Basketball · Russian Cup - First stage · Russia
TSK Ural vs Neftekhimik Tobolsk
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.TSK Ural vs Neftekhimik Tobolsk in Russian Cup - First stage (Basketball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Russia • Russian Cup - First stage
TSK Ural vs Neftekhimik Tobolsk
17 Sept • 13:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
TSK Ural
62%to win
by ~3.5 pts vs Neftekhimik T…
Projected Total
145.9pts
74.7 – 71.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
71.5pts
35.7 – 35.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSK U… | 19.6 | 16.1 | 21.3 | 17.7 |
| Nefte… | 21.6 | 14.2 | 20.7 | 14.7 |
| Total | 41.2 | 30.3 | 42 | 32.4 |
from last 5+5 games
TSK Ural
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
PPG: 75.8 — Allowed: 61.6 — Pace: 137.4
Neftekhimik Tobolsk
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
PPG: 80.6 — Allowed: 66.5 — Pace: 147.1
TSK Ural Form
TSK Ural
W1d
W2d
W323d
L344d
L354d
W355d
W364d
W365d
W366d
L727d
Q:16-1613-209-3724-22
Q:33-1122-420-821-10
Q:11-2017-916-2321-15
Q:13-2217-1711-1426-32
Q:21-1716-1427-1814-7
Neftekhimik Tobolsk Form
Neftekhimik Tobol…
W1d
W2d
L364d
W365d
W366d
L720d
W721d
W727d
W728d
W729d
Q:15-2416-2113-2322-22
Q:29-2320-1126-2214-15
Q:24-2613-1728-1913-30
Q:15-2417-1920-1610-16
Q:29-611-1532-824-9
Head-to-head summary
2 meetings — TSK Ural 1 / Neftekhimik Tobolsk 1. Average total: 142.5.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 74.7,
"team_2": 71.2,
"total": 145.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 75.8,
"avg_pa": 61.6,
"w_avg_pf": 77.1,
"w_avg_pa": 61.5,
"pace": 137.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.8
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 80.6,
"avg_pa": 66.5,
"w_avg_pf": 80.9,
"w_avg_pa": 67.2,
"pace": 147.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 2,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 1,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 142.5
},
"confidence": 64,
"winner": {
"team": "TSK Ural",
"probability": 62,
"margin_pts": 3.5,
"opponent": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 145.9,
"team_1_proj": 74.7,
"team_2_proj": 71.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 35.7,
"team_2": 35.8,
"total": 71.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.6,
16.1,
21.3,
17.7
],
"away": [
21.6,
14.2,
20.7,
14.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
41.2,
30.3,
42,
32.4
],
"halftime": {
"home": 35.7,
"away": 35.8,
"total": 71.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.262,
"q2": 0.216,
"q3": 0.285,
"q4": 0.237,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.304,
"q2": 0.199,
"q3": 0.291,
"q4": 0.206,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk +ML",
"team": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 64,
"reason": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk has live shot (38%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Russian Cup - First stage",
"country": "Russia",
"match": "TSK Ural vs Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "13:30",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "TSK Ural",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Uralmash Ekaterinburg 2",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "62-95",
"home_points": 62,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
13,
9,
24
],
"away": [
16,
20,
37,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "TSK Ural",
"away": "Enisey 2",
"score": "96-33",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 33,
"total_points": 129,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
33,
22,
20,
21
],
"away": [
11,
4,
8,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.10.25",
"home": "Izhevsk",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "65-67",
"home_points": 65,
"away_points": 67,
"total_points": 132,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
11,
17,
16,
21
],
"away": [
20,
9,
23,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.10.25",
"home": "TSK Ural",
"away": "Izhevsk",
"score": "67-85",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
17,
11,
26
],
"away": [
22,
17,
14,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.09.25",
"home": "BC Moscow",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "78-56",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 56,
"total_points": 134,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
16,
27,
14
],
"away": [
17,
14,
18,
7
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.09.25",
"home": "Parma Perm",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "54-76",
"home_points": 54,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 130,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "18.09.25",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "78-92",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.09.25",
"home": "Enisey 2",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "38-91",
"home_points": 38,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 129,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.09.25",
"home": "TSK Ural",
"away": "Uralmash Ekaterinburg 2",
"score": "80-46",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 46,
"total_points": 126,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.09.24",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "77-38",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 38,
"total_points": 115,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Enisey 2",
"away": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"score": "66-90",
"home_points": 66,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
16,
13,
22
],
"away": [
24,
21,
23,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "Uralmash Ekaterinburg 2",
"score": "89-71",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
20,
26,
14
],
"away": [
23,
11,
22,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.09.25",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "78-92",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
13,
28,
13
],
"away": [
26,
17,
19,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.09.25",
"home": "Uralmash Ekaterinburg 2",
"away": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"score": "62-75",
"home_points": 62,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 137,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
17,
20,
10
],
"away": [
24,
19,
16,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.09.25",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "Enisey 2",
"score": "96-38",
"home_points": 96,
"away_points": 38,
"total_points": 134,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
11,
32,
24
],
"away": [
6,
15,
8,
9
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.09.24",
"home": "BC Moscow",
"away": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"score": "91-45",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 45,
"total_points": 136,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.09.24",
"home": "Ufa",
"away": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"score": "74-86",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.09.24",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "77-38",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 38,
"total_points": 115,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.09.24",
"home": "Parma Perm",
"away": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"score": "70-84",
"home_points": 70,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 154,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "18.09.24",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "Enisey 2",
"score": "86-63",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "18.09.25",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "78-92",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
13,
28,
13
],
"away": [
26,
17,
19,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.09.24",
"home": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"away": "TSK Ural",
"score": "77-38",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 38,
"total_points": 115,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
18,
22,
13
],
"away": [
9,
6,
13,
10
]
}
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 74.7,
"team_2": 71.2,
"total": 145.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 75.8,
"avg_pa": 61.6,
"w_avg_pf": 77.1,
"w_avg_pa": 61.5,
"pace": 137.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.8
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 80.6,
"avg_pa": 66.5,
"w_avg_pf": 80.9,
"w_avg_pa": 67.2,
"pace": 147.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 2,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 1,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 142.5
},
"confidence": 64,
"winner": {
"team": "TSK Ural",
"probability": 62,
"margin_pts": 3.5,
"opponent": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 145.9,
"team_1_proj": 74.7,
"team_2_proj": 71.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 35.7,
"team_2": 35.8,
"total": 71.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.6,
16.1,
21.3,
17.7
],
"away": [
21.6,
14.2,
20.7,
14.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
41.2,
30.3,
42,
32.4
],
"halftime": {
"home": 35.7,
"away": 35.8,
"total": 71.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.262,
"q2": 0.216,
"q3": 0.285,
"q4": 0.237,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.304,
"q2": 0.199,
"q3": 0.291,
"q4": 0.206,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk +ML",
"team": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 64,
"reason": "Neftekhimik Tobolsk has live shot (38%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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