Baseball · MLB · USA
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Chicago Cubs4-3Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction and result
Before the first pitch, the model made Chicago Cubs favourites at 53%, projecting 5.0-4.4 (about 9.4 runs in total). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. Pittsburgh Pirates have the better recent record (7-3 against 4-6), so form alone would point the other way. Chicago Cubs won 4-3, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 11 Sept 2026, when Chicago Cubs won 12-2.
Usa • MLB
Chicago Cubsvs
Pittsburgh Pirates12 Sept • 21:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Chicago Cubs4-3Pittsburgh Pirates
Predicted Winner
Chicago Cubs
53%to win
by ~0.53 runs vs Pittsburgh Pi…
Projected Total
9.4runs
4.96 – 4.44
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.33runs
2.73 – 1.6
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
from last 5+3 games
Chicago Cubs
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 5 — Allowed: 5.3 — Run env: 10.3
Pittsburgh Pirates
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 4.2 — Allowed: 4.2 — Run env: 8.4
Chicago Cubs Form
Chicago Cubs
W56d
L57d
L58d
L60d
L61d
W62d
W62d
W63d
L64d
L65d
By inning:1-00-30-20-40-01-20-10-00-—
By inning:0-30-30-11-00-00-10-00-05-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-02-2
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-10-01-00-31-—
By inning:0-00-21-01-11-50-00-20-00-—
Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Pittsburgh Pirates
L56d
W56d
W57d
W58d
W61d
L61d
W62d
W64d
L64d
W65d
By inning:1-00-30-20-40-01-20-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-00-00-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-00-03-10-10-0
By inning:5-02-00-00-02-10-10-10-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:1-00-30-20-40-01-20-10-00-—
By inning:0-01-30-43-00-10-00-01-02-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-03-05-02-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-11-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-02-20-03-01-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Chicago Cubs 6 / Pittsburgh Pirates 4. Average total: 10.4.
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