Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Detroit Tigers favourites at 54%, projecting 4.4-3.8 (about 8.3 runs in total). That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Tampa Bay Rays have the better recent record (4-6 against 2-8), so form alone would point the other way. Tampa Bay Rays won 3-0, against the model's 54% for Detroit Tigers.