Basketball · Asian Games - Play Offs · Asia
South Korea vs Iran
Friday, 18 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.South Korea vs Iran in Asian Games - Play Offs (Basketball) on Friday, 18 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Asia • Asian Games - Play Offs
South Korea vs Iran
18 Sept • 10:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
South Korea
62%to win
by ~3.3 pts vs Iran
Projected Total
154.2pts
78.8 – 75.5
no market line
Halftime Proj
71.1pts
35.1 – 36
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South… | 17.8 | 17.3 | 24.8 | 19 |
| Iran | 18 | 18 | 19.9 | 19.6 |
| Total | 35.8 | 35.3 | 44.7 | 38.6 |
from last 5+5 games
South Korea
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 85.2 — Allowed: 78.6 — Pace: 163.8
Iran
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 70.4 — Allowed: 67.3 — Pace: 137.7
South Korea Form
South Korea
W0d
W3d
W5d
W6d
W16d
L20d
L31d
L32d
W72d
L75d
Q:8-2819-2324-3429-29
Q:17-1925-2124-3117-29
Q:10-1820-2111-317-32
Q:24-1717-1133-198-19
Q:19-1623-1522-2021-21
Iran Form
Iran
W0d
W3d
W4d
L6d
L17d
L19d
W73d
W76d
W79d
L201d
Q:21-1722-1717-2119-19
Q:19-2017-1627-1618-16
Q:17-1310-1523-2119-23
Q:10-1011-2113-1319-15
Q:7-1829-1613-1319-9
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:21-2019-2826-1523-19
Q:14-2114-1920-2320-17
Q:30-139-2018-2830-20
Q:9-1311-1714-2313-24
Q:26-416-1723-1020-16
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — South Korea 2 / Iran 8. Average total: 146.1.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 78.8,
"team_2": 75.5,
"total": 154.2
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 85.2,
"avg_pa": 78.6,
"w_avg_pf": 87.4,
"w_avg_pa": 77.6,
"pace": 163.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.7
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 70.4,
"avg_pa": 67.3,
"w_avg_pf": 70.9,
"w_avg_pa": 67.6,
"pace": 137.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 146.1
},
"confidence": 84,
"winner": {
"team": "South Korea",
"probability": 62,
"margin_pts": 3.3,
"opponent": "Iran",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 154.2,
"team_1_proj": 78.8,
"team_2_proj": 75.5,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 35.1,
"team_2": 36,
"total": 71.1,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
17.8,
17.3,
24.8,
19
],
"away": [
18,
18,
19.9,
19.6
],
"per_quarter_total": [
35.8,
35.3,
44.7,
38.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 35.1,
"away": 36,
"total": 71.1
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.226,
"q2": 0.219,
"q3": 0.315,
"q4": 0.241,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.238,
"q2": 0.238,
"q3": 0.264,
"q4": 0.26,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "South Korea to win",
"team": "South Korea",
"win_prob": 62,
"confidence": 84,
"reason": "Projected margin ~3 pts; form 60% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 20% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Iran +ML",
"team": "Iran",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 84,
"reason": "Iran has live shot (38%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Asian Games - Play Offs",
"country": "Asia",
"match": "South Korea vs Iran",
"date": "2026-09-18",
"time": "10:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "South Korea",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Jordan",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "80-114",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
8,
19,
24,
29
],
"away": [
28,
23,
34,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Japan",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "83-100",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
25,
24,
17
],
"away": [
19,
21,
31,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Indonesia",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "48-102",
"home_points": 48,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
10,
20,
11,
7
],
"away": [
18,
21,
31,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Saudi Arabia",
"score": "82-66",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
17,
33,
8
],
"away": [
17,
11,
19,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Saudi Arabia",
"score": "85-72",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
23,
22,
21
],
"away": [
16,
15,
20,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.08.26",
"home": "Lebanon",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "93-74",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Japan",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "95-66",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.08.26",
"home": "Japan",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "88-68",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "06.07.26",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Japan",
"score": "81-79",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.07.26",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Chinese Taipei",
"score": "80-82",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Iran",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "Bahrain",
"score": "79-74",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
22,
17,
19
],
"away": [
17,
17,
21,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "Jordan",
"score": "81-68",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
17,
27,
18
],
"away": [
20,
16,
16,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chinese Taipei",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "69-72",
"home_points": 69,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 141,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
10,
23,
19
],
"away": [
13,
15,
21,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "Qatar",
"score": "53-59",
"home_points": 53,
"away_points": 59,
"total_points": 112,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
10,
11,
13,
19
],
"away": [
10,
21,
13,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Philippines",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "68-56",
"home_points": 68,
"away_points": 56,
"total_points": 124,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
7,
29,
13,
19
],
"away": [
18,
16,
13,
9
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "New Zealand",
"score": "91-93",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.07.26",
"home": "Syria",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "52-73",
"home_points": 52,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 125,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "02.07.26",
"home": "Jordan",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "49-67",
"home_points": 49,
"away_points": 67,
"total_points": 116,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.06.26",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "Syria",
"score": "72-68",
"home_points": 72,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 140,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.02.26",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "Jordan",
"score": "60-73",
"home_points": 60,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 133,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.10.23",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "89-82",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
19,
26,
23
],
"away": [
20,
28,
15,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.18",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "68-80",
"home_points": 68,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
14,
20,
20
],
"away": [
21,
19,
23,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.08.17",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "87-81",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
30,
9,
18,
30
],
"away": [
13,
20,
28,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.09.16",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "47-77",
"home_points": 47,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 124,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
9,
11,
14,
13
],
"away": [
13,
17,
23,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.16",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "85-47",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 47,
"total_points": 132,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
16,
23,
20
],
"away": [
4,
17,
10,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.10.15",
"home": "Iran",
"away": "South Korea",
"score": "75-62",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 62,
"total_points": 137,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.10.14",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "79-77",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "13.08.14",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "74-69",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 69,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "02.08.13",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "65-76",
"home_points": 65,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 141,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.09.11",
"home": "South Korea",
"away": "Iran",
"score": "62-79",
"home_points": 62,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 141,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 78.8,
"team_2": 75.5,
"total": 154.2
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 85.2,
"avg_pa": 78.6,
"w_avg_pf": 87.4,
"w_avg_pa": 77.6,
"pace": 163.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.7
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 70.4,
"avg_pa": 67.3,
"w_avg_pf": 70.9,
"w_avg_pa": 67.6,
"pace": 137.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 146.1
},
"confidence": 84,
"winner": {
"team": "South Korea",
"probability": 62,
"margin_pts": 3.3,
"opponent": "Iran",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 154.2,
"team_1_proj": 78.8,
"team_2_proj": 75.5,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 35.1,
"team_2": 36,
"total": 71.1,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
17.8,
17.3,
24.8,
19
],
"away": [
18,
18,
19.9,
19.6
],
"per_quarter_total": [
35.8,
35.3,
44.7,
38.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 35.1,
"away": 36,
"total": 71.1
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.226,
"q2": 0.219,
"q3": 0.315,
"q4": 0.241,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.238,
"q2": 0.238,
"q3": 0.264,
"q4": 0.26,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "South Korea to win",
"team": "South Korea",
"win_prob": 62,
"confidence": 84,
"reason": "Projected margin ~3 pts; form 60% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 20% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Iran +ML",
"team": "Iran",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 84,
"reason": "Iran has live shot (38%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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