73,
"reason": "Projected margin ~3 pts; form 40% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 66% over last 6"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Freseros +ML",
"team": "Freseros",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 73,
"reason": "Freseros has live shot (40%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "LNBP",
"country": "Mexico",
"match": "Abejas vs Freseros",
"date": "2026-09-21",
"time": "03:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Abejas",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Gambusinos",
"score": "74-86",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
24,
15,
17
],
"away": [
19,
15,
30,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Gambusinos",
"score": "83-87",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
12,
22,
18,
31
],
"away": [
29,
17,
17,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Fuerza Regia",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "75-76",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
18,
25,
15
],
"away": [
26,
21,
14,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Fuerza Regia",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "95-84",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
20,
26,
29
],
"away": [
15,
21,
19,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Diablos Rojos",
"score": "73-75",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
21,
18,
21
],
"away": [
22,
18,
18,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Diablos Rojos",
"score": "81-73",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 154,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "87-106",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "97-81",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Panteras",
"score": "87-102",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Panteras",
"score": "92-83",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Freseros",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "86-90",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
27,
16,
19
],
"away": [
20,
13,
25,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "71-82",
"home_points": 71,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
19,
19,
15
],
"away": [
17,
26,
18,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "67-77",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 144,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
20,
15,
19
],
"away": [
22,
15,
15,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "117-129",
"home_points": 117,
"away_points": 129,
"total_points": 246,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
19,
27,
20,
26
],
"away": [
27,
32,
15,
17,
38
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Gambusinos",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "87-84",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
28,
11,
22
],
"away": [
22,
21,
22,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "Gambusinos",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "73-77",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "80-76",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "93-89",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Fuerza Regia",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "101-100",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Fuerza Regia",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "105-94",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "30.07.25",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "61-78",
"home_points": 61,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 139,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
24,
11,
8
],
"away": [
19,
20,
17,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.07.25",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "78-79",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
21,
25,
12
],
"away": [
20,
13,
25,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.09.24",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "99-91",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 190,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
29,
32,
17
],
"away": [
24,
30,
24,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.09.24",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "102-95",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
24,
26,
20
],
"away": [
24,
32,
26,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.10.23",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "102-76",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
24,
23,
24
],
"away": [
12,
24,
24,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.10.23",
"home": "Abejas",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "84-78",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 88.8,
"team_2": 86,
"total": 174.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 83.7,
"avg_pa": 86,
"w_avg_pf": 82.8,
"w_avg_pa": 85.5,
"pace": 169.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 88.4,
"avg_pa": 89.4,
"w_avg_pf": 87.8,
"w_avg_pa": 88.5,
"pace": 177.8,
"blowout_rate": 0
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 6,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
"avg_total": 170.5
},
"confidence": 73,
"winner": {
"team": "Abejas",
"probability": 60,
"margin_pts": 2.8,
"opponent": "Freseros",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 174.8,
"team_1_proj": 88.8,
"team_2_proj": 86,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.3,
"team_2": 40.9,
"total": 85.2,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.3,
25,
19.1,
25.5
],
"away": [
19.9,
21,
22,
23
],
"per_quarter_total": [
39.2,
46,
41.1,
48.5
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.3,
"away": 40.9,
"total": 85.2
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.217,
"q2": 0.281,
"q3": 0.215,
"q4": 0.287,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.232,
"q2": 0.244,
"q3": 0.256,
"q4": 0.268,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Abejas to win",
"team": "Abejas",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 73,
"reason": "Projected margin ~3 pts; form 40% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 66% over last 6"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Freseros +ML",
"team": "Freseros",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 73,
"reason": "Freseros has live shot (40%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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