Basketball · Euroleague · Europe

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet vs Zalgiris Kaunas

Thursday, 24 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet vs Zalgiris Kaunas in Euroleague (Basketball) on Thursday, 24 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

EuropeEuroleague
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet vs Zalgiris Kaunas
24 Sept21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Zalgiris Kaunas
85%to win
by ~12.6 pts vs Crvena Zvezda…
Projected Total
176.2pts
81.894.4
no market line
Halftime Proj
86.8pts
42.544.3
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Crven…20.122.421.517.8
Zalgi…22.421.926.124
Total42.544.347.641.8
from last 4+5 games
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
Last 10: 37 (30%)
PPG: 86.2 — Allowed: 90.3 — Pace: 176.5
Zalgiris Kaunas
Last 10: 91 (90%)
PPG: 96.3 — Allowed: 75.7 — Pace: 172
Crvena Zvezda Meridianb… Form
Crvena Zvezda Mer…
W1d
L6d
L8d
L13d
W15d
L113d
L121d
L124d
W127d
L130d
3W · 7L
18 Sept
Crvena Zvezda… vs Aris
91-87W
13 Sept
Aris vs Crvena Zvezda…
98-74L
Q:34-1817-2222-1725-17
11 Sept
Olympiacos vs Crvena Zvezda…
89-87L
Q:25-2931-2615-2118-11
06 Sept
Crvena Zvezda… vs Olympiacos
77-87L
Q:17-2620-2426-2514-12
04 Sept
Olimpia Milano vs Crvena Zvezda…
85-91W
Q:15-1728-2224-2218-30
29 May
Crvena Zvezda… vs Spartak Subot…
89-90L
21 May
Crvena Zvezda… vs Partizan Mozz…
78-89L
18 May
Partizan Mozz… vs Crvena Zvezda…
100-94L
15 May
Crvena Zvezda… vs Cedevita Olim…
95-86W
12 May
Cedevita Olim… vs Crvena Zvezda…
92-86L
Zalgiris Kaunas Form
Zalgiris Kaunas
W2d
W8d
L9d
W13d
W99d
W102d
W104d
W111d
W114d
W116d
9W · 1L
17 Sept
Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaun…
77-98W
Q:18-2319-2120-2820-26
11 Sept
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Slask Wroclaw
86-55W
Q:19-1621-1624-922-14
10 Sept
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Paris
82-83L
Q:15-2118-2428-2121-17
06 Sept
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Sabah Baku
112-78W
Q:28-2028-1629-1927-23
12 Jun
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Juventus
95-77W
Q:28-1822-2121-1724-21
09 Jun
Juventus vs Zalgiris Kaun…
69-100W
07 Jun
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Juventus
107-75W
31 May
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Lietkabelis
103-93W
28 May
Lietkabelis vs Zalgiris Kaun…
75-95W
26 May
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Lietkabelis
85-75W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
09 Jan
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Crvena Zvezda…
99-67
Q:26-1221-1621-2431-15
14 Oct
Crvena Zvezda… vs Zalgiris Kaun…
88-79
Q:23-2722-1212-1931-21
27 Feb
Crvena Zvezda… vs Zalgiris Kaun…
80-86
Q:22-2321-2117-2320-19
30 Oct
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Crvena Zvezda…
86-84
Q:24-1823-1519-2420-27
09 Feb
Crvena Zvezda… vs Zalgiris Kaun…
91-93
Q:22-2323-2220-2326-25
13 Oct
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Crvena Zvezda…
79-74
23 Sept
Crvena Zvezda… vs Zalgiris Kaun…
84-85
20 Jan
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Crvena Zvezda…
71-66
13 Dec
Crvena Zvezda… vs Zalgiris Kaun…
77-73
03 Apr
Zalgiris Kaun… vs Crvena Zvezda…
103-98
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 2 / Zalgiris Kaunas 8. Average total: 166.3.
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
1.57
Implied 60.5%
Edge -45.5%
Zalgiris Kaunas
2.4
Implied 39.5%
Edge +45.5%
Bookmaker vig: 5.36%
Model output
{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 81.8,
    "team_2": 94.4,
    "total": 176.2
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 15,
    "team_2": 85
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 3,
      "losses": 7,
      "win_rate": 0.3,
      "avg_pf": 86.2,
      "avg_pa": 90.3,
      "w_avg_pf": 85.8,
      "w_avg_pa": 90.2,
      "pace": 176.5,
      "blowout_rate": 0.1
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 9,
      "losses": 1,
      "win_rate": 0.9,
      "avg_pf": 96.3,
      "avg_pa": 75.7,
      "w_avg_pf": 96.2,
      "w_avg_pa": 75.2,
      "pace": 172,
      "blowout_rate": 0.7
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 2,
    "t2_wins": 8,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.2,
    "avg_total": 166.3
  },
  "confidence": 100,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
    "probability": 85,
    "margin_pts": 12.6,
    "opponent": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
    "opponent_probability": 15
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 176.2,
    "team_1_proj": 81.8,
    "team_2_proj": 94.4,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 42.5,
    "team_2": 44.3,
    "total": 86.8,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "quarter_scores": null,
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      20.1,
      22.4,
      21.5,
      17.8
    ],
    "away": [
      22.4,
      21.9,
      26.1,
      24
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      42.5,
      44.3,
      47.6,
      41.8
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 42.5,
      "away": 44.3,
      "total": 86.8
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 4,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.246,
      "q2": 0.274,
      "q3": 0.263,
      "q4": 0.217,
      "samples": 4
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.237,
      "q2": 0.232,
      "q3": 0.277,
      "q4": 0.254,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Zalgiris Kaunas to win",
      "team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
      "win_prob": 85,
      "confidence": 100,
      "reason": "Projected margin ~13 pts; form 90% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "total points (Over)",
      "pick": "Over (projected 176)",
      "projected": 176.2,
      "confidence": 100,
      "reason": "Combined pace 174.2 > league baseline."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "Euroleague",
  "country": "Europe",
  "match": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet vs Zalgiris Kaunas",
  "date": "2026-09-24",
  "time": "21:00",
  "status": "",
  "score": null,
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "18.09.26",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Aris",
        "score": "91-87",
        "home_points": 91,
        "away_points": 87,
        "total_points": 178,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [],
          "away": []
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Aris",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "98-74",
        "home_points": 98,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 172,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            34,
            17,
            22,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            22,
            17,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "Olympiacos",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "89-87",
        "home_points": 89,
        "away_points": 87,
        "total_points": 176,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            31,
            15,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            29,
            26,
            21,
            11
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Olympiacos",
        "score": "77-87",
        "home_points": 77,
        "away_points": 87,
        "total_points": 164,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            17,
            20,
            26,
            14
          ],
          "away": [
            26,
            24,
            25,
            12
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "04.09.26",
        "home": "Olimpia Milano",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "85-91",
        "home_points": 85,
        "away_points": 91,
        "total_points": 176,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            28,
            24,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            17,
            22,
            22,
            30
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.05.26",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Spartak Subotica",
        "score": "89-90",
        "home_points": 89,
        "away_points": 90,
        "total_points": 179,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "21.05.26",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Partizan Mozzart Bet",
        "score": "78-89",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 89,
        "total_points": 167,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "18.05.26",
        "home": "Partizan Mozzart Bet",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "100-94",
        "home_points": 100,
        "away_points": 94,
        "total_points": 194,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "15.05.26",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Cedevita Olimpija",
        "score": "95-86",
        "home_points": 95,
        "away_points": 86,
        "total_points": 181,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "12.05.26",
        "home": "Cedevita Olimpija",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "92-86",
        "home_points": 92,
        "away_points": 86,
        "total_points": 178,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "17.09.26",
        "home": "Gargzdai",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "77-98",
        "home_points": 77,
        "away_points": 98,
        "total_points": 175,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            19,
            20,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            23,
            21,
            28,
            26
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Slask Wroclaw",
        "score": "86-55",
        "home_points": 86,
        "away_points": 55,
        "total_points": 141,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            19,
            21,
            24,
            22
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            16,
            9,
            14
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Paris",
        "score": "82-83",
        "home_points": 82,
        "away_points": 83,
        "total_points": 165,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            18,
            28,
            21
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            24,
            21,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Sabah Baku",
        "score": "112-78",
        "home_points": 112,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 190,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            28,
            28,
            29,
            27
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            16,
            19,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.06.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Juventus",
        "score": "95-77",
        "home_points": 95,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 172,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            28,
            22,
            21,
            24
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            21,
            17,
            21
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.06.26",
        "home": "Juventus",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "69-100",
        "home_points": 69,
        "away_points": 100,
        "total_points": 169,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "07.06.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Juventus",
        "score": "107-75",
        "home_points": 107,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 182,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "31.05.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Lietkabelis",
        "score": "103-93",
        "home_points": 103,
        "away_points": 93,
        "total_points": 196,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "28.05.26",
        "home": "Lietkabelis",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "75-95",
        "home_points": 75,
        "away_points": 95,
        "total_points": 170,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "26.05.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Lietkabelis",
        "score": "85-75",
        "home_points": 85,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 160,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "09.01.26",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "99-67",
        "home_points": 99,
        "away_points": 67,
        "total_points": 166,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            21,
            21,
            31
          ],
          "away": [
            12,
            16,
            24,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "14.10.25",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "88-79",
        "home_points": 88,
        "away_points": 79,
        "total_points": 167,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            23,
            22,
            12,
            31
          ],
          "away": [
            27,
            12,
            19,
            21
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "27.02.25",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "80-86",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 86,
        "total_points": 166,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            22,
            21,
            17,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            23,
            21,
            23,
            19
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "30.10.24",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "86-84",
        "home_points": 86,
        "away_points": 84,
        "total_points": 170,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            24,
            23,
            19,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            15,
            24,
            27
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.02.24",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "91-93",
        "home_points": 91,
        "away_points": 93,
        "total_points": 184,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            22,
            23,
            20,
            26
          ],
          "away": [
            23,
            22,
            23,
            25
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.10.23",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "79-74",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 153,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "23.09.23",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "84-85",
        "home_points": 84,
        "away_points": 85,
        "total_points": 169,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "20.01.23",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "71-66",
        "home_points": 71,
        "away_points": 66,
        "total_points": 137,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "13.12.22",
        "home": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "score": "77-73",
        "home_points": 77,
        "away_points": 73,
        "total_points": 150,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "03.04.22",
        "home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "away": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
        "score": "103-98",
        "home_points": 103,
        "away_points": 98,
        "total_points": 201,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": {
        "value": 1.57,
        "indicator": "down",
        "implied_pct": 60.5,
        "edge_vs_model": -45.5
      },
      "away": {
        "value": 2.4,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 39.5,
        "edge_vs_model": 45.5
      },
      "vig_pct": 5.36
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 81.8,
      "team_2": 94.4,
      "total": 176.2
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 15,
      "team_2": 85
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 3,
        "losses": 7,
        "win_rate": 0.3,
        "avg_pf": 86.2,
        "avg_pa": 90.3,
        "w_avg_pf": 85.8,
        "w_avg_pa": 90.2,
        "pace": 176.5,
        "blowout_rate": 0.1
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 9,
        "losses": 1,
        "win_rate": 0.9,
        "avg_pf": 96.3,
        "avg_pa": 75.7,
        "w_avg_pf": 96.2,
        "w_avg_pa": 75.2,
        "pace": 172,
        "blowout_rate": 0.7
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 2,
      "t2_wins": 8,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.2,
      "avg_total": 166.3
    },
    "confidence": 100,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
      "probability": 85,
      "margin_pts": 12.6,
      "opponent": "Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet",
      "opponent_probability": 15
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 176.2,
      "team_1_proj": 81.8,
      "team_2_proj": 94.4,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 42.5,
      "team_2": 44.3,
      "total": 86.8,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "quarter_scores": null,
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        20.1,
        22.4,
        21.5,
        17.8
      ],
      "away": [
        22.4,
        21.9,
        26.1,
        24
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        42.5,
        44.3,
        47.6,
        41.8
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 42.5,
        "away": 44.3,
        "total": 86.8
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 4,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.246,
        "q2": 0.274,
        "q3": 0.263,
        "q4": 0.217,
        "samples": 4
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.237,
        "q2": 0.232,
        "q3": 0.277,
        "q4": 0.254,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Zalgiris Kaunas to win",
        "team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
        "win_prob": 85,
        "confidence": 100,
        "reason": "Projected margin ~13 pts; form 90% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "total points (Over)",
        "pick": "Over (projected 176)",
        "projected": 176.2,
        "confidence": 100,
        "reason": "Combined pace 174.2 > league baseline."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  }
}

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