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Baseball · Asian Games · Asia

China vs Japan

Monday, 21 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
China3-11Japan

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Japan favourites at 74%, projecting 7.0-2.9 (about 10.0 runs in total). That rests on a 7-3 record over the last 10 games against 3-7 and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Japan won 11-3, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • China have lost 6 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 7 Oct 2023, when Japan won 4-3.
Asia • Asian Games
ChinaChinavsJapanJapan
21 Sept • 12:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
China3-11Japan
Predicted Winner
Japan
74%to win
by ~4.12 runs vs China
Projected Total
9.98runs
2.93 – 7.05
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.21runs
2.07 – 3.14
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
China0.30.90.20.40.20.00.40.40.0
Japan1.50.30.00.80.61.70.00.71.6
Tot1.81.20.21.20.81.70.41.11.6
from last 5+3 games
China
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 3 — Allowed: 7 — Run env: 10
Japan
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 5.9 — Allowed: 3.5 — Run env: 9.4
China Form
China
L603d
L603d
L605d
L1117d
L1118d
L1119d
W1121d
W1122d
W1123d
L1325d
3W · 7L
04 Mar2025
Brazil vs China
12-2L↗
By inning:0-61-20-30-01-00-00-1
04 Mar2025
China vs Colombia
1-8L↗
By inning:0-03-10-02-02-00-01-00-00-0
02 Mar2025
Germany vs China
12-2L↗
By inning:1-00-21-00-20-20-00-6
07 Oct2023
Japan vs China
4-3L↗
By inning:1-00-22-00-00-00-00-00-20-0
06 Oct2023
China vs South Korea
1-8L↗
By inning:0-03-01-02-00-00-00-02-10-0
05 Oct2023
China vs Chinese Taipei
1-4L↗
03 Oct2023
Japan vs China
0-1W↗
02 Oct2023
China vs Philippines
2-0W↗
01 Oct2023
China vs Laos
15-0W↗
13 Mar2023
China vs South Korea
2-22L↗
Japan Form
Japan
L227d
W232d
W234d
W235d
W236d
W239d
L240d
W242d
W243d
L247d
7W · 3L
15 Mar2026
Japan vs Venezuela
5-8L↗
By inning:1-11-00-40-02-03-00-01-00-0
10 Mar2026
Japan vs Czech Republic
9-0W↗
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-90-—
08 Mar2026
Japan vs Australia
4-3W↗
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-01-00-20-22-—
07 Mar2026
Japan vs South Korea
8-6W↗
By inning:3-20-00-32-00-00-00-31-00-—
06 Mar2026
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
0-13W↗
By inning:0-010-03-00-00-00-00-0
03 Mar2026
Hanshin Tigers vs Japan
4-5W↗
02 Mar2026
Japan vs Orix Buffaloes
3-4L↗
28 Feb2026
Japan vs Chunichi Dragons
7-3W↗
27 Feb2026
Japan vs Chunichi Dragons
5-3W↗
23 Feb2026
Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Japan
4-0L↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
07 Oct2023
Japan vs China
4-3↗
By inning:1-00-22-00-00-00-00-00-20-0
03 Oct2023
Japan vs China
0-1↗
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
09 Mar2023
Japan vs China
8-1↗
By inning:0-10-00-00-20-01-00-10-40-—
27 Aug2018
Japan vs China
17-2↗
10 Mar2017
Japan vs China
7-1↗
By inning:0-10-21-20-00-00-00-20-00-—
28 Sept2014
Japan vs China
10-0↗
22 Sept2014
China vs Japan
0-7↗
03 Mar2013
Japan vs China
5-2↗
19 Nov2010
China vs Japan
2-6↗
15 Nov2010
Japan vs China
3-0↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — China 1 / Japan 9. Average total: 7.9.

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