Baseball · LMP · Mexico
Hermosillo vs Jaguares de Nayarit
Thursday, 22 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Hermosillo11-4Jaguares de Nayarit
Prediction and result
Before the first pitch, the model made Hermosillo favourites at 63%, projecting 6.3-4.1 (about 10.5 runs in total). That rests on a 6-4 record over the last 10 games against 2-8 and 5 wins from the last 7 meetings to 2. Hermosillo won 11-4, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Jaguares de Nayarit have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 21 Oct 2026, when Hermosillo won 6-3.
Mexico • LMP
Hermosillovs
Jaguares de Nayarit22 Oct • 05:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Hermosillo11-4Jaguares de Nayarit
Predicted Winner
Hermosillo
63%to win
by ~2.21 runs vs Jaguares de N…
Projected Total
10.48runs
6.34 – 4.13
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.97runs
3.32 – 2.65
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermosillo | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Jaguares de Nayar… | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Tot | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.5 |
from last 5+5 games
Hermosillo
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 5.4 — Allowed: 4.8 — Run env: 10.2
Jaguares de Nayarit
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
RPG: 4.1 — Allowed: 6.2 — Run env: 10.3
Hermosillo Form
Hermosillo
W17d
W19d
L20d
W21d
W22d
W23d
L302d
L304d
L305d
W306d
By inning:0-00-00-50-00-10-00-00-03-—
By inning:2-20-01-00-01-10-04-30-02-0
By inning:0-10-00-04-00-00-00-70-02-—
By inning:0-00-23-00-01-01-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-01-00-00-00-00-00-60-—
Jaguares de Nayarit Form
Jaguares de Nayar…
L17d
L19d
L20d
W21d
L22d
L24d
L304d
W305d
L306d
L308d
By inning:0-00-00-50-00-10-00-00-03-—
By inning:4-30-00-02-00-00-32-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-00-03-01-01-0
By inning:0-20-01-11-10-10-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-34-40-00-04-02-01-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-00-50-00-10-00-00-03-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:1-10-00-01-00-00-10-00-10-—
By inning:0-00-00-11-00-02-00-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-01-10-—
Head-to-head summary
7 meetings — Hermosillo 5 / Jaguares de Nayarit 2. Average total: 7.
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