Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction and result

Before the first pitch, the model made Philadelphia Phillies favourites at 52%, projecting 5.2-4.9 (about 10.1 runs in total). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. Baltimore Orioles have the better recent record (5-5 against 2-8), so form alone would point the other way. Baltimore Orioles won 6-4, against the model's 52% for Philadelphia Phillies.

Key facts before the match

• Philadelphia Phillies have lost 3 matches in a row.