Basketball · LNB · France
Nanterre vs Pau-Orthez
Saturday, 26 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Nanterre vs Pau-Orthez in LNB (Basketball) on Saturday, 26 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
France • LNB
Nanterre vs Pau-Orthez
26 Sept • 21:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Nanterre
58%to win
by ~2.2 pts vs Pau-Orthez
Projected Total
165.7pts
84 – 81.8
no market line
Halftime Proj
81.9pts
40.1 – 41.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nante… | 23 | 17.1 | 20.8 | 23 |
| Pau-O… | 21.4 | 20.4 | 20 | 20 |
| Total | 44.4 | 37.5 | 40.8 | 43 |
from last 5+5 games
Nanterre
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 79.6 — Allowed: 81.8 — Pace: 161.4
Pau-Orthez
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
PPG: 83.4 — Allowed: 81.6 — Pace: 165
Nanterre Form
Nanterre
L103d
L105d
W108d
L110d
W115d
W117d
L126d
W133d
W140d
L153d
Q:24-1713-3219-1822-22
Q:20-208-2318-2115-19
Q:23-1930-2218-2118-36
Q:24-2725-2326-2128-17
Q:12-1515-1510-1618-18
Pau-Orthez Form
Pau-Orthez
W15d
W93d
W96d
L99d
W105d
W108d
W114d
W117d
L127d
W132d
Q:15-2526-1927-1315-16
Q:25-2219-1718-2424-10
Q:22-2123-1818-259-17
Q:21-2819-3422-2320-21
Q:24-2917-2325-1019-28
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:22-2217-1713-1633-9
Q:13-1119-2420-2419-21
Q:17-1423-2317-2418-17
Q:25-2025-1822-929-30
Q:31-1728-2326-3030-7
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Nanterre 8 / Pau-Orthez 2. Average total: 163.7.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 84,
"team_2": 81.8,
"total": 165.7
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 58,
"team_2": 42
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 79.6,
"avg_pa": 81.8,
"w_avg_pf": 79.3,
"w_avg_pa": 82.2,
"pace": 161.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 83.4,
"avg_pa": 81.6,
"w_avg_pf": 83.7,
"w_avg_pa": 81.2,
"pace": 165,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 163.7
},
"confidence": 71,
"winner": {
"team": "Nanterre",
"probability": 58,
"margin_pts": 2.2,
"opponent": "Pau-Orthez",
"opponent_probability": 42
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 165.7,
"team_1_proj": 84,
"team_2_proj": 81.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 40.1,
"team_2": 41.8,
"total": 81.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
23,
17.1,
20.8,
23
],
"away": [
21.4,
20.4,
20,
20
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
37.5,
40.8,
43
],
"halftime": {
"home": 40.1,
"away": 41.8,
"total": 81.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.274,
"q2": 0.204,
"q3": 0.248,
"q4": 0.274,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.262,
"q2": 0.249,
"q3": 0.245,
"q4": 0.245,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Pau-Orthez +ML",
"team": "Pau-Orthez",
"win_prob": 42,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "Pau-Orthez has live shot (42%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "LNB",
"country": "France",
"match": "Nanterre vs Pau-Orthez",
"date": "2026-09-26",
"time": "21:30",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Nanterre",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.06.26",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Monaco",
"score": "78-89",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
13,
19,
22
],
"away": [
17,
32,
18,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.06.26",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Monaco",
"score": "61-83",
"home_points": 61,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 144,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
8,
18,
15
],
"away": [
20,
23,
21,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.06.26",
"home": "Monaco",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "89-98",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 187,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
30,
18,
18
],
"away": [
19,
22,
21,
36
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.06.26",
"home": "Monaco",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "103-88",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 191,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
25,
26,
28
],
"away": [
27,
23,
21,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.05.26",
"home": "Le Mans",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "55-64",
"home_points": 55,
"away_points": 64,
"total_points": 119,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
12,
15,
10,
18
],
"away": [
15,
15,
16,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.05.26",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Le Mans",
"score": "90-74",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.05.26",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Cholet",
"score": "66-79",
"home_points": 66,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "09.05.26",
"home": "Gravelines-Dunkerque",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "80-85",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "02.05.26",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Dijon",
"score": "87-69",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 69,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.04.26",
"home": "Limoges",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "97-79",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Pau-Orthez",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Lyon-Villeurbanne",
"score": "83-73",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
26,
27,
15
],
"away": [
25,
19,
13,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.06.26",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Poitiers",
"score": "86-73",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
19,
18,
24
],
"away": [
22,
17,
24,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.06.26",
"home": "Poitiers",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "72-81",
"home_points": 72,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
23,
18,
9
],
"away": [
21,
18,
25,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.06.26",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Poitiers",
"score": "82-106",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 188,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
19,
22,
20
],
"away": [
28,
34,
23,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.06.26",
"home": "Orleans",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "85-90",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
17,
25,
19
],
"away": [
29,
23,
10,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.06.26",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Orleans",
"score": "90-72",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.05.26",
"home": "Chalons-Reims",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "78-79",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "25.05.26",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Chalons-Reims",
"score": "89-87",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.05.26",
"home": "Roanne",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "108-82",
"home_points": 108,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 190,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Vichy",
"score": "72-62",
"home_points": 72,
"away_points": 62,
"total_points": 134,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "28.03.23",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "85-64",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 64,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
17,
13,
33
],
"away": [
22,
17,
16,
9
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.12.22",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "71-80",
"home_points": 71,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
19,
20,
19
],
"away": [
11,
24,
24,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.04.22",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "75-78",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
23,
17,
18
],
"away": [
14,
23,
24,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.01.22",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "101-77",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
25,
22,
29
],
"away": [
20,
18,
9,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.05.21",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "115-77",
"home_points": 115,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
28,
26,
30
],
"away": [
17,
23,
30,
7
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.03.21",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "86-79",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.11.19",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "101-89",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 190,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.05.19",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "84-69",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 69,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.05.19",
"home": "Pau-Orthez",
"away": "Nanterre",
"score": "76-64",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 64,
"total_points": 140,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.05.19",
"home": "Nanterre",
"away": "Pau-Orthez",
"score": "101-65",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 65,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 84,
"team_2": 81.8,
"total": 165.7
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 58,
"team_2": 42
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 79.6,
"avg_pa": 81.8,
"w_avg_pf": 79.3,
"w_avg_pa": 82.2,
"pace": 161.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 83.4,
"avg_pa": 81.6,
"w_avg_pf": 83.7,
"w_avg_pa": 81.2,
"pace": 165,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 163.7
},
"confidence": 71,
"winner": {
"team": "Nanterre",
"probability": 58,
"margin_pts": 2.2,
"opponent": "Pau-Orthez",
"opponent_probability": 42
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 165.7,
"team_1_proj": 84,
"team_2_proj": 81.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 40.1,
"team_2": 41.8,
"total": 81.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
23,
17.1,
20.8,
23
],
"away": [
21.4,
20.4,
20,
20
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
37.5,
40.8,
43
],
"halftime": {
"home": 40.1,
"away": 41.8,
"total": 81.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.274,
"q2": 0.204,
"q3": 0.248,
"q4": 0.274,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.262,
"q2": 0.249,
"q3": 0.245,
"q4": 0.245,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Pau-Orthez +ML",
"team": "Pau-Orthez",
"win_prob": 42,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "Pau-Orthez has live shot (42%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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