Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Philadelphia Phillies favourites at 56%, projecting 5.2-4.2 (about 9.4 runs in total). That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Baltimore Orioles have the better recent record (5-5 against 2-8), so form alone would point the other way. Philadelphia Phillies won 8-0, as the model expected.