Hiroshima Carp vs Yakult Swallows

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Yakult Swallows favourites at 55%, projecting 4.0-3.2 (about 7.2 runs in total). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. Hiroshima Carp have the better recent record (5-5 against 3-7), so form alone would point the other way. Hiroshima Carp won 5-1, against the model's 55% for Yakult Swallows.

Key facts before the match

• Hiroshima Carp have lost 3 matches in a row.