Baseball · LMP · Mexico
Hermosillo vs Jaguares de Nayarit
Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Hermosillo6-3Jaguares de Nayarit
Prediction and result
Before the first pitch, the model made Hermosillo favourites at 66%, projecting 6.9-4.2 (about 11.1 runs in total). That rests on a 6-4 record over the last 10 games against 2-8 and 4 wins from the last 6 meetings to 2. Hermosillo won 6-3, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 19 Dec 2025, when Hermosillo won 1-0.
Mexico • LMP
Hermosillovs
Jaguares de Nayarit21 Oct • 05:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Hermosillo6-3Jaguares de Nayarit
Predicted Winner
Hermosillo
66%to win
by ~2.71 runs vs Jaguares de N…
Projected Total
11.12runs
6.92 – 4.2
no market line
First 5 (F5)
7.12runs
4.54 – 2.58
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermosillo | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaguares de Nayar… | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Tot | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
from last 4+5 games
Hermosillo
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 6 — Allowed: 4.5 — Run env: 10.5
Jaguares de Nayarit
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
RPG: 4.2 — Allowed: 7.4 — Run env: 11.6
Hermosillo Form
Hermosillo
W20d
L21d
W22d
W23d
W24d
L303d
L305d
L306d
W307d
W309d
By inning:2-20-01-00-01-10-04-30-02-0
By inning:0-10-00-04-00-00-00-70-02-—
By inning:0-00-23-00-01-01-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-01-00-00-00-00-00-60-—
By inning:0-03-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
Jaguares de Nayarit Form
Jaguares de Nayar…
L20d
L21d
W22d
L23d
L25d
L305d
W306d
L307d
L309d
L310d
By inning:4-30-00-02-00-00-32-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-00-03-01-01-0
By inning:0-20-01-11-10-10-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-34-40-00-04-02-01-0
By inning:0-20-00-03-50-00-01-11-00-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:1-10-00-01-00-00-10-00-10-—
By inning:0-00-00-11-00-02-00-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-01-10-—
By inning:2-00-01-02-01-02-30-00-02-0
Head-to-head summary
6 meetings — Hermosillo 4 / Jaguares de Nayarit 2. Average total: 6.67.
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