Basketball · LNBP · Mexico
Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun in LNBP (Basketball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Mexico • LNBP
Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun
16 Sept • 05:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Dorados
65%to win
by ~4.5 pts vs El Calor de C…
Projected Total
174.9pts
89.8 – 85.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
90.5pts
46.9 – 43.6
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorad… | 24.8 | 22.1 | 20.3 | 22.6 |
| El Ca… | 19.6 | 24 | 16.4 | 25.2 |
| Total | 44.4 | 46.1 | 36.7 | 47.8 |
from last 5+5 games
Dorados
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 84.3 — Allowed: 87.3 — Pace: 171.6
El Calor de Cancun
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 83.8 — Allowed: 89.7 — Pace: 173.5
Dorados Form
Dorados
L2d
W3d
L14d
W15d
W19d
L20d
L24d
W25d
L28d
L29d
Q:16-2931-2219-2019-12
Q:28-2418-1919-1914-24
Q:13-2624-2019-2626-20
Q:35-1014-2218-2328-16
Q:27-2315-3121-2531-23
El Calor de Cancun Form
El Calor de Cancun
L2d
W3d
L14d
L15d
L19d
L20d
L24d
L25d
W28d
W29d
Q:21-3122-2015-2224-13
Q:27-2430-1813-3133-15
Q:26-2222-2621-2620-12
Q:36-1318-2430-1318-25
Q:16-2318-2214-3031-13
Head-to-head summary
4 meetings — Dorados 2 / El Calor de Cancun 2. Average total: 159.5.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 89.8,
"team_2": 85.2,
"total": 174.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 65,
"team_2": 35
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 84.3,
"avg_pa": 87.3,
"w_avg_pf": 84.8,
"w_avg_pa": 86.9,
"pace": 171.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 83.8,
"avg_pa": 89.7,
"w_avg_pf": 83.5,
"w_avg_pa": 89.7,
"pace": 173.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 159.5
},
"confidence": 71,
"winner": {
"team": "Dorados",
"probability": 65,
"margin_pts": 4.5,
"opponent": "El Calor de Cancun",
"opponent_probability": 35
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 174.9,
"team_1_proj": 89.8,
"team_2_proj": 85.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.9,
"team_2": 43.6,
"total": 90.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.8,
22.1,
20.3,
22.6
],
"away": [
19.6,
24,
16.4,
25.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
46.1,
36.7,
47.8
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.9,
"away": 43.6,
"total": 90.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.276,
"q2": 0.246,
"q3": 0.226,
"q4": 0.252,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.23,
"q2": 0.282,
"q3": 0.192,
"q4": 0.296,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Dorados to win",
"team": "Dorados",
"win_prob": 65,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "Projected margin ~5 pts; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "El Calor de Cancun +ML",
"team": "El Calor de Cancun",
"win_prob": 35,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "El Calor de Cancun has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "LNBP",
"country": "Mexico",
"match": "Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "05:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Dorados",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "85-83",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
31,
19,
19
],
"away": [
29,
22,
20,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "79-86",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
18,
19,
14
],
"away": [
24,
19,
19,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Mineros",
"score": "82-92",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
24,
19,
26
],
"away": [
26,
20,
26,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Mineros",
"score": "95-71",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
35,
14,
18,
28
],
"away": [
10,
22,
23,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Santos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "94-102",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
15,
21,
31
],
"away": [
23,
31,
25,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "Santos",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "87-63",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "87-106",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "Abejas",
"score": "97-81",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "104-77",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "74-71",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "El Calor de Cancun",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Panteras",
"score": "82-86",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
22,
15,
24
],
"away": [
31,
20,
22,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Panteras",
"score": "103-88",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 191,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
30,
13,
33
],
"away": [
24,
18,
31,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "89-86",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
22,
21,
20
],
"away": [
22,
26,
26,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "102-75",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
36,
18,
30,
18
],
"away": [
13,
24,
13,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "79-88",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
18,
14,
31
],
"away": [
23,
22,
30,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "50-89",
"home_points": 50,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 139,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "80-76",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "93-89",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "99-108",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 108,
"total_points": 207,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "83-90",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.09.25",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "83-77",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
23,
11,
20
],
"away": [
17,
29,
13,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.25",
"home": "Dorados",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "90-92",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
23,
22,
24
],
"away": [
14,
20,
31,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.09.24",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "90-71",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
25,
19,
26
],
"away": [
14,
16,
14,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.09.24",
"home": "El Calor de Cancun",
"away": "Dorados",
"score": "63-72",
"home_points": 63,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 135,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
16,
17,
11
],
"away": [
18,
15,
20,
19
]
}
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 89.8,
"team_2": 85.2,
"total": 174.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 65,
"team_2": 35
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_pf": 84.3,
"avg_pa": 87.3,
"w_avg_pf": 84.8,
"w_avg_pa": 86.9,
"pace": 171.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_pf": 83.8,
"avg_pa": 89.7,
"w_avg_pf": 83.5,
"w_avg_pa": 89.7,
"pace": 173.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 159.5
},
"confidence": 71,
"winner": {
"team": "Dorados",
"probability": 65,
"margin_pts": 4.5,
"opponent": "El Calor de Cancun",
"opponent_probability": 35
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 174.9,
"team_1_proj": 89.8,
"team_2_proj": 85.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.9,
"team_2": 43.6,
"total": 90.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.8,
22.1,
20.3,
22.6
],
"away": [
19.6,
24,
16.4,
25.2
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.4,
46.1,
36.7,
47.8
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.9,
"away": 43.6,
"total": 90.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.276,
"q2": 0.246,
"q3": 0.226,
"q4": 0.252,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.23,
"q2": 0.282,
"q3": 0.192,
"q4": 0.296,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Dorados to win",
"team": "Dorados",
"win_prob": 65,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "Projected margin ~5 pts; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "El Calor de Cancun +ML",
"team": "El Calor de Cancun",
"win_prob": 35,
"confidence": 71,
"reason": "El Calor de Cancun has live shot (35%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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