Basketball · 1. Liga · Poland

Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut

Monday, 21 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut in 1. Liga (Basketball) on Monday, 21 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

Poland1. Liga
Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut
21 Sept20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Polonia Warszawa
65%to win
by ~4.3 pts vs Lancut
Projected Total
168pts
86.281.8
no market line
Halftime Proj
86.5pts
42.244.3
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Polon…2220.222.121.9
Lancut24.619.717.620
Total46.639.939.741.9
from last 5+5 games
Polonia Warszawa
Last 10: 37 (30%)
PPG: 77.2 — Allowed: 79.1 — Pace: 156.3
Lancut
Last 10: 55 (50%)
PPG: 85.5 — Allowed: 89 — Pace: 174.5
Polonia Warszawa Form
Polonia Warszawa
L156d
L160d
L169d
W173d
W177d
L180d
W187d
L195d
L202d
L209d
3W · 7L
15 Apr
Kotwica Kolob… vs Polonia Warsz…
74-72L
Q:23-1521-2212-1818-17
11 Apr
Polonia Warsz… vs Spojnia Starg…
71-89L
Q:23-2110-2324-1914-26
02 Apr
Zubry Bialyst… vs Polonia Warsz…
90-80L
Q:15-1529-2315-2431-18
29 Mar
Polonia Warsz… vs WKK Wroclaw
77-68W
Q:24-1415-1813-2125-15
25 Mar
Polonia Warsz… vs LKS Lodz
90-66W
Q:22-2822-1220-1626-10
22 Mar
Inowroclaw vs Polonia Warsz…
79-67L
15 Mar
Polonia Warsz… vs Pelplin
93-80W
07 Mar
Polonia Warsz… vs Leszno
68-76L
28 Feb
Lancut vs Polonia Warsz…
100-99L
21 Feb
Polonia Warsz… vs GKS Tychy
55-69L
Lancut Form
Lancut
L145d
W146d
L152d
L153d
W156d
L159d
L163d
W173d
W177d
W189d
5W · 5L
26 Apr
Lancut vs Starogard Gda…
82-91L
Q:25-2420-2319-1618-28
25 Apr
Lancut vs Starogard Gda…
82-81W
Q:25-2216-1918-1823-22
19 Apr
Starogard Gda… vs Lancut
91-90L
Q:26-2825-1616-2624-20
18 Apr
Starogard Gda… vs Lancut
94-81L
Q:24-2623-2522-1325-17
15 Apr
Poli. Opolska vs Lancut
96-104W
Q:39-2715-2924-1818-30
12 Apr
Lancut vs LKS Lodz
77-90L
08 Apr
Kotwica Kolob… vs Lancut
104-84L
29 Mar
Lancut vs Spojnia Starg…
80-78W
25 Mar
Lancut vs Bydgoszcz
79-71W
13 Mar
Lancut vs WKK Wroclaw
96-94W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
28 Feb
Lancut vs Polonia Warsz…
100-99
Q:22-2731-3028-2519-17
08 Nov
Polonia Warsz… vs Lancut
108-96
Q:25-2632-2222-2429-24
31 Jan
Polonia Warsz… vs Lancut
85-94
Q:14-3521-1123-2527-23
23 Oct
Lancut vs Polonia Warsz…
64-75
Q:16-2312-149-1927-19
07 Sept
Polonia Warsz… vs Lancut
78-72
Head-to-head summary
5 meetings — Polonia Warszawa 3 / Lancut 2. Average total: 174.2.
Model output
{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 86.2,
    "team_2": 81.8,
    "total": 168
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 65,
    "team_2": 35
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 3,
      "losses": 7,
      "win_rate": 0.3,
      "avg_pf": 77.2,
      "avg_pa": 79.1,
      "w_avg_pf": 77.2,
      "w_avg_pa": 79.1,
      "pace": 156.3,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 5,
      "losses": 5,
      "win_rate": 0.5,
      "avg_pf": 85.5,
      "avg_pa": 89,
      "w_avg_pf": 85.4,
      "w_avg_pa": 89.3,
      "pace": 174.5,
      "blowout_rate": 0.1
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 5,
    "t1_wins": 3,
    "t2_wins": 2,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.6,
    "avg_total": 174.2
  },
  "confidence": 76,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Polonia Warszawa",
    "probability": 65,
    "margin_pts": 4.3,
    "opponent": "Lancut",
    "opponent_probability": 35
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 168,
    "team_1_proj": 86.2,
    "team_2_proj": 81.8,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 42.2,
    "team_2": 44.3,
    "total": 86.5,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "quarter_scores": null,
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      22,
      20.2,
      22.1,
      21.9
    ],
    "away": [
      24.6,
      19.7,
      17.6,
      20
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      46.6,
      39.9,
      39.7,
      41.9
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 42.2,
      "away": 44.3,
      "total": 86.5
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.255,
      "q2": 0.235,
      "q3": 0.256,
      "q4": 0.254,
      "samples": 5
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.3,
      "q2": 0.241,
      "q3": 0.215,
      "q4": 0.244,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Polonia Warszawa to win",
      "team": "Polonia Warszawa",
      "win_prob": 65,
      "confidence": 76,
      "reason": "Projected margin ~4 pts; form 30% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 5"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Lancut +ML",
      "team": "Lancut",
      "win_prob": 35,
      "confidence": 76,
      "reason": "Lancut has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "1. Liga",
  "country": "Poland",
  "match": "Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut",
  "date": "2026-09-21",
  "time": "20:00",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Polonia Warszawa",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.04.26",
        "home": "Kotwica Kolobrzeg",
        "away": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "score": "74-72",
        "home_points": 74,
        "away_points": 72,
        "total_points": 146,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            23,
            21,
            12,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            15,
            22,
            18,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.04.26",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "Spojnia Stargard",
        "score": "71-89",
        "home_points": 71,
        "away_points": 89,
        "total_points": 160,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            23,
            10,
            24,
            14
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            23,
            19,
            26
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "02.04.26",
        "home": "Zubry Bialystok",
        "away": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "score": "90-80",
        "home_points": 90,
        "away_points": 80,
        "total_points": 170,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            29,
            15,
            31
          ],
          "away": [
            15,
            23,
            24,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.03.26",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "WKK Wroclaw",
        "score": "77-68",
        "home_points": 77,
        "away_points": 68,
        "total_points": 145,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            24,
            15,
            13,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            14,
            18,
            21,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "25.03.26",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "LKS Lodz",
        "score": "90-66",
        "home_points": 90,
        "away_points": 66,
        "total_points": 156,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            22,
            22,
            20,
            26
          ],
          "away": [
            28,
            12,
            16,
            10
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "22.03.26",
        "home": "Inowroclaw",
        "away": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "score": "79-67",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 67,
        "total_points": 146,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "15.03.26",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "Pelplin",
        "score": "93-80",
        "home_points": 93,
        "away_points": 80,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "07.03.26",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "Leszno",
        "score": "68-76",
        "home_points": 68,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 144,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "28.02.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "score": "100-99",
        "home_points": 100,
        "away_points": 99,
        "total_points": 199,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "21.02.26",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "GKS Tychy",
        "score": "55-69",
        "home_points": 55,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 124,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Lancut",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "26.04.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "Starogard Gdanski",
        "score": "82-91",
        "home_points": 82,
        "away_points": 91,
        "total_points": 173,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            20,
            19,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            24,
            23,
            16,
            28
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "25.04.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "Starogard Gdanski",
        "score": "82-81",
        "home_points": 82,
        "away_points": 81,
        "total_points": 163,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            16,
            18,
            23
          ],
          "away": [
            22,
            19,
            18,
            22
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "19.04.26",
        "home": "Starogard Gdanski",
        "away": "Lancut",
        "score": "91-90",
        "home_points": 91,
        "away_points": 90,
        "total_points": 181,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            25,
            16,
            24
          ],
          "away": [
            28,
            16,
            26,
            20
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "18.04.26",
        "home": "Starogard Gdanski",
        "away": "Lancut",
        "score": "94-81",
        "home_points": 94,
        "away_points": 81,
        "total_points": 175,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            24,
            23,
            22,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            26,
            25,
            13,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "15.04.26",
        "home": "Poli. Opolska",
        "away": "Lancut",
        "score": "96-104",
        "home_points": 96,
        "away_points": 104,
        "total_points": 200,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            39,
            15,
            24,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            27,
            29,
            18,
            30
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.04.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "LKS Lodz",
        "score": "77-90",
        "home_points": 77,
        "away_points": 90,
        "total_points": 167,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.04.26",
        "home": "Kotwica Kolobrzeg",
        "away": "Lancut",
        "score": "104-84",
        "home_points": 104,
        "away_points": 84,
        "total_points": 188,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "29.03.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "Spojnia Stargard",
        "score": "80-78",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 158,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.03.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "Bydgoszcz",
        "score": "79-71",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 71,
        "total_points": 150,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "13.03.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "WKK Wroclaw",
        "score": "96-94",
        "home_points": 96,
        "away_points": 94,
        "total_points": 190,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "28.02.26",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "score": "100-99",
        "home_points": 100,
        "away_points": 99,
        "total_points": 199,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            22,
            31,
            28,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            27,
            30,
            25,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "08.11.25",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "Lancut",
        "score": "108-96",
        "home_points": 108,
        "away_points": 96,
        "total_points": 204,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            32,
            22,
            29
          ],
          "away": [
            26,
            22,
            24,
            24
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "31.01.25",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "Lancut",
        "score": "85-94",
        "home_points": 85,
        "away_points": 94,
        "total_points": 179,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            14,
            21,
            23,
            27
          ],
          "away": [
            35,
            11,
            25,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "23.10.24",
        "home": "Lancut",
        "away": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "score": "64-75",
        "home_points": 64,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 139,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            16,
            12,
            9,
            27
          ],
          "away": [
            23,
            14,
            19,
            19
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "07.09.24",
        "home": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "away": "Lancut",
        "score": "78-72",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 72,
        "total_points": 150,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [],
          "away": []
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 86.2,
      "team_2": 81.8,
      "total": 168
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 65,
      "team_2": 35
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 3,
        "losses": 7,
        "win_rate": 0.3,
        "avg_pf": 77.2,
        "avg_pa": 79.1,
        "w_avg_pf": 77.2,
        "w_avg_pa": 79.1,
        "pace": 156.3,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 5,
        "losses": 5,
        "win_rate": 0.5,
        "avg_pf": 85.5,
        "avg_pa": 89,
        "w_avg_pf": 85.4,
        "w_avg_pa": 89.3,
        "pace": 174.5,
        "blowout_rate": 0.1
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 5,
      "t1_wins": 3,
      "t2_wins": 2,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_total": 174.2
    },
    "confidence": 76,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Polonia Warszawa",
      "probability": 65,
      "margin_pts": 4.3,
      "opponent": "Lancut",
      "opponent_probability": 35
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 168,
      "team_1_proj": 86.2,
      "team_2_proj": 81.8,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 42.2,
      "team_2": 44.3,
      "total": 86.5,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "quarter_scores": null,
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        22,
        20.2,
        22.1,
        21.9
      ],
      "away": [
        24.6,
        19.7,
        17.6,
        20
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        46.6,
        39.9,
        39.7,
        41.9
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 42.2,
        "away": 44.3,
        "total": 86.5
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.255,
        "q2": 0.235,
        "q3": 0.256,
        "q4": 0.254,
        "samples": 5
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.3,
        "q2": 0.241,
        "q3": 0.215,
        "q4": 0.244,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Polonia Warszawa to win",
        "team": "Polonia Warszawa",
        "win_prob": 65,
        "confidence": 76,
        "reason": "Projected margin ~4 pts; form 30% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 5"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Lancut +ML",
        "team": "Lancut",
        "win_prob": 35,
        "confidence": 76,
        "reason": "Lancut has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  }
}

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