Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Philadelphia Phillies favourites at 52%, projecting 5.2-4.2 (about 9.4 runs in total). That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Baltimore Orioles have the better recent record (5-5 against 2-8), so form alone would point the other way. Philadelphia Phillies won 5-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Philadelphia Phillies have lost 3 matches in a row.