Baseball · Asian Games - Losers stage · Asia
Japan vs South Korea
Friday, 25 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Japan5-0South Korea
Prediction and result
Before the first pitch, the model made Japan favourites at 59%, projecting 6.4-5.0 (about 11.4 runs in total). That rests on a 8-2 record over the last 10 games against 6-4 and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Japan won 5-0, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Japan have won 3 matches in a row.
- South Korea have won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 7 Mar 2026, when Japan won 8-6.
Asia • Asian Games - Losers stage
Japanvs
South Korea25 Sept • 12:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Japan5-0South Korea
Predicted Winner
Japan
59%to win
by ~1.46 runs vs South Korea
Projected Total
11.41runs
6.44 – 4.98
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.66runs
2.67 – 2.99
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| South Korea | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.0 |
from last 2+2 games
Japan
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
RPG: 8 — Allowed: 2.8 — Run env: 10.8
South Korea
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 7.5 — Allowed: 3.8 — Run env: 11.3
Japan Form
Japan
W33d
W34d
W35d
L225d
W230d
W232d
W233d
W234d
W237d
L238d
By inning:0-00-20-30-00-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:0-50-60-30-00-1
By inning:0-00-10-03-01-06-00-20-01-0
By inning:1-11-00-40-02-03-00-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-90-—
South Korea Form
South Korea
W33d
W34d
W35d
L226d
W231d
L232d
L233d
W235d
W237d
W238d
By inning:0-30-40-30-81-—
By inning:2-01-04-00-03-00-03-0
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-00-20-20-—
By inning:0-00-30-40-00-00-00-3
By inning:0-02-02-00-01-11-00-00-11-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:3-20-00-32-00-00-00-31-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-33-13-00-00-11-10-1
By inning:0-00-00-03-30-60-00-01-20-—
By inning:0-01-20-01-01-20-00-20-00-—
By inning:0-00-02-00-00-10-10-00-00-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Japan 8 / South Korea 2. Average total: 9.6.
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