Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Washington Nationals favourites at 54%, projecting 4.9-4.2 (about 9.1 runs in total). That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Cincinnati Reds have the better recent record (6-4 against 3-7), so form alone would point the other way. Washington Nationals won 7-1, as the model expected.