Basketball · NBL · Australia
Perth vs South East Melbourne
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Perth vs South East Melbourne in NBL (Basketball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
Perth vs South East Melbourne
19 Sept • 14:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Perth
72%to win
by ~6.8 pts vs South East Me…
Projected Total
192.4pts
99.6 – 92.8
no market line
Halftime Proj
100.5pts
52.7 – 47.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth | 28.1 | 24.6 | 24.6 | 22.3 |
| South… | 23.9 | 23.9 | 23.7 | 21.3 |
| Total | 52 | 48.5 | 48.3 | 43.6 |
from last 5+5 games
Perth
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 92.2 — Allowed: 84.5 — Pace: 176.7
South East Melbourne
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 103.1 — Allowed: 100.2 — Pace: 203.3
Perth Form
Perth
W8d
W10d
L16d
L188d
L191d
W195d
L198d
W210d
L215d
W217d
Q:19-3125-2813-3125-20
Q:18-2813-223-2811-20
Q:15-2530-2117-1623-20
Q:23-2223-2113-1716-29
Q:22-2426-2025-3132-29
South East Melbourne Form
South East Melbou…
L10d
W13d
L185d
W188d
L192d
W198d
L211d
W216d
L222d
W225d
Q:32-2527-2726-2415-27
Q:37-2130-3317-2629-25
Q:28-1731-2824-1925-32
Q:19-3025-2739-2018-15
Q:25-2725-2127-2727-22
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:35-2929-1822-1725-30
Q:24-3225-1926-2626-16
Q:26-3224-2625-2122-28
Q:22-1718-920-3116-20
Q:21-2425-2229-2619-17
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Perth 6 / South East Melbourne 4. Average total: 192.6.
Perth
1.84
Implied 51.1%
Edge +20.9%
South East Melbourne
1.92
Implied 48.9%
Edge -20.9%
Bookmaker vig: 6.43%
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 99.6,
"team_2": 92.8,
"total": 192.4
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 72,
"team_2": 28
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.2,
"avg_pa": 84.5,
"w_avg_pf": 92.8,
"w_avg_pa": 83.5,
"pace": 176.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 103.1,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 102.9,
"w_avg_pa": 100.6,
"pace": 203.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 192.6
},
"confidence": 81,
"winner": {
"team": "Perth",
"probability": 72,
"margin_pts": 6.8,
"opponent": "South East Melbourne",
"opponent_probability": 28
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 192.4,
"team_1_proj": 99.6,
"team_2_proj": 92.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 52.7,
"team_2": 47.8,
"total": 100.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
28.1,
24.6,
24.6,
22.3
],
"away": [
23.9,
23.9,
23.7,
21.3
],
"per_quarter_total": [
52,
48.5,
48.3,
43.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 52.7,
"away": 47.8,
"total": 100.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.282,
"q2": 0.247,
"q3": 0.247,
"q4": 0.224,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.258,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Perth to win",
"team": "Perth",
"win_prob": 72,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Projected margin ~7 pts; form 50% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 192)",
"projected": 192.4,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Combined pace 190.0 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "Perth vs South East Melbourne",
"date": "2026-09-19",
"time": "14:30",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Perth",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Ryukyu",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "82-110",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 110,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
25,
13,
25
],
"away": [
31,
28,
31,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "45-98",
"home_points": 45,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
13,
3,
11
],
"away": [
28,
22,
28,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "85-82",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
30,
17,
23
],
"away": [
25,
21,
16,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "75-89",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
23,
13,
16
],
"away": [
22,
21,
17,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "105-104",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 209,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
26,
25,
32
],
"away": [
24,
20,
31,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "95-77",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "111-94",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "86-74",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.02.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "102-84",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "13.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "94-75",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "South East Melbourne",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "100-103",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 203,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
27,
26,
15
],
"away": [
25,
27,
24,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "113-105",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
37,
30,
17,
29
],
"away": [
21,
33,
26,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "108-96",
"home_points": 108,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 204,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
31,
24,
25
],
"away": [
17,
28,
19,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "101-92",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
25,
39,
18
],
"away": [
30,
27,
20,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "104-97",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
25,
27,
27
],
"away": [
27,
21,
27,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "111-94",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "95-91",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "120-104",
"home_points": 120,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 224,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "88-114",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 202,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "83-114",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "111-94",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
35,
29,
22,
25
],
"away": [
29,
18,
17,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.01.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "101-93",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
25,
26,
26
],
"away": [
32,
19,
26,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.01.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "97-107",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 107,
"total_points": 204,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
24,
25,
22
],
"away": [
32,
26,
21,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.12.25",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "76-77",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
18,
20,
16
],
"away": [
17,
9,
31,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.11.25",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "94-89",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
25,
29,
19
],
"away": [
24,
22,
26,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.02.25",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "122-105",
"home_points": 122,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 227,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "31.01.25",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "100-99",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 99,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.11.24",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "97-84",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.11.24",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "100-76",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.09.24",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "106-98",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 204,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.84,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 51.1,
"edge_vs_model": 20.9
},
"away": {
"value": 1.92,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 48.9,
"edge_vs_model": -20.9
},
"vig_pct": 6.43
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 99.6,
"team_2": 92.8,
"total": 192.4
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 72,
"team_2": 28
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.2,
"avg_pa": 84.5,
"w_avg_pf": 92.8,
"w_avg_pa": 83.5,
"pace": 176.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 103.1,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 102.9,
"w_avg_pa": 100.6,
"pace": 203.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 192.6
},
"confidence": 81,
"winner": {
"team": "Perth",
"probability": 72,
"margin_pts": 6.8,
"opponent": "South East Melbourne",
"opponent_probability": 28
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 192.4,
"team_1_proj": 99.6,
"team_2_proj": 92.8,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 52.7,
"team_2": 47.8,
"total": 100.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
28.1,
24.6,
24.6,
22.3
],
"away": [
23.9,
23.9,
23.7,
21.3
],
"per_quarter_total": [
52,
48.5,
48.3,
43.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 52.7,
"away": 47.8,
"total": 100.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.282,
"q2": 0.247,
"q3": 0.247,
"q4": 0.224,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.258,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Perth to win",
"team": "Perth",
"win_prob": 72,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Projected margin ~7 pts; form 50% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 192)",
"projected": 192.4,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Combined pace 190.0 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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