Basketball · NBL · Australia
Perth vs Adelaide
Thursday, 24 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Perth vs Adelaide in NBL (Basketball) on Thursday, 24 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
Perth vs Adelaide
24 Sept • 14:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Perth
82%to win
by ~11 pts vs Adelaide
Projected Total
188.9pts
100 – 89
no market line
Halftime Proj
102.6pts
52.9 – 49.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth | 28.2 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 22.4 |
| Adela… | 25.8 | 23.9 | 19.4 | 19.8 |
| Total | 54 | 48.6 | 44.1 | 42.2 |
from last 5+5 games
Perth
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 92.2 — Allowed: 84.5 — Pace: 176.7
Adelaide
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 96.8 — Allowed: 100.2 — Pace: 197
Perth Form
Perth
W9d
W11d
L17d
L189d
L192d
W196d
L199d
W211d
L216d
W218d
Q:19-3125-2813-3125-20
Q:18-2813-223-2811-20
Q:15-2530-2117-1623-20
Q:23-2223-2113-1716-29
Q:22-2426-2025-3132-29
Adelaide Form
Adelaide
W14d
L167d
W171d
L174d
W176d
L182d
W186d
L189d
W193d
L209d
Q:31-2332-2627-1222-25
Q:29-3127-2413-2126-19OT 18-6
Q:22-2424-2926-2120-17
Q:24-3128-2221-1733-23
Q:25-3028-2215-2523-12
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:19-1729-1717-2421-16
Q:20-2926-2029-920-26
Q:25-2225-1828-2016-35
Q:18-1727-2731-2811-22
Q:20-2729-2932-2231-26
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Perth 8 / Adelaide 2. Average total: 193.5.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 100,
"team_2": 89,
"total": 188.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 82,
"team_2": 18
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.2,
"avg_pa": 84.5,
"w_avg_pf": 92.8,
"w_avg_pa": 83.5,
"pace": 176.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 96.8,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 96.8,
"w_avg_pa": 99.7,
"pace": 197,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 193.5
},
"confidence": 89,
"winner": {
"team": "Perth",
"probability": 82,
"margin_pts": 11,
"opponent": "Adelaide",
"opponent_probability": 18
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 188.9,
"team_1_proj": 100,
"team_2_proj": 89,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 52.9,
"team_2": 49.7,
"total": 102.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
28.2,
24.7,
24.7,
22.4
],
"away": [
25.8,
23.9,
19.4,
19.8
],
"per_quarter_total": [
54,
48.6,
44.1,
42.2
],
"halftime": {
"home": 52.9,
"away": 49.7,
"total": 102.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.282,
"q2": 0.247,
"q3": 0.247,
"q4": 0.224,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.29,
"q2": 0.269,
"q3": 0.218,
"q4": 0.223,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Perth to win",
"team": "Perth",
"win_prob": 82,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Projected margin ~11 pts; form 50% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 189)",
"projected": 188.9,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Combined pace 186.8 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "Perth vs Adelaide",
"date": "2026-09-24",
"time": "14:30",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Perth",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Ryukyu",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "82-110",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 110,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
25,
13,
25
],
"away": [
31,
28,
31,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "45-98",
"home_points": 45,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
13,
3,
11
],
"away": [
28,
22,
28,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "85-82",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
30,
17,
23
],
"away": [
25,
21,
16,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "75-89",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
23,
13,
16
],
"away": [
22,
21,
17,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "105-104",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 209,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
26,
25,
32
],
"away": [
24,
20,
31,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "95-77",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "111-94",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "86-74",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.02.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "102-84",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "13.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "94-75",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Adelaide",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "112-86",
"home_points": 112,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 198,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
32,
27,
22
],
"away": [
23,
26,
12,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.04.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "113-101",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 214,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
27,
13,
26,
18
],
"away": [
31,
24,
21,
19,
6
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.04.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "92-91",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
24,
26,
20
],
"away": [
24,
29,
21,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "106-93",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
28,
21,
33
],
"away": [
31,
22,
17,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "91-89",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
28,
15,
23
],
"away": [
30,
22,
25,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.03.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "112-68",
"home_points": 112,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "108-96",
"home_points": 108,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 204,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "101-92",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "10.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "104-97",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.02.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "107-111",
"home_points": 107,
"away_points": 111,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "20.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "86-74",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
29,
17,
21
],
"away": [
17,
17,
24,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.12.25",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "95-84",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
26,
29,
20
],
"away": [
29,
20,
9,
26
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.12.25",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "94-95",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
25,
28,
16
],
"away": [
22,
18,
20,
35
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.11.25",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "87-94",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
27,
31,
11
],
"away": [
17,
27,
28,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.02.25",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "112-104",
"home_points": 112,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 216,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
29,
32,
31
],
"away": [
27,
29,
22,
26
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.01.25",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "110-103",
"home_points": 110,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 213,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.12.24",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "92-116",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 116,
"total_points": 208,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "08.12.24",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "105-115",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 115,
"total_points": 220,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.12.23",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "82-100",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.11.23",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "99-88",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 187,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 100,
"team_2": 89,
"total": 188.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 82,
"team_2": 18
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 92.2,
"avg_pa": 84.5,
"w_avg_pf": 92.8,
"w_avg_pa": 83.5,
"pace": 176.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 96.8,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 96.8,
"w_avg_pa": 99.7,
"pace": 197,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 193.5
},
"confidence": 89,
"winner": {
"team": "Perth",
"probability": 82,
"margin_pts": 11,
"opponent": "Adelaide",
"opponent_probability": 18
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 188.9,
"team_1_proj": 100,
"team_2_proj": 89,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 52.9,
"team_2": 49.7,
"total": 102.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
28.2,
24.7,
24.7,
22.4
],
"away": [
25.8,
23.9,
19.4,
19.8
],
"per_quarter_total": [
54,
48.6,
44.1,
42.2
],
"halftime": {
"home": 52.9,
"away": 49.7,
"total": 102.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.282,
"q2": 0.247,
"q3": 0.247,
"q4": 0.224,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.29,
"q2": 0.269,
"q3": 0.218,
"q4": 0.223,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Perth to win",
"team": "Perth",
"win_prob": 82,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Projected margin ~11 pts; form 50% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 189)",
"projected": 188.9,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Combined pace 186.8 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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