Houston Astros vs Athletics

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Athletics favourites at 52%, projecting 5.5-5.1 (about 10.6 runs in total). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. Houston Astros have the better recent record (4-6 against 2-8), so form alone would point the other way. Houston Astros won 4-0, against the model's 52% for Athletics.

Key facts before the match

• Athletics have lost 4 matches in a row.