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Baseball · Asian Games - Losers stage · Asia

Japan vs South Korea

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Japan1-3South Korea

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Japan favourites at 61%, projecting 6.4-4.5 (about 10.9 runs in total). That rests on a 9-1 record over the last 10 games against 6-4 and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. South Korea won 3-1, against the model's 61% for Japan.

Key facts before the match

  • Japan have won 5 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 25 Sept 2026, when Japan won 5-0.
Asia • Asian Games - Losers stage
JapanJapanvsSouth KoreaSouth Korea
27 Sept • 12:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Japan1-3South Korea
Predicted Winner
Japan
61%to win
by ~1.87 runs vs South Korea
Projected Total
10.87runs
6.37 – 4.5
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.59runs
2.12 – 2.47
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
Japan1.11.10.00.00.00.03.20.01.1
South Korea1.10.01.40.00.00.90.00.01.1
Tot2.21.11.40.00.00.93.20.02.2
from last 2+2 games
Japan
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
RPG: 8.4 — Allowed: 2.3 — Run env: 10.7
South Korea
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 7.3 — Allowed: 3.7 — Run env: 11
Japan Form
Japan
W34d
W35d
W37d
W38d
W39d
L229d
W234d
W236d
W237d
W238d
9W · 1L
26 Sept2026
Japan vs Chinese Taipei
7-3W↗
By inning:1-00-00-20-00-10-01-20-21-—
25 Sept2026
Japan vs South Korea
5-0W↗
By inning:0-00-00-30-00-00-20-00-00-—
23 Sept2026
Japan vs Philippines
7-0W↗
By inning:0-00-20-30-00-00-20-00-00-—
22 Sept2026
Japan vs Palestine
15-0W↗
By inning:0-50-60-30-00-1
21 Sept2026
China vs Japan
3-11W↗
By inning:0-00-10-03-01-06-00-20-01-0
15 Mar2026
Japan vs Venezuela
5-8L↗
10 Mar2026
Japan vs Czech Republic
9-0W↗
08 Mar2026
Japan vs Australia
4-3W↗
07 Mar2026
Japan vs South Korea
8-6W↗
06 Mar2026
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
0-13W↗
South Korea Form
South Korea
W34d
L35d
W37d
W38d
W39d
L230d
W235d
L236d
L237d
W239d
6W · 4L
26 Sept2026
South Korea vs China
9-2W↗
By inning:1-20-20-00-00-00-20-20-11-—
25 Sept2026
Japan vs South Korea
5-0L↗
By inning:0-00-00-30-00-00-20-00-00-—
23 Sept2026
South Korea vs Thailand
18-1W↗
By inning:0-30-40-30-81-—
22 Sept2026
Hong Kong vs South Korea
0-13W↗
By inning:2-01-04-00-03-00-03-0
21 Sept2026
South Korea vs Chinese Taipei
5-0W↗
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-00-20-20-—
14 Mar2026
Dominican Republic vs South Korea
10-0L↗
09 Mar2026
Australia vs South Korea
2-7W↗
08 Mar2026
South Korea vs Chinese Taipei
4-5L↗
07 Mar2026
Japan vs South Korea
8-6L↗
05 Mar2026
South Korea vs Czech Republic
11-4W↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
25 Sept2026
Japan vs South Korea
5-0↗
By inning:0-00-00-30-00-00-20-00-00-—
07 Mar2026
Japan vs South Korea
8-6↗
By inning:3-20-00-32-00-00-00-31-00-—
16 Nov2025
South Korea vs Japan
7-7↗
By inning:0-00-00-33-13-00-00-11-10-1
15 Nov2025
Japan vs South Korea
11-4↗
By inning:0-00-00-03-30-60-00-01-20-—
15 Nov2024
Japan vs South Korea
6-3↗
By inning:0-01-20-01-01-20-00-20-00-—
19 Nov2023
Japan vs South Korea
4-3↗
17 Nov2023
Japan vs South Korea
2-1↗
05 Oct2023
South Korea vs Japan
2-0↗
10 Mar2023
Japan vs South Korea
13-4↗
04 Aug2021
Japan vs South Korea
5-2↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Japan 8 / South Korea 2. Average total: 9.3.

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