Basketball · EuroLeague Super Cup · Europe
Olympiacos vs Real Madrid
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Olympiacos vs Real Madrid in EuroLeague Super Cup (Basketball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Europe • EuroLeague Super Cup
Olympiacos vs Real Madrid
19 Sept • 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Olympiacos
56%to win
by ~1.8 pts vs Real Madrid
Projected Total
181.5pts
91.6 – 89.9
no market line
Halftime Proj
92pts
46.5 – 45.5
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olymp… | 20.8 | 25.7 | 23.9 | 21.2 |
| Real … | 23.6 | 21.9 | 24.2 | 20.2 |
| Total | 44.4 | 47.6 | 48.1 | 41.4 |
from last 5+5 games
Olympiacos
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
PPG: 84.4 — Allowed: 81.7 — Pace: 166.1
Real Madrid
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 98.6 — Allowed: 91.7 — Pace: 190.3
Olympiacos Form
Olympiacos
W1d
W6d
W8d
W13d
W15d
W98d
L101d
W103d
L106d
W108d
Q:20-2523-2026-3323-12
Q:10-2225-1322-2520-12
Q:25-2931-2615-2118-11
Q:17-2620-2426-2514-12
Q:17-2117-1623-2125-19
Real Madrid Form
Real Madrid
W1d
W8d
W14d
L105d
W107d
L109d
L113d
L115d
L118d
W120d
Q:27-1816-2420-2225-24OT 7-10
Q:29-2520-2827-1721-20
Q:46-2632-1328-2015-21
Q:24-2321-2628-2122-37
Q:24-2121-3020-3418-33
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:19-2627-1815-2131-20
Q:31-1918-2323-1530-31
Q:19-2928-2417-1625-8
Q:21-1626-2618-2619-18
Q:28-2110-2320-1222-16
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Olympiacos 7 / Real Madrid 3. Average total: 165.2.
Olympiacos
1.45
Implied 64.6%
Edge -8.6%
Real Madrid
2.65
Implied 35.4%
Edge +8.6%
Bookmaker vig: 6.7%
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 91.6,
"team_2": 89.9,
"total": 181.5
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 56,
"team_2": 44
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 84.4,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 84.9,
"w_avg_pa": 81.9,
"pace": 166.1,
"blowout_rate": 0
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 98.6,
"avg_pa": 91.7,
"w_avg_pf": 99.4,
"w_avg_pa": 91.7,
"pace": 190.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 165.2
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Olympiacos",
"probability": 56,
"margin_pts": 1.8,
"opponent": "Real Madrid",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 181.5,
"team_1_proj": 91.6,
"team_2_proj": 89.9,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.5,
"team_2": 45.5,
"total": 92,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
20.8,
25.7,
23.9,
21.2
],
"away": [
23.6,
21.9,
24.2,
20.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
47.6,
48.1,
41.4
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.5,
"away": 45.5,
"total": 92
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.227,
"q2": 0.281,
"q3": 0.261,
"q4": 0.231,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.263,
"q2": 0.244,
"q3": 0.269,
"q4": 0.225,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Real Madrid +ML",
"team": "Real Madrid",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Real Madrid has live shot (44%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "EuroLeague Super Cup",
"country": "Europe",
"match": "Real Madrid vs Olympiacos",
"date": "2026-09-19",
"time": "20:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Olympiacos",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "18.09.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "92-90",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
23,
26,
23
],
"away": [
25,
20,
33,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Maccabi Tel Aviv",
"score": "77-72",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
10,
25,
22,
20
],
"away": [
22,
13,
25,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
"score": "89-87",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
31,
15,
18
],
"away": [
29,
26,
21,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "77-87",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
20,
26,
14
],
"away": [
26,
24,
25,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "82-77",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
17,
23,
25
],
"away": [
21,
16,
21,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.06.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Panathinaikos",
"score": "89-85",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "10.06.26",
"home": "Panathinaikos",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "93-86",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "08.06.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Panathinaikos",
"score": "102-92",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.06.26",
"home": "Panathinaikos",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "68-58",
"home_points": 68,
"away_points": 58,
"total_points": 126,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.06.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Panathinaikos",
"score": "82-76",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 158,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Real Madrid",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "18.09.26",
"home": "Dubai",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "95-98",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
16,
20,
25,
7
],
"away": [
18,
24,
22,
24,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Tenerife",
"score": "97-90",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 187,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
20,
27,
21
],
"away": [
25,
28,
17,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Baskonia",
"score": "121-80",
"home_points": 121,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
46,
32,
28,
15
],
"away": [
26,
13,
20,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.06.26",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Tenerife",
"score": "95-107",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 107,
"total_points": 202,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
21,
28,
22
],
"away": [
23,
26,
21,
37
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.06.26",
"home": "Tenerife",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "83-118",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 118,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
21,
20,
18
],
"away": [
21,
30,
34,
33
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.06.26",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Tenerife",
"score": "97-98",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 195,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.05.26",
"home": "Manresa",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "94-87",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.05.26",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Baskonia",
"score": "83-88",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.05.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "92-85",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.05.26",
"home": "Valencia",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "90-105",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 195,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "24.05.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "92-85",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
27,
15,
31
],
"away": [
26,
18,
21,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.04.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "102-88",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 190,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
18,
23,
30
],
"away": [
19,
23,
15,
31
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.10.25",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "89-77",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
28,
17,
25
],
"away": [
29,
24,
16,
8
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.05.25",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "84-86",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
26,
18,
19
],
"away": [
16,
26,
26,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.04.25",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "80-72",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
10,
20,
22
],
"away": [
21,
23,
12,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.04.25",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "77-71",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "23.04.25",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "84-72",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.01.25",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "86-96",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.10.24",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Real Madrid",
"score": "79-69",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 69,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.05.24",
"home": "Real Madrid",
"away": "Olympiacos",
"score": "87-76",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.45,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 64.6,
"edge_vs_model": -8.6
},
"away": {
"value": 2.65,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 35.4,
"edge_vs_model": 8.6
},
"vig_pct": 6.7
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 91.6,
"team_2": 89.9,
"total": 181.5
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 56,
"team_2": 44
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 84.4,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 84.9,
"w_avg_pa": 81.9,
"pace": 166.1,
"blowout_rate": 0
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 98.6,
"avg_pa": 91.7,
"w_avg_pf": 99.4,
"w_avg_pa": 91.7,
"pace": 190.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 165.2
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Olympiacos",
"probability": 56,
"margin_pts": 1.8,
"opponent": "Real Madrid",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 181.5,
"team_1_proj": 91.6,
"team_2_proj": 89.9,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.5,
"team_2": 45.5,
"total": 92,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
20.8,
25.7,
23.9,
21.2
],
"away": [
23.6,
21.9,
24.2,
20.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
47.6,
48.1,
41.4
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.5,
"away": 45.5,
"total": 92
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.227,
"q2": 0.281,
"q3": 0.261,
"q4": 0.231,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.263,
"q2": 0.244,
"q3": 0.269,
"q4": 0.225,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Real Madrid +ML",
"team": "Real Madrid",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Real Madrid has live shot (44%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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