Basketball · Asian Games Women · Asia
Japan W vs Philippines W
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Japan W vs Philippines W in Asian Games Women (Basketball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Asia • Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Philippines W
22 Sept • 07:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Japan W
79%to win
by ~9.7 pts vs Philippines W
Projected Total
156pts
82.8 – 73.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
77.6pts
43.8 – 33.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan… | 17.5 | 26.3 | 17.8 | 21.2 |
| Phili… | 16.5 | 17.3 | 20.5 | 18.9 |
| Total | 34 | 43.6 | 38.3 | 40.1 |
from last 5+5 games
Japan W
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 73.7 — Allowed: 81.7 — Pace: 155.4
Philippines W
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 69.2 — Allowed: 83.9 — Pace: 153.1
Japan W Form
Japan W
L7d
L8d
L10d
W11d
L16d
L18d
W32d
W33d
L138d
L141d
Q:20-1217-2221-1126-18
Q:15-2321-1612-1811-22
Q:28-116-1824-1016-19
Q:21-2527-2723-2131-24
Q:28-1616-2317-2213-13OT 15-11
Philippines W Form
Philippines W
W25d
L26d
L28d
W182d
L184d
L185d
L187d
L188d
W270d
W271d
Q:18-1821-1722-1518-25
Q:4-237-2318-169-23
Q:16-229-1515-1021-11
Q:14-1419-2618-723-12
Q:17-2816-2717-2524-25
Head-to-head summary
4 meetings — Japan W 4 / Philippines W 0. Average total: 158.8.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 82.8,
"team_2": 73.2,
"total": 156
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 79,
"team_2": 21
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 73.7,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 73.2,
"w_avg_pa": 81.7,
"pace": 155.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 69.2,
"avg_pa": 83.9,
"w_avg_pf": 68.6,
"w_avg_pa": 83.4,
"pace": 153.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 158.8
},
"confidence": 82,
"winner": {
"team": "Japan W",
"probability": 79,
"margin_pts": 9.7,
"opponent": "Philippines W",
"opponent_probability": 21
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 156,
"team_1_proj": 82.8,
"team_2_proj": 73.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 43.8,
"team_2": 33.8,
"total": 77.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
17.5,
26.3,
17.8,
21.2
],
"away": [
16.5,
17.3,
20.5,
18.9
],
"per_quarter_total": [
34,
43.6,
38.3,
40.1
],
"halftime": {
"home": 43.8,
"away": 33.8,
"total": 77.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.211,
"q2": 0.318,
"q3": 0.215,
"q4": 0.256,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.226,
"q2": 0.236,
"q3": 0.28,
"q4": 0.258,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Japan W to win",
"team": "Japan W",
"win_prob": 79,
"confidence": 82,
"reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 30% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Asian Games Women",
"country": "Asia",
"match": "Japan W vs Philippines W",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "07:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Japan W",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Hungary W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "84-63",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 147,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
17,
21,
26
],
"away": [
12,
22,
11,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "Spain W",
"score": "59-79",
"home_points": 59,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 138,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
21,
12,
11
],
"away": [
23,
16,
18,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Germany W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "74-58",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 58,
"total_points": 132,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
6,
24,
16
],
"away": [
11,
18,
10,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "Mali W",
"score": "102-97",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
27,
23,
31
],
"away": [
25,
27,
21,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Belgium W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "89-85",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
16,
17,
13,
15
],
"away": [
16,
23,
22,
13,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Belgium W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "78-77",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.08.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "South Korea W",
"score": "78-77",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "13.08.26",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "South Korea W",
"score": "77-59",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 59,
"total_points": 136,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.04.26",
"home": "Phoenix Mercury W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "86-60",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 60,
"total_points": 146,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.04.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aces W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "94-78",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Philippines W",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Senegal W",
"score": "79-75",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 154,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
21,
22,
18
],
"away": [
18,
17,
15,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Canada W",
"score": "38-85",
"home_points": 38,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 123,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
4,
7,
18,
9
],
"away": [
23,
23,
16,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.08.26",
"home": "Mexico W",
"away": "Philippines W",
"score": "61-58",
"home_points": 61,
"away_points": 58,
"total_points": 119,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
9,
15,
21
],
"away": [
22,
15,
10,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.03.26",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Colombia W",
"score": "74-59",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 59,
"total_points": 133,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
19,
18,
23
],
"away": [
14,
26,
7,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.03.26",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "South Korea W",
"score": "74-105",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
16,
17,
24
],
"away": [
28,
27,
25,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "Nigeria W",
"away": "Philippines W",
"score": "101-84",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "12.03.26",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Germany W",
"score": "80-113",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 113,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "11.03.26",
"home": "France W",
"away": "Philippines W",
"score": "115-66",
"home_points": 115,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.12.25",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Thailand W",
"score": "73-70",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "18.12.25",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Indonesia W",
"score": "66-55",
"home_points": 66,
"away_points": 55,
"total_points": 121,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "14.07.25",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "82-85",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
21,
16,
25
],
"away": [
31,
26,
20,
8
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.10.23",
"home": "Japan W",
"away": "Philippines W",
"score": "96-59",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 59,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
35,
15,
16,
30
],
"away": [
14,
12,
13,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.06.23",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "57-95",
"home_points": 57,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
14,
17,
17,
9
],
"away": [
28,
21,
17,
29
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.07.17",
"home": "Philippines W",
"away": "Japan W",
"score": "55-106",
"home_points": 55,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
11,
20,
8,
16
],
"away": [
25,
31,
31,
19
]
}
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 82.8,
"team_2": 73.2,
"total": 156
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 79,
"team_2": 21
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 73.7,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 73.2,
"w_avg_pa": 81.7,
"pace": 155.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 69.2,
"avg_pa": 83.9,
"w_avg_pf": 68.6,
"w_avg_pa": 83.4,
"pace": 153.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 158.8
},
"confidence": 82,
"winner": {
"team": "Japan W",
"probability": 79,
"margin_pts": 9.7,
"opponent": "Philippines W",
"opponent_probability": 21
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 156,
"team_1_proj": 82.8,
"team_2_proj": 73.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 43.8,
"team_2": 33.8,
"total": 77.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
17.5,
26.3,
17.8,
21.2
],
"away": [
16.5,
17.3,
20.5,
18.9
],
"per_quarter_total": [
34,
43.6,
38.3,
40.1
],
"halftime": {
"home": 43.8,
"away": 33.8,
"total": 77.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.211,
"q2": 0.318,
"q3": 0.215,
"q4": 0.256,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.226,
"q2": 0.236,
"q3": 0.28,
"q4": 0.258,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Japan W to win",
"team": "Japan W",
"win_prob": 79,
"confidence": 82,
"reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 30% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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