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Match Intelligence

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Baseball · KBO - Play Offs · South Korea

KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions

Thursday, 29 October 2026

Match preview

The model makes KIA Tigers favourites at 69%, projecting 6.4-3.3 (about 9.6 runs in total). That rests on a 8-2 record over the last 10 games against 3-7. Bookmakers give KIA Tigers about 53% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market.

Key facts

They last met on 27 Oct 2026, when Samsung Lions won 8-3.

South Korea • KBO - Play Offs

KIA Tigersvs

Samsung Lions

29 Oct • 12:30

Predicted Winner

KIA Tigers

69%to win

by ~3.11 runs vs Samsung Lions

Projected Total

9.64runs

6.38 – 3.27

no market line

First 5 (F5)

6.65runs

4.2 – 2.45

model projection

Inning Line Score

projected

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
KIA Tigers	0.0	1.3	1.1	0.0	1.9	1.6	0.2	0.4	0.0
Samsung Lions	0.6	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2
Tot	0.6	1.4	1.7	0.7	2.2	1.8	0.4	0.7	0.2

from last 5+5 games

KIA Tigers

Last 10: 8–2 (80%)

RPG: 6.4 — Allowed: 3.1 — Run env: 9.5

Samsung Lions

Last 10: 3–7 (30%)

RPG: 3.4 — Allowed: 6.3 — Run env: 9.7

KIA Tigers Form

KIA Tigers

L2d

W3d

W9d

W11d

W12d

W17d

L18d

W19d

W20d

W22d

8W · 2L

27 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

8-3L↗

By inning:0-00-01-40-00-10-21-11-00-—

26 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

1-5W↗

By inning:2-00-02-01-00-10-00-00-00-0

20 Oct2026

LG Twins vs KIA Tigers

1-13W↗

By inning:0-07-00-00-01-01-11-03-00-0

18 Oct2026

KIA Tigers vs LG Twins

6-3W↗

By inning:0-50-01-00-01-00-00-11-00-—

17 Oct2026

KIA Tigers vs LG Twins

5-1W↗

By inning:0-01-10-00-10-00-10-00-20-—

12 Oct2026

KIA Tigers vs LG Twins

4-2W↗

11 Oct2026

KIA Tigers vs Lotte Giants

1-4L↗

10 Oct2026

KIA Tigers vs SSG Landers

8-5W↗

09 Oct2026

NC Dinos vs KIA Tigers

2-7W↗

07 Oct2026

Lotte Giants vs KIA Tigers

4-12W↗

Samsung Lions Form

Samsung Lions

W2d

L3d

L17d

L18d

L20d

L22d

W23d

L24d

L25d

W26d

3W · 7L

27 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

8-3W↗

By inning:0-00-01-40-00-10-21-11-00-—

26 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

1-5L↗

By inning:2-00-02-01-00-10-00-00-00-0

12 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KT Wiz Suwon

2-4L↗

By inning:1-00-10-02-00-00-00-00-01-1

11 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KT Wiz Suwon

3-12L↗

By inning:0-12-03-01-06-00-00-00-20-0

09 Oct2026

SSG Landers vs Samsung Lions

3-1L↗

By inning:0-10-00-00-10-00-11-00-00-—

07 Oct2026

KT Wiz Suwon vs Samsung Lions

9-3L↗

06 Oct2026

KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions

4-5W↗

05 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears

5-7L↗

04 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears

0-12L↗

03 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears

6-4W↗

Head-to-Head

Last 10

27 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

8-3↗

By inning:0-00-01-40-00-10-21-11-00-—

26 Oct2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

1-5↗

By inning:2-00-02-01-00-10-00-00-00-0

06 Oct2026

KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions

4-5↗

By inning:1-00-01-30-00-10-02-01-00-0

08 Sept2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

6-4↗

By inning:0-00-00-00-21-21-00-20-02-—

13 Aug2026

KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions

8-9↗

By inning:0-00-00-01-10-43-23-10-02-0

12 Aug2026

KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions

7-2↗

11 Aug2026

KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions

3-1↗

30 Jul2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

3-12↗

29 Jul2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

4-9↗

28 Jul2026

Samsung Lions vs KIA Tigers

12-5↗

Head-to-head summary

10 meetings — KIA Tigers 5 / Samsung Lions 5. Average total: 11.1.

KIA Tigers

1.75

Implied 53.3%

Edge +15.7%

Samsung Lions

Implied 46.7%

Edge -15.7%

Bookmaker vig: 7.14%

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