Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Pittsburgh Pirates favourites at 52%, projecting 4.5-4.1 (about 8.6 runs in total). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. New York Mets have the better recent record (5-5 against 3-7), so form alone would point the other way. New York Mets won 11-1, against the model's 52% for Pittsburgh Pirates.