SMO◦ANCE

Match Intelligence

Live API

Baseball · IL - Second stage · USA

St. Paul vs Louisville Bats

Sunday, 09 August 2026

Final score

St. Paul3-11Louisville Bats

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made St. Paul favourites at 71%, projecting 6.8-3.2 (about 10.1 runs in total). That rests on a 8-2 record over the last 10 games against 2-8 and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Louisville Bats won 11-3, against the model's 71% for St. Paul.

Key facts before the match

St. Paul have won 6 matches in a row.
Louisville Bats have lost 5 matches in a row.

Usa • IL - Second stage

St. Paulvs

Louisville Bats

09 Aug • 22:07

Final score

St. Paul3-11Louisville Bats

Predicted Winner

St. Paul

71%to win

by ~3.6 runs vs Louisville Ba…

Projected Total

10.06runs

6.83 – 3.23

no market line

First 5 (F5)

6.14runs

3.83 – 2.31

model projection

Inning Line Score

projected

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
St. Paul	0.7	0.6	1.7	0.0	0.9	0.7	1.6	0.3	0.3
Louisville Bats	0.8	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0
Tot	1.5	0.9	2.0	0.5	1.2	1.2	1.9	0.5	0.3

from last 5+5 games

St. Paul

Last 10: 8–2 (80%)

RPG: 5.3 — Allowed: 3.5 — Run env: 8.8

Louisville Bats

Last 10: 2–8 (20%)

RPG: 4 — Allowed: 6.9 — Run env: 10.9

St. Paul Form

St. Paul

8W · 2L

St. Paul vs Louisville Bats

9-4W↗

By inning:0-00-51-40-01-02-00-00-00-—

St. Paul vs Louisville Bats

4-1W↗

By inning:0-00-00-00-20-00-21-00-00-—

St. Paul vs Louisville Bats

5-4W↗

By inning:2-40-00-00-10-00-00-01-01-—

St. Paul vs Louisville Bats

4-1W↗

By inning:0-10-01-00-00-20-10-00-00-—

St. Paul vs Louisville Bats

15-5W↗

By inning:0-32-10-00-12-00-01-60-40-—