Baseball · Asian Games · Asia
China vs Japan
Monday, 21 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
China3-11Japan
Prediction and result
Before the first pitch, the model made Japan favourites at 74%, projecting 7.0-2.9 (about 10.0 runs in total). That rests on a 7-3 record over the last 10 games against 3-7 and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Japan won 11-3, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- China have lost 6 matches in a row.
- They last met on 7 Oct 2023, when Japan won 4-3.
Asia • Asian Games
Chinavs
Japan21 Sept • 12:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
China3-11Japan
Predicted Winner
Japan
74%to win
by ~4.12 runs vs China
Projected Total
9.98runs
2.93 – 7.05
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.21runs
2.07 – 3.14
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Japan | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Tot | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
from last 5+3 games
China
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 3 — Allowed: 7 — Run env: 10
Japan
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 5.9 — Allowed: 3.5 — Run env: 9.4
China Form
China
L603d
L603d
L605d
L1117d
L1118d
L1119d
W1121d
W1122d
W1123d
L1325d
By inning:0-61-20-30-01-00-00-1
By inning:0-03-10-02-02-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:1-00-21-00-20-20-00-6
By inning:1-00-22-00-00-00-00-00-20-0
By inning:0-03-01-02-00-00-00-02-10-0
Japan Form
Japan
L227d
W232d
W234d
W235d
W236d
W239d
L240d
W242d
W243d
L247d
By inning:1-11-00-40-02-03-00-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-90-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-01-00-20-22-—
By inning:3-20-00-32-00-00-00-31-00-—
By inning:0-010-03-00-00-00-00-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:1-00-22-00-00-00-00-00-20-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-10-00-00-20-01-00-10-40-—
By inning:0-10-21-20-00-00-00-20-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — China 1 / Japan 9. Average total: 7.9.
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