Basketball · Lega A · Italy
Varese vs Virtus Bologna
Sunday, 27 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Varese vs Virtus Bologna in Lega A (Basketball) on Sunday, 27 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Italy • Lega A
Varese vs Virtus Bologna
27 Sept • 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Virtus Bologna
70%to win
by ~6 pts vs Varese
Projected Total
178.6pts
86.2 – 92.3
no market line
Halftime Proj
86.4pts
44.8 – 41.6
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varese | 19.2 | 25.6 | 19.4 | 22.1 |
| Virtu… | 21.9 | 19.7 | 23.5 | 27.2 |
| Total | 41.1 | 45.3 | 42.9 | 49.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Varese
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 89.8 — Allowed: 91.3 — Pace: 181.1
Virtus Bologna
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 90.4 — Allowed: 82.3 — Pace: 172.7
Varese Form
Varese
L133d
W147d
L154d
W161d
L169d
W176d
L182d
W189d
W196d
W218d
Q:27-1722-2129-3126-16
Q:19-1826-1313-2426-20
Q:20-1926-2530-2624-26
Q:24-2027-2212-2528-23
Q:25-2023-3322-1820-18
Virtus Bologna Form
Virtus Bologna
L1d
W4d
W9d
W11d
W17d
L106d
L108d
W111d
L113d
W117d
Q:17-1423-923-2517-23
Q:27-1619-3123-2228-11
Q:20-2026-3410-3211-24
Q:18-1419-2024-1727-22
Q:13-2723-1827-1016-28
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:27-1722-2129-3126-16
Q:23-1612-2319-1423-30
Q:13-1732-1335-2024-17
Q:24-2227-2225-3028-21
Q:20-2720-2016-1713-17
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Varese 1 / Virtus Bologna 9. Average total: 177.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 86.2,
"team_2": 92.3,
"total": 178.6
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 30,
"team_2": 70
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 89.8,
"avg_pa": 91.3,
"w_avg_pf": 89.5,
"w_avg_pa": 91.5,
"pace": 181.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 90.4,
"avg_pa": 82.3,
"w_avg_pf": 89.9,
"w_avg_pa": 81.2,
"pace": 172.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 9,
"t1_win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_total": 177
},
"confidence": 90,
"winner": {
"team": "Virtus Bologna",
"probability": 70,
"margin_pts": 6,
"opponent": "Varese",
"opponent_probability": 30
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 178.6,
"team_1_proj": 86.2,
"team_2_proj": 92.3,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.8,
"team_2": 41.6,
"total": 86.4,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.2,
25.6,
19.4,
22.1
],
"away": [
21.9,
19.7,
23.5,
27.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
41.1,
45.3,
42.9,
49.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.8,
"away": 41.6,
"total": 86.4
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.223,
"q2": 0.297,
"q3": 0.225,
"q4": 0.256,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.237,
"q2": 0.213,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.295,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Virtus Bologna to win",
"team": "Virtus Bologna",
"win_prob": 70,
"confidence": 90,
"reason": "Projected margin ~6 pts; form 60% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 90% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 179)",
"projected": 178.6,
"confidence": 90,
"reason": "Combined pace 176.9 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Lega A",
"country": "Italy",
"match": "Varese vs Virtus Bologna",
"date": "2026-09-27",
"time": "20:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Varese",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "104-85",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
22,
29,
26
],
"away": [
17,
21,
31,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.04.26",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Cremona",
"score": "84-75",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
26,
13,
26
],
"away": [
18,
13,
24,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.04.26",
"home": "Cantu",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "100-96",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
26,
30,
24
],
"away": [
19,
25,
26,
26
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Sassari",
"score": "91-90",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
27,
12,
28
],
"away": [
20,
22,
25,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.04.26",
"home": "Trieste",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "90-89",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
23,
22,
20
],
"away": [
20,
33,
18,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.03.26",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Tortona",
"score": "97-87",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.03.26",
"home": "Basket Napoli",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "104-75",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.03.26",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Treviso",
"score": "91-86",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "08.03.26",
"home": "Udine",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "81-92",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Brescia",
"score": "98-96",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Virtus Bologna",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "19.09.26",
"home": "Olimpia Milano",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "80-71",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
23,
23,
17
],
"away": [
14,
9,
25,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Maxima Roma",
"score": "97-80",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
19,
23,
28
],
"away": [
16,
31,
22,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Pesaro",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "67-110",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 110,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
26,
10,
11
],
"away": [
20,
34,
32,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Tortona",
"score": "88-73",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
19,
24,
27
],
"away": [
14,
20,
17,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Rimini",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "79-83",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
23,
27,
16
],
"away": [
27,
18,
10,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.06.26",
"home": "Venezia",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "90-83",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.06.26",
"home": "Venezia",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "89-85",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.06.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Venezia",
"score": "98-79",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.05.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Venezia",
"score": "83-91",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.05.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Trento",
"score": "106-95",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "104-85",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
22,
29,
26
],
"away": [
17,
21,
31,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.11.25",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "77-83",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
12,
19,
23
],
"away": [
16,
23,
14,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.04.25",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "104-67",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 67,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
32,
35,
24
],
"away": [
17,
13,
20,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.11.24",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "104-95",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
27,
25,
28
],
"away": [
22,
22,
30,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.01.24",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "69-81",
"home_points": 69,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
20,
16,
13
],
"away": [
27,
20,
17,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.10.23",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "115-84",
"home_points": 115,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.05.23",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "98-82",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "04.12.22",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "100-108",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 108,
"total_points": 208,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "06.02.22",
"home": "Varese",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "80-81",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.10.21",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Varese",
"score": "97-56",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 56,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 86.2,
"team_2": 92.3,
"total": 178.6
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 30,
"team_2": 70
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 89.8,
"avg_pa": 91.3,
"w_avg_pf": 89.5,
"w_avg_pa": 91.5,
"pace": 181.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 90.4,
"avg_pa": 82.3,
"w_avg_pf": 89.9,
"w_avg_pa": 81.2,
"pace": 172.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 9,
"t1_win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_total": 177
},
"confidence": 90,
"winner": {
"team": "Virtus Bologna",
"probability": 70,
"margin_pts": 6,
"opponent": "Varese",
"opponent_probability": 30
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 178.6,
"team_1_proj": 86.2,
"team_2_proj": 92.3,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.8,
"team_2": 41.6,
"total": 86.4,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.2,
25.6,
19.4,
22.1
],
"away": [
21.9,
19.7,
23.5,
27.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
41.1,
45.3,
42.9,
49.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.8,
"away": 41.6,
"total": 86.4
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.223,
"q2": 0.297,
"q3": 0.225,
"q4": 0.256,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.237,
"q2": 0.213,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.295,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Virtus Bologna to win",
"team": "Virtus Bologna",
"win_prob": 70,
"confidence": 90,
"reason": "Projected margin ~6 pts; form 60% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 90% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 179)",
"projected": 178.6,
"confidence": 90,
"reason": "Combined pace 176.9 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Basketball board.